Is Caihong Display DevicesLtd (SHSE:600707) Using Too Much Debt?
Is Caihong Display DevicesLtd (SHSE:600707) Using Too Much Debt?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Caihong Display Devices Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600707) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
大卫·伊本说得很好,'波动性不是我们关心的风险。我们关心的是避免资本的永久损失。' 所以,当你考虑任何给定股票的风险时,你需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务可能会使公司陷入困境。像许多其他公司一样,彩虹股份(SHSE:600707)也利用债务。但更重要的问题是:这笔债务带来了多少风险?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
债务带来了什么风险?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
债务会在企业盈利的情况下帮助企业,直到企业在偿还债务时出现问题,无论是通过新资本还是自由现金流。如果情况真的糟糕,贷方可能会控制业务。然而,更常见的(但仍然代价高昂)情况是,公司必须以廉价价格发行股票,永久性稀释股东权益,仅仅是为了改善其资产负债表。话虽如此,最常见的情况是公司能合理管理其债务,并将其自行获利。当我们审查债务水平时,我们首先要考虑现金和债务水平,结合在一起。
What Is Caihong Display DevicesLtd's Net Debt?
彩虹股份的净债务是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Caihong Display DevicesLtd had CN¥13.5b of debt in September 2024, down from CN¥15.7b, one year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥7.33b, its net debt is less, at about CN¥6.18b.
您可以点击下面的图形查看历史数据,但它显示彩虹股份在2024年9月的债务为135亿人民币,比一年前的157亿人民币有所下降。然而,由于它有73.3亿人民币的现金储备,其净债务减少,约为61.8亿人民币。
A Look At Caihong Display DevicesLtd's Liabilities
分析彩虹股份的负债情况
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Caihong Display DevicesLtd had liabilities of CN¥9.47b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥9.74b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥7.33b in cash and CN¥2.30b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥9.59b.
从最新的资产负债表来看,彩虹股份在一年内到期的负债为94.7亿元人民币,超过一年到期的负债为97.4亿元人民币。与此抵消的是,它拥有73.3亿元人民币的现金和23亿元人民币的应收账款,这些应收账款在12个月内到期。因此,它的负债超过了现金和(短期)应收账款总和的95.9亿元人民币。
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Caihong Display DevicesLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥27.5b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.
尽管这看起来不少,但情况并不算太糟,因为彩虹股份的市值为275亿元人民币,因此如果需要,它可能通过筹集资金来增强资产负债表。但我们确实希望密切关注其债务是否带来了过多的风险。
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
我们通过看净债务与息税折旧及摊销前利润(EBITDA)的比率,以及计算其息税前利润(EBIT)如何轻松地覆盖利息费用(利息覆盖)来衡量一家公司相对于其获利能力的债务负担。这样,我们既考虑了债务的绝对量,也考虑了其支付的利率。
While Caihong Display DevicesLtd's low debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.4 suggests only modest use of debt, the fact that EBIT only covered the interest expense by 5.6 times last year does give us pause. So we'd recommend keeping a close eye on the impact financing costs are having on the business. We also note that Caihong Display DevicesLtd improved its EBIT from a last year's loss to a positive CN¥1.4b. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Caihong Display DevicesLtd will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
尽管彩虹股份较低的债务与EBITDA比率为1.4,表明其债务使用较为温和,但去年的EBIT仅能覆盖利息支出5.6倍,这让我们觉得有些担忧。因此,我们建议密切关注融资成本对业务的影响。此外,我们还注意到彩虹股份改善了其EBIT,从去年的亏损转为正的14亿元人民币。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表无疑是一个明显的起点。但不能孤立地看待债务,因为彩虹股份需要收益来服务这些债务。所以如果你想了解更多它的收益,查看其长期收益趋势的图表可能值得一看。
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. Over the most recent year, Caihong Display DevicesLtd recorded free cash flow worth 61% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
最后,公司只能用现金偿还债务,而不是会计利润。因此,检查其息税前利润(EBIT)中有多少转化为实际的自由现金流是很重要的。在最近的一年,彩虹股份记录的自由现金流占其EBIT的61%,这是正常的,因为自由现金流不包括利息和税。这笔现金意味着它可以在需要的时候减少债务。
Our View
我们的观点
Caihong Display DevicesLtd's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was a real positive on this analysis, as was its net debt to EBITDA. Having said that, its level of total liabilities somewhat sensitizes us to potential future risks to the balance sheet. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Caihong Display DevicesLtd is managing its debt quite well. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Caihong Display DevicesLtd you should know about.
彩虹股份有限公司将EBIT转化为自由现金流的表现确实是这次分析中的一个积极因素,净债务对EBITDA的比率也是如此。虽然如此,其总负债水平在某种程度上引起了我们对资产负债表未来潜在风险的敏感性。当我们考虑上述所有因素时,我们认为彩虹股份有限公司管理债务的相当不错。尽管如此,负担仍然相当重,我们建议所有股东密切关注此事。在分析债务时,显然资产负债表是一个重点。然而,并非所有投资风险都存在于资产负债表内 - 远非如此。这些风险可能很难发现。每家公司都有这些风险,而我们发现了彩虹股份有限公司需要您注意的一个警告信号。
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
最终,通常更好的是关注没有净负债的公司。你可以访问我们特别列出这些公司的名单(所有公司都有盈利增长的记录)。这是免费的。
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