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Tonghua Dongbao Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600867) Has Been On A Rise But Financial Prospects Look Weak: Is The Stock Overpriced?

Tonghua Dongbao Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600867) Has Been On A Rise But Financial Prospects Look Weak: Is The Stock Overpriced?

通化东宝药业股份有限公司(上交所代码:600867)股票一直在上涨,但财务前景看起来疲弱:这只股票是否被高估?
Simply Wall St ·  2024/12/12 14:07

Most readers would already be aware that Tonghua Dongbao Pharmaceutical's (SHSE:600867) stock increased significantly by 16% over the past three months. However, in this article, we decided to focus on its weak fundamentals, as long-term financial performance of a business is what ultimately dictates market outcomes. Specifically, we decided to study Tonghua Dongbao Pharmaceutical's ROE in this article.

大多数读者可能已经意识到,通化东宝的股票在过去三个月内显著上涨了16%。然而,在这篇文章中,我们决定关注其较弱的基本面,因为一个企业的长期财务表现最终决定了市场结果。具体来说,我们决定在本文中研究通化东宝的ROE。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

股本回报率(ROE)是测试公司如何有效增长其价值和管理投资者资金的指标。简单来说,它用于评估公司在其股本资本方面的盈利能力。

How Is ROE Calculated?

净资产收益率怎么计算?

The formula for ROE is:

roe的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股东权益回报率 = 净利润(来自持续运营)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Tonghua Dongbao Pharmaceutical is:

因此,根据上述公式,通化东宝的ROE为:

5.3% = CN¥341m ÷ CN¥6.4b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

5.3% = CN¥34100万 ÷ CN¥64亿(基于截至2024年9月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the yearly profit. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.05.

‘回报’是年度利润。所以,这意味着每投资CN¥1,公司的利润为CN¥0.05。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

roe与盈利增长有何关系?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

我们已经确认ROE作为公司未来收益的有效利润生成指标。现在我们需要评估公司再投资或"保留"多少利润以支持未来增长,这样我们才能了解到公司的增长潜力。一般来说,在其他条件相同的情况下,拥有高股本回报率和利润保留的公司,其增长率往往高于没有这些特征的公司。

Tonghua Dongbao Pharmaceutical's Earnings Growth And 5.3% ROE

通化东宝的盈利增长和5.3%的ROE

At first glance, Tonghua Dongbao Pharmaceutical's ROE doesn't look very promising. We then compared the company's ROE to the broader industry and were disappointed to see that the ROE is lower than the industry average of 7.7%. Therefore, Tonghua Dongbao Pharmaceutical's flat earnings over the past five years can possibly be explained by the low ROE amongst other factors.

乍一看,通化东宝的ROE看起来并不太乐观。我们随即将公司的ROE与更广泛的行业进行了比较,失望地看到其ROE低于行业平均水平的7.7%。因此,通化东宝过去五年的平稳盈利可能可以通过低ROE等因素来解释。

We then compared Tonghua Dongbao Pharmaceutical's net income growth with the industry and found that the average industry growth rate was 9.1% in the same 5-year period.

我们接着将通化东宝的净利润增长与行业进行了比较,发现行业的平均增长率在同一5年期间为9.1%。

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SHSE:600867 Past Earnings Growth December 12th 2024
SHSE:600867 过去的盈利增长 2024年12月12日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Tonghua Dongbao Pharmaceutical is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

盈利增长是评估股票时需要考虑的重要指标。投资者需要了解市场是否已经反映出公司预期的盈利增长(或下降)。这帮助他们判断该股票在未来是光明还是黯淡。一个预期盈利增长的良好指标是市盈率,它反映了市场愿意为一只股票支付的价格,基于其盈利前景。因此,您可能想查看通化东宝的市盈率是相对行业来说高还是低。

Is Tonghua Dongbao Pharmaceutical Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

通化东宝是否有效利用其留存收益?

The high three-year median payout ratio of 57% (meaning, the company retains only 43% of profits) for Tonghua Dongbao Pharmaceutical suggests that the company's earnings growth was miniscule as a result of paying out a majority of its earnings.

通化东宝高达57%的三年中位支付比率(意味着公司仅保留43%的利润)表明,由于支付了大多数盈利,公司的盈利增长极为微小。

Moreover, Tonghua Dongbao Pharmaceutical has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.

此外,通化东宝已经支付分红至少十年,这表明管理层可能认为股东更偏好分红而非盈利增长。

Summary

总结

On the whole, Tonghua Dongbao Pharmaceutical's performance is quite a big let-down. Because the company is not reinvesting much into the business, and given the low ROE, it's not surprising to see the lack or absence of growth in its earnings. Having said that, looking at current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings growth rate is expected to see a huge improvement. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

总体而言,通化东宝的表现相当令人失望。因为公司并没有在业务中进行大量再投资,再加上低ROE,看到其盈利缺乏或没有增长是可以理解的。然而,从当前分析师的预估来看,我们发现公司的盈利增长率预计将会有很大的改善。想了解更多关于该公司的最新分析师预测,请查看这份关于该公司的分析师预测可视化图。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。

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