Is BOE HC SemiTek (SZSE:300323) A Risky Investment?
Is BOE HC SemiTek (SZSE:300323) A Risky Investment?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that BOE HC SemiTek Corporation (SZSE:300323) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
霍华德·马克斯说得很好,他提到与其担心股价波动,'我担心的风险是永久性损失的可能性……而我认识的每一个实用投资者都是如此担心。' 所以聪明的钱知道,债务——通常与破产有关——在评估一家公司的风险时是一个非常重要的因素。我们可以看到,BOE华灿光电(SZSE:300323)在其业务中确实使用了债务。但真正的问题是,这些债务是否使公司变得风险重重。
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
为什么债务带来风险?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
一般而言,债务只有在公司无法轻易还清时,才会成为真正的问题,无论是通过筹集资金还是利用自己的现金流。资本主义的一部分是‘创造性毁灭’的过程,在这一过程中,失败的企业会被他们的银行家无情清算。然而,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司必须以便宜的股价稀释股东,以便将债务控制住。然而,通过替代稀释,债务可以成为需要资本以高回报率投资于增长的企业的极佳工具。当我们考虑一个公司的债务使用时,我们首先将现金和债务放在一起看。
What Is BOE HC SemiTek's Net Debt?
BOE华灿光电的净债务是多少?
As you can see below, at the end of September 2024, BOE HC SemiTek had CN¥3.15b of debt, up from CN¥2.59b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has CN¥1.16b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥2.00b.
如您所见,截至2024年9月底,BOE华灿光电的债务为31.5亿元人民币,较一年前的25.9亿元人民币有所上升。点击图片查看详情。另一方面,它有11.6亿元人民币的现金,导致净债务约为20亿元人民币。
A Look At BOE HC SemiTek's Liabilities
看一下华灿光电的负债
According to the last reported balance sheet, BOE HC SemiTek had liabilities of CN¥3.22b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥1.66b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.16b as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.39b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥2.33b.
根据最后报告的资产负债表,华灿光电的负债为32.2亿人民币,12个月内到期的负债为16.6亿人民币。为了抵消这些义务,它有现金11.6亿人民币,以及12个月内到期的应收账款13.9亿人民币。因此,它的负债比它的现金和(短期)应收账款的总和多23.3亿人民币。
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since BOE HC SemiTek has a market capitalization of CN¥10.9b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is BOE HC SemiTek's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
虽然这看起来很多,但并不算糟糕,因为华灿光电的市值为109亿人民币,所以如果需要,可能通过筹集资金来增强其资产负债表。但很明显,我们应该密切关注它是否能够在不稀释股份的情况下管理其债务。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但影响未来资产负债表表现的将是华灿光电的营业收入。因此,如果您想更深入地了解它的营业收入,可能值得查看这张其长期营业收入趋势的图表。
Over 12 months, BOE HC SemiTek reported revenue of CN¥3.9b, which is a gain of 50%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. With any luck the company will be able to grow its way to profitability.
在过去的12个月里,华灿光电报告的营业收入为39亿人民币,增长了50%,尽管它没有报告任何息税前利润(EBIT)。希望公司能够通过增长实现盈利。
Caveat Emptor
买者自负盈亏
Despite the top line growth, BOE HC SemiTek still had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Indeed, it lost CN¥930m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled CN¥1.8b in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So in short it's a really risky stock. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for BOE HC SemiTek (2 shouldn't be ignored) you should be aware of.
尽管营业收入增长,华灿光电在过去一年中仍然在息税前盈利(EBIT)方面遭遇损失。事实上,它在EBIT层面损失了93000万人民币。考虑到上述负债,这并没有让我们对公司使用如此多债务感到有信心。所以我们认为它的资产负债表有些紧张,但并非不可修复。另一个需要警惕的问题是,它在过去12个月中出现了18亿人民币的负自由现金流。因此,简而言之,这是一个非常风险的股票。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是开始的地方。但最终,每家公司都可能存在资产负债表之外的风险。例如,我们已识别出华灿光电的3个警告信号(其中2个不可忽视),您应该关注。
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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