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Shenzhen Goodix Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603160) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

Shenzhen Goodix Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603160) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

汇顶科技股份有限公司(SHSE:603160)的股票正在上涨,但财务状况看起来模糊:这种势头会继续吗?
Simply Wall St ·  2024/12/11 08:07

Shenzhen Goodix Technology's (SHSE:603160) stock is up by a considerable 54% over the past three months. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. Specifically, we decided to study Shenzhen Goodix Technology's ROE in this article.

汇顶科技(SHSE:603160)的股票在过去三个月上涨了54%。但公司的关键财务指标似乎存在差异,这让我们质疑公司当前的股价动能是否能够维持。具体而言,我们决定在本文中研究汇顶科技的ROE。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

股东权益回报率(ROE)是评估公司管理层在多大程度上有效利用公司资金的关键指标。 换句话说,它揭示了公司将股东投资转化为利润的成功程度。

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE是如何计算的?

The formula for return on equity is:

股东权益回报率的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股东权益回报率 = 净利润(来自持续运营)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shenzhen Goodix Technology is:

因此,根据上述公式,汇顶科技的ROE为:

7.1% = CN¥601m ÷ CN¥8.4b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

7.1% = CN¥60100万 ÷ CN¥84亿(基于截至2024年9月的过去十二个月数据)。

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.07 in profit.

“回报”是指过去十二个月的利润。这意味着对于每1元人民币的股东权益,公司产生了0.07元人民币的利润。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

ROE与收益增长之间的关系是什么?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

我们已经确定,ROE作为公司的未来收益的有效利润生成指标。我们现在需要评估公司再投资或 "保留" 多少利润以用于未来的增长,这能给我们提供一个关于公司增长潜力的概念。一般来说,在其他条件相等的情况下,拥有高股本回报率和利润保留的公司,其增长率往往高于那些没有这些特征的公司。

Shenzhen Goodix Technology's Earnings Growth And 7.1% ROE

汇顶科技的盈利增长及7.1%的ROE

When you first look at it, Shenzhen Goodix Technology's ROE doesn't look that attractive. However, given that the company's ROE is similar to the average industry ROE of 6.4%, we may spare it some thought. But then again, Shenzhen Goodix Technology's five year net income shrunk at a rate of 48%. Bear in mind, the company does have a slightly low ROE. Therefore, the decline in earnings could also be the result of this.

当你第一次看它时,汇顶科技的ROE似乎并不那么吸引人。然而,考虑到该公司的ROE与6.4%的行业平均ROE相似,我们也可以多加思考。然而,汇顶科技五年来的净利润以48%的速度收缩。请记住,该公司的ROE略低。因此,收益的下降也可能是由此导致的。

However, when we compared Shenzhen Goodix Technology's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 14% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

然而,当我们将汇顶科技的增长与行业进行比较时,我们发现虽然公司的收益在缩小,但在同一时期,行业的收益增长了14%。这值得担忧。

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SHSE:603160 Past Earnings Growth December 11th 2024
上交所:603160过去的盈利增长2024年12月11日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is Shenzhen Goodix Technology fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

收益增长是评估股票时需要考虑的重要指标。投资者需要了解市场是否已经考虑了公司的预期收益增长(或下降)。这有助于他们判断股票的未来是光明还是黯淡。汇顶科技相较于其他公司是否被公正定价?这三个估值指标可能会帮助你做出决策。

Is Shenzhen Goodix Technology Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

汇顶科技是否有效利用其利润?

Shenzhen Goodix Technology's low three-year median payout ratio of 17% (implying that it retains the remaining 83% of its profits) comes as a surprise when you pair it with the shrinking earnings. This typically shouldn't be the case when a company is retaining most of its earnings. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

汇顶科技低达三年中位派发比率为17%(意味着它保留了剩余83%的利润)与收益下降的情况结合起来让人感到惊讶。当一家公司保留大部分收益时,通常不应该是这样的情况。看起来可能有一些其他原因来解释这种缺失。例如,业务可能正在走下坡路。

In addition, Shenzhen Goodix Technology has been paying dividends over a period of eight years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is preferred by the management even though earnings have been in decline.

此外,汇顶科技在过去八年中一直在支付分红,表明尽管收益有所下降,管理层更倾向于维持分红支付。

Summary

总结

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Shenzhen Goodix Technology can be open to many interpretations. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. That being so, the latest industry analyst forecasts show that the analysts are expecting to see a huge improvement in the company's earnings growth rate. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

总体来说,我们认为汇顶科技的表现可以有多种解读。尽管看起来其净利润保持大部分,但考虑到低ROE,投资者可能并没有从所有的再投资中受益。低收益增长暗示我们的理论是正确的。因此,最新行业分析师的预测显示,分析师们预计公司的收益增长率将会有显著改善。要了解更多关于公司的最新分析师预测,请查看这幅公司分析师预测的可视化图。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。

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