We Think Suntak TechnologyLtd (SZSE:002815) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt
We Think Suntak TechnologyLtd (SZSE:002815) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Suntak Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002815) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
传奇基金经理李录(查理·芒格曾支持过他)曾说过:‘最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久性的资本损失。’当我们考虑一家公司的风险时,我们总是喜欢关注其债务的使用,因为债务过重可能导致破产。像许多其他公司一样,崇达技术有限公司(SZSE:002815)也使用了债务。但更重要的问题是:这些债务带来了多少风险?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
债务带来了什么风险?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
债务是一种帮助企业成长的工具,但如果企业无力偿还贷款,则将处于贷款人的掌控之中。在最糟糕的情况下,如果公司无法偿还债权人,它可能会破产。然而,更多情况下(但仍然代价高昂)的是,公司必须在低廉的股价下稀释股东,才能将债务控制住。当然,许多公司利用债务来资助增长,而没有任何负面后果。在考虑企业使用多少债务时,首先要查看其现金与债务的情况。
What Is Suntak TechnologyLtd's Debt?
崇达技术有限公司的债务是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2024 Suntak TechnologyLtd had CN¥2.28b of debt, an increase on CN¥1.86b, over one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥3.05b in cash, so it actually has CN¥772.4m net cash.
您可以点击下面的图表查看历史数据,但它显示截至2024年9月,崇达技术有限公司的债务为22.8亿人民币,相比一年前的18.6亿人民币有所增加。然而,它的资产负债表显示其现金为30.5亿人民币,因此实际上它有77240万人民币的净现金。
A Look At Suntak TechnologyLtd's Liabilities
崇达技术有限公司的负债分析
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Suntak TechnologyLtd had liabilities of CN¥2.74b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥1.90b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥3.05b as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.83b due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥241.2m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
查看最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到崇达技术有限公司在12个月内的负债为人民币27.4亿,超过12个月的负债为人民币19亿。抵消这些义务的是公司拥有的现金为人民币30.5亿,以及在12个月内到期的应收款价值为人民币18.3亿。因此,其流动资产实际上比总负债多出人民币24120万。
This surplus suggests that Suntak TechnologyLtd has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Simply put, the fact that Suntak TechnologyLtd has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.
这一盈余表明崇达技术有限公司的资产负债表较为保守,可能在没有太大困难的情况下消除其债务。简单来说,崇达技术有限公司拥有的现金多于债务,这无疑是一个良好的迹象,表明它能够安全地管理其债务。
In fact Suntak TechnologyLtd's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 40% in the last twelve months. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Suntak TechnologyLtd will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
事实上,崇达技术有限公司的救赎在于其低债务水平,因为其EBIT在过去十二个月中下降了40%。在偿还债务时,下降的收益和甜饮料对健康没有多少帮助。分析债务时,资产负债表显然是需要关注的方面。但是,不能单独看待债务;因为崇达技术有限公司需要收益来偿还这些债务。因此,如果你想进一步了解它的收益,可能值得查看一下其长期收益趋势的图表。
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. Suntak TechnologyLtd may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, Suntak TechnologyLtd saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
最后,业务需要自由现金流来偿还债务;会计利润不足以承担债务。崇达技术有限公司在资产负债表上可能有净现金,但观察该业务如何将息税前利润(EBIT)转化为自由现金流仍然很有趣,因为这将影响其对债务的需求和管理能力。在过去三年中,崇达技术有限公司的自由现金流总体上出现了大幅度的负数。尽管投资者无疑期待这种情况会在适当时候逆转,但这显然意味着其利用债务的风险更高。
Summing Up
总结
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Suntak TechnologyLtd has CN¥772.4m in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. So although we see some areas for improvement, we're not too worried about Suntak TechnologyLtd's balance sheet. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Suntak TechnologyLtd you should be aware of, and 1 of them can't be ignored.
虽然调查一家公司的债务总是明智的,但在这种情况下,崇达技术有限公司的净现金为77240万CN¥,资产负债表看起来也不错。 所以虽然我们看到一些改善的空间,但我们并不太担心崇达技术有限公司的资产负债表。 分析债务时,资产负债表显然是要关注的领域。 然而,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。 例如我们注意到,崇达技术有限公司有3个警示信号,你应该注意,其中一个是不能被忽视的。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
当然,如果你是那种喜欢购买没有债务负担的股票的投资者,那么不要犹豫,今天就来发现我们独家的净现金成长股票列表。
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