Short-Selling on the TSX: The Stocks Investors Are Betting Against
Short-Selling on the TSX: The Stocks Investors Are Betting Against
The widely used strategy to make money from stocks is to buy low and sell high. You buy at the lowest price point possible, then unload at a much higher price to maximize profits. However, some investors profit from falling share prices.
从股票中赚钱的广泛策略是低买高卖。您在尽可能低的价格点买入,然后在更高的价格卖出以最大化利润。但是,一些投资者是通过股票价格下跌来获利的。
These people, or so-called short-sellers, have high-risk appetites. Instead of price appreciation, the strategy is to bet against stocks and hope their values drop.
这些人,或称为开空者,具有高风险的胃口。与价格升值相反,该策略是押注股票下跌,并希望其价值下降。
A simple guide to short-selling
开空股票的简单指南
Shorting a stock is the opposite of the "buy low and sell high" principle. You sell first, then buy later. It starts with borrowing a stock you don't own, usually from a brokerage firm. The investor is bearish and believes the price will drop and can be bought at a depressed price. In this transaction, the difference between the sell and buy prices is the profit.
做空股票是"低买高卖"原则的反面。你先卖出,然后再买入。它开始于借入你并不拥有的股票,通常是从券商那里借入。投资者看淡,认为价格会下跌,并可以以低价买入。在这笔交易中,卖出和买入价格之间的差额就是利润。
To illustrate, assume ABC stock trades at $2 then you borrow 100 shares to sell. When the price falls to $1, you buy 100 shares for $100. You return the 100 shares to the lender or brokerage firm and keep the difference, or $100, as profit. Professional traders identify the stock to share before engaging in this high-risk, high-reward strategy.
举个例子,假设农业银行股票交易价格为2美元,那么你借入100股进行卖出。当价格跌至1美元时,你以100美元买回100股。你将100股归还给借出方或券商,并将差额,也就是100美元,作为利润。专业交易者在参与这种高风险、高收益策略之前,会识别出待分享的股票。
Target No.1
目标编号1
The meme stock phenomenon in 2021 pitted inexperienced investors against short-sellers. BlackBerry Limited (TSX:BB) was among the popular meme stocks in Canada and a target of short-sellers. While the cybersecurity stock is down 15.5% year-to-date, it has risen 22.2% to $3.97 per share in the trailing 30 days.
2021年的迷因股票现象让经验不足的投资者与做空者对立。黑莓公司(TSX:BB)是加拿大受欢迎的迷因股票之一,也是做空者的目标。尽管这只网络安全概念股票截至目前已下跌15.5%,但在过去30天内,它的股价上涨了22.2%,达到了每股3.97美元。
Market analysts' 12-month average price target is only $3.99 (+0.5%), but their low-price target is $3.15, a potential 26% drop. Short sellers are also speculators; given these forecasts, BlackBerry could be on their radars.
市场分析师的12个月平均价格目标只有3.99美元(+0.5%),但他们的低价目标是3.15美元,可能下降26%。开空者也是投机者;根据这些预测,黑莓可能会成为他们关注的对象。
On December 10, 2024, the $2.5 billion intelligent security software and services company and TTTech Auto launched its new MotionWise Schedule for QNX Software Development Platform 8.0. The platform aims to accelerate software development for Software Defined Vehicles (SDV).
在2024年12月10日,价值25亿的智能安防-半导体软件和服务公司与TTTech Auto推出了面向QNX软件开发平台8.0的新MotionWise Schedule。该平台的目标是加速软件开发,特别是面向软件定义车辆(SDV)。
However, short-sellers should beware. BlackBerry might have a legitimate growth driver in the evolving automotive landscape. Furthermore, the company is in the process of achieving the Federal Risk and Authorization Management Program (FedRAMP) High Authorization. The stock could rise if the Joint Authorization Board (JAB) grants the authorization.
然而,做空者应该小心。黑莓可能在不断发展的汽车领域中拥有一个合法的增长驱动力。此外,公司正在努力实现联邦风险与授权管理计划(FedRAMP)高授权。如果联合授权委员会(JAB)授予授权,股票可能会上涨。
Target No. 2
目标No. 2
CAE (TSX:CAE) could be ripe for the taking by short-sellers despite its leading position in the aerospace and defence industry. The $10.5 billion company specializes in simulation technologies and training services. At $33.07 per share, the stock is up 15.6% year-to-date.
尽管CAE(TSX:CAE)在航空航天和国防行业处于领先地位,但仍可能成为做空者的目标。这家价值105亿的公司专注于模拟技术和培训服务。每股33.07美元,年初至今股票上涨了15.6%。
However, CIBC downgraded CAE from outperform to neutral early this month. According to bank analysts, favourable secular tailwinds have yet to reflect in the stock's performance. Market dominance and the record backlog are the positives, while the negatives that could bring the price down include slower pilot training demand.
然而,CIBC在本月初将CAE的评级从表现优于大盘下调为中立。根据银行分析师的说法,有利的长期趋势尚未反映在股票的表现中。市场主导地位和创纪录的订单积压是积极因素,而可能使价格下降的负面因素包括飞行员培训需求减缓。
In Q2 fiscal 2025 (three months ending September 30, 2024), net income declined 11.2% year-over-year to $52.5 million. Still, its President and CEO Marc Parent, said CAE's future is exceptionally bright, given the $18 billion adjusted backlog.
在2025财年第二季度(截至2024年9月30日的三个月),净利润同比下降11.2%,降至5250万。尽管如此,公司的总裁兼首席执行官Marc Parent表示,考虑到180亿的调整后订单积压,CAE的未来非常光明。
Risky strategy
高风险股票策略
Short-selling is only for professional traders. While the strategy offers huge profits with proper timing, losses could be enormous if the position falls below the brokerage's minimum capital requirements.
开空仅适用于专业交易者。虽然这种策略在时机合适的情况下提供巨额利润,但如果头寸低于券商的最低资本要求,损失可能会非常巨大。