Is Xining Special Steel.Co.Ltd (SHSE:600117) A Risky Investment?
Is Xining Special Steel.Co.Ltd (SHSE:600117) A Risky Investment?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Xining Special Steel.Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600117) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
大卫·伊本说得好,‘波动性不是我们关心的风险。我们关心的是避免资本的永久损失。’当我们考虑一家公司有多大的风险时,我们总是喜欢看看它的债务使用情况,因为债务过重可能导致破产。重要的是,*ST西钢(SHSE:600117)确实负有债务。但更重要的问题是:这些债务带来了多少风险?
When Is Debt A Problem?
何时债务成为问题?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
债务可以帮助一个企业,直到企业无法通过新资本或自由现金流来还清债务。在最糟糕的情况下,如果公司无法偿还债权人,就可能破产。然而,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的股票价格稀释股东股份,以控制债务。尽管如此,最常见的情况是公司能够合理地管理其债务,并从中获益。当我们考虑公司的债务使用时,我们首先一起查看现金和债务。
What Is Xining Special Steel.Co.Ltd's Debt?
*ST西钢的债务是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Xining Special Steel.Co.Ltd had CN¥3.09b of debt in September 2024, down from CN¥8.55b, one year before. However, it also had CN¥112.0m in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥2.97b.
您可以点击下面的图表查看历史数据,但它显示*ST西钢在2024年9月的债务为30.9亿人民币,较一年前的85.5亿人民币下降。然而,它还有11200万现金,因此其净债务为29.7亿人民币。
How Strong Is Xining Special Steel.Co.Ltd's Balance Sheet?
西宁特钢股份有限公司的资产负债表有多强?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Xining Special Steel.Co.Ltd had liabilities of CN¥3.24b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥2.66b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥112.0m in cash and CN¥971.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥4.82b.
通过查看最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到西宁特钢股份有限公司在12个月内有负债32.4亿人民币,超过12个月的负债为26.6亿人民币。对此,它有11200万人民币的现金和97100万人民币的应收账款在12个月内到期。因此,其负债超过其现金和(短期)应收账款的总和481亿人民币。
Xining Special Steel.Co.Ltd has a market capitalization of CN¥9.24b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Xining Special Steel.Co.Ltd will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
西宁特钢股份有限公司的市值为92.4亿人民币,因此如果需要,它很可能能够筹集资金来改善其资产负债表。但很明显,我们应该仔细审查它是否能够在不稀释的情况下管理其债务。分析债务时,资产负债表显然是重点。不过,债务不能孤立来看;因为西宁特钢股份有限公司需要盈利来偿还这笔债务。因此,在考虑债务时,绝对值得关注盈利趋势。点击这里查看互动快照。
In the last year Xining Special Steel.Co.Ltd wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 49%, to CN¥5.8b. Shareholders probably have their fingers crossed that it can grow its way to profits.
在过去一年中,西宁特钢股份有限公司在EBIT层面上并未盈利,但其营业收入增加了49%,达到了58亿人民币。股东们可能都在希望它能通过增长实现盈利。
Caveat Emptor
买者自负盈亏
While we can certainly appreciate Xining Special Steel.Co.Ltd's revenue growth, its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is not ideal. Indeed, it lost CN¥8.1m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled CN¥716m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So in short it's a really risky stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Xining Special Steel.Co.Ltd that you should be aware of.
虽然我们当然可以欣赏西宁特钢股份有限公司的营业收入增长,但其息税前利润(EBIT)亏损并不理想。确实,它在EBIT层面上亏损了810万人民币。当我们看到这一点并回想起其资产负债表上的负债时,相比于现金,公司不应有任何债务似乎是不明智的。因此,我们认为其资产负债表有些紧张,但并非无法修复。另一个需要注意的原因是,在过去的12个月中,公司净自由现金流出现了71600万人民币的负值。因此,总之,这是一只风险非常高的股票。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中获得了关于债务的大多数信息。不过,并非所有投资风险都存在于资产负债表中——远非如此。例如,我们已经发现了西宁特钢股份有限公司的两个警告信号,您应该注意。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果您有兴趣投资那些能够在没有债务负担的情况下增长利润的业务,请查看这个自由名单,其中列出了在资产负债表上有净现金的成长型企业。
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