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Leader Harmonious Drive Systems Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688017) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?

Leader Harmonious Drive Systems Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688017) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?

绿的谐波驱动系统有限公司(上海证券交易所代码:688017)股票表现强劲,但基本面看起来不确定:未来会怎样?
Simply Wall St ·  2024/12/12 13:49

Leader Harmonious Drive Systems (SHSE:688017) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 98% over the last three months. However, we wonder if the company's inconsistent financials would have any adverse impact on the current share price momentum. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Leader Harmonious Drive Systems' ROE today.

绿的谐波(上海证券交易所代码:688017)在股票市场上表现出色,过去三个月其股票上涨了显著的98%。然而,我们在想公司的财务不稳定是否会对当前的股价动能产生负面影响。特别是,今天我们将关注绿的谐波的ROE。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

股本回报率或ROE是股东需要考虑的重要因素,因为它告诉他们自己的资本是如何有效地被再投资的。简单来说,它衡量的是公司相对于股东权益的盈利能力。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何计算股东权益回报率?

The formula for ROE is:

roe的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股东权益回报率 = 净利润(来自持续运营)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Leader Harmonious Drive Systems is:

因此,根据上述公式,绿的谐波的ROE为:

3.5% = CN¥71m ÷ CN¥2.0b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

3.5% = CN¥7100万 ÷ CN¥20亿(基于截至2024年9月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.03 in profit.

“回报”是指过去十二个月税后赚取的金额。这意味着每CN¥1的股东权益,公司产生了CN¥0.03的利润。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

roe与盈利增长有何关系?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

到目前为止,我们已经知道ROE测量公司如何高效地生成利润。基于公司选择重新投资或“保留”其利润的比例,我们能够评估公司未来生成利润的能力。假设其他所有因素保持不变,则ROE和利润保留率越高,公司的增长率也越高,与不一定具备这些特征的公司相比。

Leader Harmonious Drive Systems' Earnings Growth And 3.5% ROE

绿的谐波的盈利增长和3.5%的ROE

It is quite clear that Leader Harmonious Drive Systems' ROE is rather low. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 6.3%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. Hence, the flat earnings seen by Leader Harmonious Drive Systems over the past five years could probably be the result of it having a lower ROE.

显然,绿的谐波的ROE相对较低。即便与行业板块平均ROE 6.3%相比,公司的ROE也十分惨淡。因此,绿的谐波在过去五年里所见的平坦盈利很可能是由于其ROE较低所致。

We then compared Leader Harmonious Drive Systems' net income growth with the industry and found that the company's growth figure is lower than the average industry growth rate of 7.3% in the same 5-year period, which is a bit concerning.

我们接着将绿的谐波的净利润增长与行业板块进行了比较,发现该公司的增长数据低于同期行业板块7.3%的平均增长率,这让人有些担忧。

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SHSE:688017 Past Earnings Growth December 12th 2024
SHSE:688017 过去的盈利增长 2024年12月12日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. If you're wondering about Leader Harmonious Drive Systems''s valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

盈利增长是股票估值的重要因素。投资者需要了解市场是否已经考虑到公司预期的盈利增长(或下降)。这样,他们将能够判断股票是进入碧水蓝天还是面临泥泞的水域。 如果你在疑惑绿的谐波的估值,可以查看这个与行业板块相比的市盈率指标。

Is Leader Harmonious Drive Systems Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

绿的谐波是否有效利用留存收益?

In spite of a normal three-year median payout ratio of 41% (or a retention ratio of 59%), Leader Harmonious Drive Systems hasn't seen much growth in its earnings. So there could be some other explanation in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

尽管正常的三年中位数派息率为41%(留存率为59%),但绿的谐波的盈利增长并不明显。因此,可能有其他原因造成这种情况。例如,公司的业务可能正在恶化。

Additionally, Leader Harmonious Drive Systems has paid dividends over a period of three years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company over the next three years is expected to be approximately 36%. Still, forecasts suggest that Leader Harmonious Drive Systems' future ROE will rise to 7.5% even though the the company's payout ratio is not expected to change by much.

此外,绿的谐波在过去三年中支付了分红,这意味着公司的管理层决心支付分红,即使这意味着几乎没有盈利增长。我们的最新分析师数据显示,预计公司未来三年的派息率约为36%。尽管公司的派息率预计变化不大,但预测表明,绿的谐波未来的ROE将上升至7.5%。

Summary

总结

Overall, we have mixed feelings about Leader Harmonious Drive Systems. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. Having said that, looking at the current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings are expected to gain momentum. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

总体而言,我们对绿的谐波的看法不一。虽然该公司的利润留存率很高,但其低回报率可能会阻碍其盈利增长。话虽如此,查看当前分析师的估计,我们发现该公司的盈利预计将获得动力。要了解更多关于该公司的最新分析师预测,请查看该公司的分析师预测可视化。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。

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