Oil prices settled more than $1 higher on Wednesday after the European Union agreed to an additional round of sanctions threatening Russian oil flows that could tighten global crude supplies.
Brent crude futures settled up US$1.33, or 1.84%, to US$73.52 a barrel. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures rose US$1.70, or 2.48%, to US$70.29. European Union ambassadors agreed on Wednesday to a 15th package of sanctions on Russia over its war against Ukraine, the Hungarian EU presidency said.
"I welcome the adoption of our 15th package of sanctions, targeting in particular Russia's shadow fleet", European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said on X.
The "shadow fleet" has aided Russia in bypassing the US$60 per barrel price cap imposed by the G7 on Russian seaborne crude oil in 2022, and has helped keep Russian oil flowing.
"The renewed seriousness about clamping down on flows here is potentially supportive, and is offsetting the traditional demand metric that we have been focusing on," said John Kilduff, partner at Again Capital in New York.
Curbing price gains on Wednesday, gasoline and distillate inventories rose by more than expected last week, according to data from the Energy Information Administration, weighing on crude prices.
Meanwhile, producers' group OPEC cut its forecasts for demand growth in 2024 and 2025 for the fifth straight month on Wednesday and by the largest amount yet.
"OPEC are squaring up to reality about what they are facing, the (demand growth forecast) cuts highlight that they have their hands full in terms of trying to balance this market heading into 2025," Again Capital's Kilduff added.
OPEC+, which groups members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries with other producers such as Russia, earlier this month delayed plans to start raising output. Weak demand, particularly in top importer China, and non-OPEC+ supply growth were two factors behind the move.
China said on Monday it would adopt an "appropriately loose" monetary policy in 2025 marking the first easing of its stance in 14 years.
"We believe Chinese monetary and fiscal stimulus will be key data points to watch for the coming year," Zhu added.
Chinese crude imports also grew annually for the first time in seven months in November, up more than 14% from a year earlier. Meanwhile, the Kremlin said that reports of a possible tightening of US sanctions on Russian oil suggested the administration of US President Joe Biden wants to leave a difficult legacy for US-Russia relations.
Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said on Wednesday that the US is continuing to look for creative ways to reduce Russia's oil revenue and lower global demand for oil create an opportunity for more sanctions.
在欧盟同意实施新一轮制裁,威胁到俄罗斯石油流动之后,油价在周三上涨超过1美元,可能会紧缩全球原油供应。
布伦特原油期货上涨1.33美元,或1.84%,报每桶73.52美元。美国西德克萨斯中质原油期货上涨1.70美元,或2.48%,报每桶70.29美元。欧盟大使周三达成一致,通过第15套对俄罗斯因其在乌克兰发动战争的制裁方案,匈牙利欧盟主席国表示。
欧盟委员会主席乌尔苏拉·冯德莱恩在X上表示:“我欢迎我们第15套制裁方案的通过,特别针对俄罗斯的影子舰队。”
“影子舰队”帮助俄罗斯绕过2022年七国集团对俄罗斯海运WTI原油每桶60美元的价格上限,并帮助维持俄罗斯石油的持续流动。
Again Capital的合伙人约翰·基尔达夫在纽约表示:“关于遏制这里的流动的再次认真态度可能会形成支持,并抵消我们一直在关注的传统需求指标。”
根据能源信息署的数据,周三减少价格上涨的原因是,上周汽油和馏分油库存超过预期增加,压制了原油价格。
与此同时,生产者组织OPEC在周三连续第五个月下调2024年和2025年的需求增长预测,降幅为最大。
Again Capital的基尔达夫补充道:“OPEC正在与他们面临的现实进行较量,(需求增长预测)削减显示在2025年前,他们努力平衡市场的任务繁重。”
欧佩克+,即石油输出国组织与其他生产国(如俄罗斯)联合,在本月早些时候推迟了开始增产的计划。需求疲软,尤其是对进口大国中国的需求,以及非欧佩克+的供应增长是此次决定背后的两个因素。
中国周一表示将于2025年采取"适度宽松"的货币政策,这是14年来首次放松立场。
"我们认为,中国的货币和财政刺激措施将在未来一年中成为关键数据点,"朱补充道。
中国的原油进口在11月份也首次在七个月内实现同比增长,较去年增长超过14%。与此同时,克里姆林宫表示,有关美国可能收紧对俄罗斯石油制裁的报道表明,美国总统乔·拜登的政府希望为美俄关系留下艰难的遗产。
财政部长珍妮特·耶伦周三表示,美国正在继续寻找创造性的方式来减少俄罗斯的石油营业收入,并降低全球对石油的需求,以便为更多制裁创造机会。