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SSAW Hotels & Resorts Group Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:301073) Stock's Been Going Strong: Could Weak Financials Mean The Market Will Correct Its Share Price?

SSAW Hotels & Resorts Group Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:301073) Stock's Been Going Strong: Could Weak Financials Mean The Market Will Correct Its Share Price?

SSAW酒店及度假村集团有限公司(深交所代码:301073)的股票表现强劲:财务状况疲弱是否意味着市场会纠正其股价?
Simply Wall St ·  2024/12/12 06:12

Most readers would already be aware that SSAW Hotels & Resorts GroupLtd's (SZSE:301073) stock increased significantly by 70% over the past three months. We, however wanted to have a closer look at its key financial indicators as the markets usually pay for long-term fundamentals, and in this case, they don't look very promising. Specifically, we decided to study SSAW Hotels & Resorts GroupLtd's ROE in this article.

大多数读者可能已经知道,SSAW酒店及度假村集团有限公司(SZSE:301073)的股票在过去三个月中显著上涨了70%。然而,我们想更仔细地审视其关键财务指标,因为市场通常会关注长期基本面,而就此而言,基本面看上去并不乐观。具体而言,我们决定在本文中研究SSAW酒店及度假村集团有限公司的ROE。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

ROE或股本回报率是一个有用的工具,用于评估公司如何有效地利用其股东投入的资金来产生回报。换句话说,它是一个衡量公司股东所提供资本的回报率的盈利能力比率。

How Is ROE Calculated?

净资产收益率怎么计算?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

净资产收益率可以通过以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股东权益回报率 = 净利润(来自持续运营)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for SSAW Hotels & Resorts GroupLtd is:

因此,根据上述公式,SSAW酒店及度假村集团有限公司的ROE为:

3.3% = CN¥32m ÷ CN¥964m (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

3.3% = CN¥3200万 ÷ CN¥96400万(基于截至2024年9月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.03 in profit.

“回报”是指过去十二个月税后赚取的金额。这意味着每CN¥1的股东权益,公司产生了CN¥0.03的利润。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

roe与盈利增长有何关系?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

到目前为止,我们了解到ROE是衡量公司盈利能力的一种指标。基于公司选择再投资或“保留”的利润,我们能够评估公司未来产生利润的能力。在其他条件相等的情况下,具有更高股本回报率和更高利润留存的公司通常相比那些没有相同特征的公司拥有更高的增长率。

SSAW Hotels & Resorts GroupLtd's Earnings Growth And 3.3% ROE

SSAW酒店与度假村集团有限公司的收益增长和3.3%的ROE

It is hard to argue that SSAW Hotels & Resorts GroupLtd's ROE is much good in and of itself. Even when compared to the industry average of 8.0%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. For this reason, SSAW Hotels & Resorts GroupLtd's five year net income decline of 18% is not surprising given its lower ROE. However, there could also be other factors causing the earnings to decline. For example, the business has allocated capital poorly, or that the company has a very high payout ratio.

很难争辩SSAW酒店与度假村集团有限公司的ROE本身就很好。即使与行业平均水平8.0%相比,ROE的数据也令人失望。因此,SSAW酒店与度假村集团有限公司在五年内净利润下降了18%并不令人惊讶,因为其ROE较低。然而,也可能还有其他因素导致收益下降。例如,业务资本配置不当,或者公司有非常高的派息比例。

However, when we compared SSAW Hotels & Resorts GroupLtd's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 11% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

然而,当我们将SSAW酒店与度假村集团有限公司的增长与行业进行比较时,我们发现尽管公司的收益在缩减,但在同一时期行业的收益却增长了11%。这非常令人担忧。

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SZSE:301073 Past Earnings Growth December 11th 2024
SZSE:301073 过去的收益增长,2024年12月11日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if SSAW Hotels & Resorts GroupLtd is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

对公司估值的基础在很大程度上与其盈利增长相关。投资者接下来需要判断的是,预期的盈利增长或缺乏盈利增长是否已经反映在股票价格中。这样做将帮助他们确定该股票的未来是看起来前景光明还是不祥。一个良好的预期盈利增长指标是市盈率,它决定了市场愿意为一只股票支付的价格,基于其盈利前景。因此,您可能想要检查一下SSAW酒店及度假集团有限公司相对于其行业是在高市盈率还是低市盈率上交易。

Is SSAW Hotels & Resorts GroupLtd Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

SSAW酒店及度假集团有限公司是否有效利用其利润?

With a high three-year median payout ratio of 95% (implying that 5.4% of the profits are retained), most of SSAW Hotels & Resorts GroupLtd's profits are being paid to shareholders, which explains the company's shrinking earnings. With only a little being reinvested into the business, earnings growth would obviously be low or non-existent. You can see the 3 risks we have identified for SSAW Hotels & Resorts GroupLtd by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

SSAW酒店及度假集团有限公司的三年中位派息率高达95%(这意味着5.4%的利润被保留),大部分利润都分配给了股东,这也解释了公司盈利的缩水。由于仅有少量资金被再投资于业务,盈利增长显然会非常低或根本不存在。您可以通过访问我们平台上的风险仪表板免费查看我们为SSAW酒店及度假集团有限公司识别的三个风险。

Moreover, SSAW Hotels & Resorts GroupLtd has been paying dividends for three years, which is a considerable amount of time, suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer consistent dividends even though earnings have been shrinking. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 105% of its profits over the next three years. Regardless, the future ROE for SSAW Hotels & Resorts GroupLtd is predicted to rise to 13% despite there being not much change expected in its payout ratio.

此外,SSAW酒店及度假集团有限公司已经连续三年支付分红,这是一段相当长的时间,表明管理层必须感知到股东更喜欢稳定的分红,即使盈利在缩水。通过研究最新的分析师共识数据,我们发现该公司预计在接下来的三年中将约106%的利润继续分配。尽管预计其派息率不会有太大变化,但SSAW酒店及度假集团有限公司的未来ROE预计将上升至13%。

Summary

总结

Overall, we would be extremely cautious before making any decision on SSAW Hotels & Resorts GroupLtd. The low ROE, combined with the fact that the company is paying out almost if not all, of its profits as dividends, has resulted in the lack or absence of growth in its earnings. That being so, the latest industry analyst forecasts show that the analysts are expecting to see a huge improvement in the company's earnings growth rate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

总体而言,在对SSAW酒店与度假村集团有限公司做出任何决策之前,我们都会非常谨慎。较低的ROE,加上公司几乎将所有利润用于分红的事实,导致其盈利缺乏增长。因此,最新的行业分析师预测显示,分析师们预计公司盈利增长率将大幅改善。这些分析师的预期是基于行业的广泛预期,还是基于公司的基本面?点击这里查看我们分析师的公司预测页面。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。

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