The Three-year Decline in Earnings Might Be Taking Its Toll on Haisco Pharmaceutical Group (SZSE:002653) Shareholders as Stock Falls 6.9% Over the Past Week
The Three-year Decline in Earnings Might Be Taking Its Toll on Haisco Pharmaceutical Group (SZSE:002653) Shareholders as Stock Falls 6.9% Over the Past Week
By buying an index fund, investors can approximate the average market return. But many of us dare to dream of bigger returns, and build a portfolio ourselves. Just take a look at Haisco Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002653), which is up 71%, over three years, soundly beating the market decline of 18% (not including dividends). However, more recent returns haven't been as impressive as that, with the stock returning just 54% in the last year, including dividends.
通过买入一个指数基金,投资者可以接近平均市场回报。但我们许多人敢于梦想更高的回报,并自己构建投资组合。只需看看海思科(SZSE:002653),在三年内上涨了71%,明显超越了18%的市场下跌(不包括分红派息)。然而,最近的回报并没有那么令人印象深刻,股票在过去一年中回报仅为54%,包括分红派息。
While this past week has detracted from the company's three-year return, let's look at the recent trends of the underlying business and see if the gains have been in alignment.
尽管上周的表现影响了公司的三年回报,但我们来看看基础业务的近期趋势,看看收益是否与之保持一致。
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
借用本杰明·格雷厄姆的话来说:短期内市场是一台投票机,而长期来看它是一台称重机。考虑市场对一家公司的看法如何变化的一个不完美但简单的方法是比较每股收益(EPS)的变化与股价的变动。
Over the last three years, Haisco Pharmaceutical Group failed to grow earnings per share, which fell 2.8% (annualized).
在过去三年中,海思科未能增长每股收益,下降了2.8%(年化)。
Companies are not always focussed on EPS growth in the short term, and looking at how the share price has reacted, we don't think EPS is the most important metric for Haisco Pharmaceutical Group at the moment. Therefore, it makes sense to look into other metrics.
公司并不总是专注于短期的每股收益增长,从股价的反应来看,我们认为当前每股收益并不是海思科最重要的指标。因此,关注其他指标是有意义的。
The modest 0.8% dividend yield is unlikely to be propping up the share price. It may well be that Haisco Pharmaceutical Group revenue growth rate of 11% over three years has convinced shareholders to believe in a brighter future. If the company is being managed for the long term good, today's shareholders might be right to hold on.
微薄的0.8%分红派息收益率不太可能支撑股价。海思科的营业收入在三年内增长了11%,这可能让股东们相信未来会更光明。如果公司是为长远利益而管理的,今天的股东可能是对的,可以选择持有。
The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
下图显示了盈利和营业收入随着时间的变化情况(如果您点击图像,可以看到更详细的信息)。
We know that Haisco Pharmaceutical Group has improved its bottom line lately, but what does the future have in store? So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts
我们知道海思科最近改善了其底线,但未来有哪些展望呢?因此,我们建议查看这份免费报告,了解共识预测。
What About Dividends?
关于分红派息的问题
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Haisco Pharmaceutical Group's TSR for the last 3 years was 75%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
在考量投资回报时,考虑总股东回报(TSR)与股价回报之间的区别是重要的。TSR是一个回报计算,考虑了现金分红的价值(假设任何收到的分红都被再投资)以及任何折扣资本融资和剥离的计算价值。因此,对于那些支付丰厚分红的公司来说,TSR往往远高于股价回报。实际上,海思科过去三年的TSR为75%,超过了之前提到的股价回报。而且,毫无疑问,分红派息很大程度上解释了这种差异!
A Different Perspective
不同的视角
It's good to see that Haisco Pharmaceutical Group has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 54% in the last twelve months. Of course, that includes the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 12% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Even so, be aware that Haisco Pharmaceutical Group is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...
很高兴看到海思科在过去12个月内为股东提供了54%的总股东回报。当然,这包括了分红派息。由于一年期的总股东回报率比五年期的总股东回报率(后者每年为12%)要好,因此股票的表现似乎在近期有所改善。鉴于股价动能仍然强劲,可能值得更仔细地关注这只股票,以免错过机会。虽然考虑市场条件对股价的不同影响非常重要,但还有其他因素更加重要。尽管如此,请注意,海思科在我们的投资分析中显示出2个警告信号,你应该知道……
But note: Haisco Pharmaceutical Group may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).
但请注意:海思科可能不是最佳的买入股票。所以看看这个免费的有趣公司名单,其中包含过去的盈利增长(和未来的增长预期)。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
对本文有反馈?对内容有疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。