Is Shengyi Electronics (SHSE:688183) A Risky Investment?
Is Shengyi Electronics (SHSE:688183) A Risky Investment?
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Shengyi Electronics Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688183) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
沃伦·巴菲特曾 famously 说过,‘波动性远不是风险的同义词。’ 当我们考虑一家公司的风险时,我们总是喜欢查看其债务使用情况,因为债务过重可能会导致破产。 重要的是,盛宜电子有限公司(上海证券交易所代码:688183)确实携带了债务。 但更重要的问题是:这种债务创造了多少风险?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
债务带来了什么风险?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
当一个企业无法轻松履行其债务和其他负债时,这些负债就成了风险,不论是通过自由现金流还是以有吸引力的价格筹集资本。 资本主义的一个重要部分是‘创造性破坏’的过程,失败的企业被其银行家无情地清算。 然而,更常见(但仍然痛苦)的情况是,它不得不以低价筹集新的股本,从而永久性稀释股东的权益。 当然,债务在企业中可以是一个重要工具,特别是资本密集型企业。 当我们考虑一家公司的债务使用情况时,我们首先一起查看现金和债务。
How Much Debt Does Shengyi Electronics Carry?
盛宜电子负债多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Shengyi Electronics had CN¥1.17b of debt in September 2024, down from CN¥1.32b, one year before. On the flip side, it has CN¥366.2m in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥807.2m.
你可以点击下面的图形查看历史数据,但它显示盛宜电子在2024年9月的债务为11.7亿人民币,较前一年下降了13.2亿人民币。另一方面,它有36620万人民币的现金,导致净债务约为80720万人民币。

A Look At Shengyi Electronics' Liabilities
审视盛宜电子的负债
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Shengyi Electronics had liabilities of CN¥2.71b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥204.2m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥366.2m as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.49b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥1.07b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
我们可以从最近的资产负债表中看到,盛宜电子的流动负债为人民币27.1亿,长期负债为人民币20420万。为了抵消这些负债,它有现金人民币36620万以及12个月内到期的应收账款人民币14.9亿。因此,它的负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款总和多出人民币10.7亿。
Since publicly traded Shengyi Electronics shares are worth a total of CN¥30.2b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.
由于上市的盛宜电子股票总值为302亿人民币,这样的负债水平似乎不太可能构成重大威胁。但负债水平足够,我们当然建议股东在今后继续关注资产负债表。
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
我们使用两个主要指标来告知我们债务水平与盈利的关系。第一个是净债务与息税折旧摊销前利润(EBITDA)的比率,而第二个是其息税前利润(EBIT)覆盖其利息费用(或其利息覆盖,简称)。这种方法的优点在于我们考虑了债务的绝对数量(通过净债务与EBITDA比率)和与该债务相关的实际利息费用(通过其利息覆盖比率)。
Shengyi Electronics has net debt worth 2.0 times EBITDA, which isn't too much, but its interest cover looks a bit on the low side, with EBIT at only 3.2 times the interest expense. In large part that's due to the company's significant depreciation and amortisation charges, which arguably mean its EBITDA is a very generous measure of earnings, and its debt may be more of a burden than it first appears. It is well worth noting that Shengyi Electronics's EBIT shot up like bamboo after rain, gaining 66% in the last twelve months. That'll make it easier to manage its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Shengyi Electronics will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
盛宜电子的净债务是EBITDA的2.0倍,这并不算太多,但其利息覆盖率看起来有点低,EBIT仅为利息费用的3.2倍。这在很大程度上是由于公司显著的折旧和摊销费用,这可以说是其EBITDA是一个非常宽泛的收益衡量标准,其债务可能比最初看起来更具负担。值得注意的是,盛宜电子的EBIT如雨后春笋般迅速增长,过去12个月增长了66%。这将使其更容易管理债务。在分析债务时,资产负债表显然是重点关注的领域。但你不能完全孤立地看待债务;因为盛宜电子需要收益来偿还这些债务。因此,在考虑债务时,查看收益趋势绝对是值得的。点击这里查看互动快照。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Shengyi Electronics burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
但我们的最终考虑也很重要,因为一个公司不能用纸面利润来偿还债务;它需要真正的现金。因此,我们总是检查EBIT中有多少转化为自由现金流。在过去三年中,生益电子消耗了大量现金。虽然投资者无疑期待这种情况会在适当时候逆转,但这显然意味着其债务的使用更加冒险。
Our View
我们的观点
Shengyi Electronics's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered were considerably better. In particular, we are dazzled with its EBIT growth rate. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about Shengyi Electronics's debt levels. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Shengyi Electronics (2 can't be ignored) you should be aware of.
盛宜电子的EBIT转化为自由现金流的表现显然对这项分析产生了负面影响,尽管我们考虑的其他因素明显更好。特别是,我们对其EBIT增长率感到十分惊艳。查看所有这些数据让我们对盛宜电子的债务水平感到有些谨慎。虽然我们理解债务可以提高股本回报,但我们建议股东密切关注其债务水平,以免增加。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的重点。但最终,每家公司都可能存在资产负债表之外的风险。例如,我们已经识别出盛宜电子的3个警告标志(其中2个不能忽视),您需要留意。
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
最终,通常更好的是关注没有净负债的公司。你可以访问我们特别列出这些公司的名单(所有公司都有盈利增长的记录)。这是免费的。
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