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Shenzhen Capol International & Associatesco.,Ltd's (SZSE:002949) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

Shenzhen Capol International & Associatesco.,Ltd's (SZSE:002949) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

深圳凯普国际及联合公司(深交所代码:002949)的股票正在上涨,但财务状况看起来不明确:这种势头会持续吗?
Simply Wall St ·  12/12 07:09

Most readers would already be aware that Shenzhen Capol International & Associatesco.Ltd's (SZSE:002949) stock increased significantly by 100% over the past three months. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Shenzhen Capol International & Associatesco.Ltd's ROE today.

大多数读者可能已经知道,深圳凯普国际有限公司(SZSE:002949)的股票在过去三个月内显著上涨了100%。但公司的关键财务指标看起来各有不同,这让我们质疑公司的当前股价动能是否能够维持。尤其是,我们今天将关注深圳凯普国际有限公司的ROE。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

股东权益回报率或ROE是考验公司如何有效地增长其价值和管理投资者资金的指标。换句话说,它揭示了公司在将股东投资转化为利润方面的成功程度。

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE是如何计算的?

The formula for return on equity is:

股东权益回报率的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股东权益回报率 = 净利润(来自持续运营)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shenzhen Capol International & Associatesco.Ltd is:

因此,根据上述公式,深圳凯普国际有限公司的ROE为:

9.9% = CN¥158m ÷ CN¥1.6b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

9.9% = CN¥15800万 ÷ CN¥16亿(根据截至2024年9月的过去十二个月数据)。

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.10 in profit.

‘回报’是指企业在过去一年中所获得的收入。这意味着每有CN¥1的股东权益,公司就能产生CN¥0.10的利润。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

ROE与盈利增长有什么关系?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

到目前为止,我们了解到ROE是公司盈利能力的衡量指标。根据公司选择再投资或「保留」多少利润,我们能够评估公司未来的盈利能力。假设其他条件相同,具有更高的股东权益回报率和更高的利润保留的公司通常与没有相同特征的公司相比,具有更高的增长率。

Shenzhen Capol International & Associatesco.Ltd's Earnings Growth And 9.9% ROE

深圳卡博尔国际有限公司的盈利增长和9.9%的ROE

When you first look at it, Shenzhen Capol International & Associatesco.Ltd's ROE doesn't look that attractive. Although a closer study shows that the company's ROE is higher than the industry average of 6.6% which we definitely can't overlook. But seeing Shenzhen Capol International & Associatesco.Ltd's five year net income decline of 2.1% over the past five years, we might rethink that. Bear in mind, the company does have a slightly low ROE. It is just that the industry ROE is lower. Therefore, the decline in earnings could also be the result of this.

初看之下,深圳卡博尔国际有限公司的ROE并不吸引人。虽然进一步研究表明,公司ROE高于行业平均的6.6%,这一点我们绝不能忽视。但考虑到深圳卡博尔国际有限公司过去五年净利润下降了2.1%,我们可能需要重新思考这一点。请注意,公司确实有略低的ROE。只是行业的ROE更低。因此,盈利的下降也可能是这个结果。

However, when we compared Shenzhen Capol International & Associatesco.Ltd's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 3.5% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

然而,当我们将深圳卡博尔国际有限公司的增长与行业进行比较时,我们发现虽然公司的盈利在减少,但行业在同一时期的盈利却增长了3.5%。这让人相当担忧。

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SZSE:002949 Past Earnings Growth December 11th 2024
SZSE:002949过往盈利增长2024年12月11日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is 002949 fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

盈利增长是评估股票时的重要指标。投资者需要了解市场是否已经考虑到公司的预期盈利增长(或下降)。这样,他们就能判断该股票是否走向明确的沃特世,还是面临泥沼。002949的估值合理吗?关于公司内在价值的这个信息图包含了您需要知道的一切。

Is Shenzhen Capol International & Associatesco.Ltd Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

深圳卡波尔国际公司是否有效利用其留存收益?

With a high three-year median payout ratio of 55% (implying that 45% of the profits are retained), most of Shenzhen Capol International & Associatesco.Ltd's profits are being paid to shareholders, which explains the company's shrinking earnings. With only very little left to reinvest into the business, growth in earnings is far from likely.

深圳卡波尔国际公司的三年中位支付比率高达55%(意味着45%的利润被保留),大部分利润都支付给股东,这解释了公司的盈利萎缩。由于留存资金非常少,重新投资于业务的可能性微乎其微,盈利增长基本上不太可能。

In addition, Shenzhen Capol International & Associatesco.Ltd has been paying dividends over a period of six years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is preferred by the management even though earnings have been in decline.

此外,深圳卡波尔国际公司在过去六年中一直支付分红,这表明管理层更倾向于维持分红支付,尽管盈利处于下降状态。

Conclusion

结论

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about Shenzhen Capol International & Associatesco.Ltd's performance. Primarily, we are disappointed to see a lack of growth in earnings even in spite of a moderate ROE. Bear in mind, the company reinvests a small portion of its profits, which explains the lack of growth. With that said, we studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that while the company has shrunk its earnings in the past, analysts expect its earnings to grow in the future. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

总体而言,我们对深圳凯普国际及联合公司有限公司的表现有些矛盾。首先,我们对公司盈利缺乏增长感到失望,即使ROE适中。请注意,公司仅将一小部分利润再投资,这就解释了增长的缺乏。话虽如此,我们研究了最新的分析师预测,发现尽管公司过去缩减了盈利,但分析师预计未来其盈利将增长。要了解有关该公司的最新分析师预测,请查看该公司的分析师预测可视化图。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。

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