2025 Could Be a Breakthrough Year for Shopify Stock: Here's Why
2025 Could Be a Breakthrough Year for Shopify Stock: Here's Why
It's been a magnificent year for Shopify (TSX:SHOP) stock, now up well over 63% year to date, beating the TSX Index by a wide margin. Despite the latest run-up, shares may still prove cheap relative to its long-term growth trajectory. Undoubtedly, the company stands out as a significant beneficiary as valuable new generative artificial intelligence (gen AI) technologies and tools work their way into the ecosystem.
对于Shopify(TSX:SHOP)股票来说,这是辉煌的一年,目前年初至今上涨超过63%,远远超过TSX指数。尽管最近的上涨,股票相对于其长期增长轨迹仍然显得便宜。毫无疑问,随着有价值的新生成人工智能(gen AI)技术和工具逐渐融入生态系统,公司的表现将是一个重要的受益者。
Indeed, Shopify stands out as a firm that can augment customers in a way that allows them to drive revenues and margins simultaneously. Indeed, large language models (LLMs) can do many impressive things, including writing poems or even helping with homework. That said, the real test, I believe, is how LLMs can help firms improve their business fundamentals via automation and optimization.
确实,Shopify作为一家公司,在增强客户的方式上表现突出,这使得他们能够同时推动收入和利润。实际上,大型语言模型(LLMs)可以做许多令人印象深刻的事情,包括写诗甚至帮助做作业。也就是说,我认为真正的考验在于LLMs如何通过自动化和优化帮助公司改善其业务基本面。
Indeed, if the AI revolution carries over the next couple of years, the applications had better start generating enormous profits for more firms than just the AI accelerator makers themselves. In other words, there had better be some massive winners from this AI gold rush other than the so-called "pick-and-shovel" plays.
确实,如果人工智能革命在未来几年继续发展,这些应用最好开始为公司带来巨额利润,而不仅仅是人工智能加速器制造商本身。换句话说,这场人工智能淘金热中,必须有一些巨大的赢家,而不仅仅是所谓的“买卖和铲子”项目。
Indeed, much of the cash during the actual gold rush was made via the firms that sold the equipment to gold prospectors. For the AI scene, the big question is how far and wide the benefits will run. There's ample opportunity for e-commerce firms like Shopify to benefit significantly from what some may call the "next phase" of the AI boom.
确实,在实际的淘金热期间,大量的现金是通过向金矿探险者销售设备的公司获得的。对于人工智能领域而言,最大的疑问是好处将会延伸多远。电子商务公司如Shopify有着充足的机会,从一些人可能称之为“人工智能繁荣的下一个阶段”中显著受益。
A massive upgrade from Loop Capital
来自Loop Capital的一次重大升级
Recently, shares of Shopify received a pretty big upgrade from an analyst named Anthony Chukumba over at Loop Capital.
最近,Shopify的股票获得了Loop Capital的分析师Anthony Chukumba的一次重要升级。
Mr. Chukumba hiked his price target on SHOP stock by a whopping US$30 to US$140 per share (that works out to just shy of CA$200 per share) while upgrading the rating to buy from hold (the equivalent of overweight from equal-weight). What's the reason behind the significant upgrade?
Chukumba先生将SHOP股票的目标价格大幅提高了30美元,达到每股140美元(这相当于每股不到200加元),同时将评级从持有升级为买入(即从等权重升级为超配)。背后有什么重大升级的原因?
He's a big fan of Shopify's ability to use AI to improve the lives of its merchants. Notably, he sees personalized response recommendations as having the potential to jolt growth.
他非常看好Shopify利用人工智能改善商家生活的能力。特别是,他认为个性化响应推荐有潜力推动增长。
He's right on the money. The AI personalization factor will eventually benefit a broader range of businesses. Shopify seems like one of the ships poised to rise sooner than most others in the sea. In numerous prior pieces, I urged investors not to discount the company's footing in the AI race. Mr. Chukumba's latest upgrade reinforces my already bullish stance on Shopify stock as it looks to enter a big year for AI.
他说得完全正确。人工智能个性化因素最终将使更广泛的 业务 受益。Shopify似乎是大海中较早准备上升的船只之一。在之前的多篇文章中,我曾敦促投资者不要低估该公司在人工智能竞赛中的地位。Chukumba先生最近的升级进一步强化了我对Shopify 股票的看好,因为它即将迎来人工智能的丰收年。
Shopify stock is pricey, but the AI catalysts are real
Shopify 股票价格昂贵,但人工智能催化剂是真实的。
Now, it's hard to tell just how much AI hype has worked its way into the valuation after the latest upside surge. The stock isn't cheap at more than 105 times trailing price to earnings (P/E). Things aren't much better on a forward-looking basis, with SHOP stock going for 80 times forward P/E.
现在,很难判断人工智能炒作在最新的上涨中到底渗透到了多少估值中。该 股票 的市盈率(P/E)超过105倍,并不便宜。在前瞻性基础上,Shop 股票的市盈率为80倍,情况也不太好。
Undoubtedly, there's a much higher bar set for Shopify in the new year. But if Shopify can get the personalized AI opportunity right, perhaps shares could continue rolling towards that $200 mark and, just maybe, new all-time highs of around $215 per share.
毫无疑问,新的一年对Shopify有更高的期望。但如果Shopify能妥善把握个性化人工智能的机会,或许 股票 继续朝着200美元的目标前进,甚至可能达到215美元的历史新高。
As AI personalization catalysts propel Shopify and its peers in the new year, while holiday sales numbers eventually flow in, I think it's tough to overlook Shopify stock any longer. Arguably, it's one of Canada's most magnificent stocks.
随着人工智能个性化催化剂推动Shopify及其同行在新的一年中发展,而假日销售数字最终流入,我认为再也无法忽视Shopify 股票。可以说,它是加拿大最精彩的 股票 之一。