When close to half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 38x, you may consider Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603599) as a highly attractive investment with its 15.6x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.
Recent times haven't been advantageous for Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical as its earnings have been falling quicker than most other companies. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to improve at all. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping the earnings slide doesn't get any worse if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
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Is There Any Growth For Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 61%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 42% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 47% as estimated by the two analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 38%, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we find it odd that Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.
The Bottom Line On Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical's P/E
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. There could be some major unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the positive outlook. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical (1 is concerning!) that we have uncovered.
You might be able to find a better investment than Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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