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What Bitcoin Crash? 'Don't Think We're Anywhere Near A Top,' Analyst Reassures

What Bitcoin Crash? 'Don't Think We're Anywhere Near A Top,' Analyst Reassures

什么比特币崩盘?分析师安慰说“我认为我们离顶点还远着呢。”
Benzinga ·  2024/12/11 22:40

The cryptocurrency market's recent volatility has prompted a reassessment of key indicators, suggesting that the current bull run may still have significant room for growth, according to a comprehensive analysis shared on X.

最近数字货币市场的波动促使人们重新评估关键因子,分析表明,目前的上涨趋势仍有显著的增长空间,这一综合分析在X上分享。

What Happened: Despite recent market turbulence, described as "the biggest liq flush since 2021," the analysis paints a bullish picture for the crypto market's future, opening with the words "don't think we're anywhere near a top."

发生了什么:尽管最近市场动荡,被形容为“自2021年以来最大的清算潮”,但分析为数字货币市场的未来描绘出了一幅看好的前景,开篇指出“不要认为我们已经接近顶部。”

The thread, posted by a crypto analyst on Tuesday, examines four crucial aspects:

这条帖子由一位数字货币分析师在星期二发布,考察了四个关键方面:

Funnie pointed to the largest liquidity flush since 2021 over the past three weeks and detailed four core areas supporting his conviction: Despite growing nervousness in the market, the signals across on-chain metrics, regulatory developments, macro conditions, and market cap trends remain strongly bullish.

Funnie指出在过去三周内发生的自2021年以来最大的流动性清算,并详细阐述了支持他信念的四个核心领域:尽管市场上紧张情绪加剧,但链上指标、监管动态、宏观条件和市值趋势的信号仍然强烈看好。

  1. On-Chain Metrics: indicators such as the Puell Multiple and Pi Cycle Top suggest the market is still in a healthy growth phase. Most metrics indicate that we are nowhere near a top, with key resistance levels in the market structure holding firm.
  2. Altcoin Consolidation: altcoins remain below previous all-time highs, similar to patterns seen in December 2020 and February 2021, preceding major breakouts. For example, Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH) remains below its previous high of $4,800, still shy of an inflation-adjusted target of $6,000. Solana (CRYPTO: SOL) is stabilizing in the low $200s, with open interest resetting to lows, signaling potential for another leg up.
  3. Macro and Regulatory Tailwinds: a historic shift toward pro-crypto sentiment, underscored by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's acknowledgment of Bitcoin as "digital gold," adds to market optimism. Favorable interest rate policies and liquidity tailwinds further strengthen the market environment.
  4. Market Structure: the overall structure mirrors December 2020's bullish setup, suggesting another potential rally before any major correction.
  1. 链上指标:普埃尔倍数和Pi循环顶部等因子表明市场仍处于健康的增长阶段。大多数指标显示我们距离顶部还远,市场结构中的关键支撑位保持稳固。
  2. 另类币整合:另类币保持在之前历史最高点以下,类似于2020年12月和2021年2月的模式,这些都是主要突破的前奏。例如,以太坊(CRYPTO: ETH)仍低于其之前的最高点4,800美元,仍未达到调整后的6,000美元目标。Solana(CRYPTO: SOL)稳定在200美元低位,未平仓合约回落至低位,暗示可能有再次上涨的潜力。
  3. 宏观和监管利好:朝着支持数字货币的历史性转变,联邦储备主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔承认比特币是“数字黄金”,进一步增强了市场乐观情绪。优惠的利率政策和流动性利好进一步强化了市场环境。
  4. 市场结构:整体结构类似于2020年12月的看涨设置,暗示在任何重大修正之前还有另一次潜在反弹。

Also Read: Bitcoin To $200,000, Ethereum To $7,000, Solana To $750 In 2025, Predicts Bitwise

另请阅读:比特币将达20万美元,以太坊将达7000美元,Solana将达750美元,Bitwise预测在2025年。

Why It Matters: The analyst estimates the likelihood of this cycle topping at less than 1%, with cold on-chain indicators, accelerating regulatory progress, and supportive macroeconomic conditions providing strong backing.

为什么这很重要:分析师估计这一周期顶峰的可能性低于1%,冷链上因子、加速的监管进展以及有利的宏观经济条件提供了强有力的支撑位。

He advises traders to remain confident but to manage risk effectively, noting that the market is likely setting up for another significant move.

他建议交易者保持信心,但要有效管理风险,指出市场可能正在为另一个重大走势做准备。

"This is a time to stay convicted—not wobbly," the report concludes, urging traders to avoid letting short-term fear cloud long-term opportunities.

报告总结道:“这是保持信念的时刻——而不是摇摆不定,”呼吁交易者避免让短期恐惧模糊长期机会。

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Image: Shutterstock

图片:Shutterstock

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