We Think ORIC Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:ORIC) Can Afford To Drive Business Growth
We Think ORIC Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:ORIC) Can Afford To Drive Business Growth
We can readily understand why investors are attracted to unprofitable companies. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery. Nonetheless, only a fool would ignore the risk that a loss making company burns through its cash too quickly.
我们可以很容易理解为什么投资者会被无利润公司吸引。例如,生物技术和矿业勘探公司在找到新疗法或矿物发现之前,通常会亏损多年。然而,只有傻瓜才会忽视亏损公司迅速耗尽现金的风险。
So should ORIC Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:ORIC) shareholders be worried about its cash burn? In this report, we will consider the company's annual negative free cash flow, henceforth referring to it as the 'cash burn'. Let's start with an examination of the business' cash, relative to its cash burn.
那么,ORIC Pharmaceuticals(纳斯达克:ORIC)的股东应该担心其现金消耗吗?在本报告中,我们将考虑公司的年度负自由现金流,接下来称其为“现金消耗”。让我们先查看一下企业的现金与其现金消耗的关系。
Does ORIC Pharmaceuticals Have A Long Cash Runway?
ORIC Pharmaceuticals是否有较长的现金延续期?
A company's cash runway is the amount of time it would take to burn through its cash reserves at its current cash burn rate. In September 2024, ORIC Pharmaceuticals had US$272m in cash, and was debt-free. In the last year, its cash burn was US$110m. So it had a cash runway of about 2.5 years from September 2024. Arguably, that's a prudent and sensible length of runway to have. The image below shows how its cash balance has been changing over the last few years.
公司的现金延续期是指在当前现金消耗率下,耗尽现金储备所需的时间。到2024年9月,ORIC Pharmaceuticals有27200万美元的现金,并且没有债务。在过去一年中,它的现金消耗为11000万美元。因此,从2024年9月开始,它的现金延续期大约为2.5年。可以说,这是一个审慎而合理的延续期。下图显示了过去几年其现金余额的变化情况。
How Is ORIC Pharmaceuticals' Cash Burn Changing Over Time?
ORIC Pharmaceuticals的现金消耗随时间变化情况如何?
ORIC Pharmaceuticals didn't record any revenue over the last year, indicating that it's an early stage company still developing its business. So while we can't look to sales to understand growth, we can look at how the cash burn is changing to understand how expenditure is trending over time. Over the last year its cash burn actually increased by 41%, which suggests that management are increasing investment in future growth, but not too quickly. However, the company's true cash runway will therefore be shorter than suggested above, if spending continues to increase. Clearly, however, the crucial factor is whether the company will grow its business going forward. For that reason, it makes a lot of sense to take a look at our analyst forecasts for the company.
ORIC Pharmaceuticals在过去一年没有记录到任何营业收入,这表明它仍然是一家处于早期阶段、尚在发展业务的公司。因此,虽然我们无法通过销售来理解增长,但我们可以观察现金消耗的变化来了解支出的趋势。在过去一年中,其现金消耗实际上增加了41%,这表明管理层正在加大对未来增长的投资,但并不是过快。然而,如果支出继续增加,公司真正的现金延续期将比上述建议的要短。然而,显然,关键因素是公司未来是否会发展业务。因此,查看我们分析师对公司的预测是非常有意义的。
How Easily Can ORIC Pharmaceuticals Raise Cash?
ORIC Pharmaceuticals如何轻松筹集资金?
While ORIC Pharmaceuticals does have a solid cash runway, its cash burn trajectory may have some shareholders thinking ahead to when the company may need to raise more cash. Issuing new shares, or taking on debt, are the most common ways for a listed company to raise more money for its business. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.
虽然ORIC Pharmaceuticals拥有稳定的现金流,但其现金消耗趋势可能让一些股东开始考虑公司何时需要再次筹集资金。发行新股或承债是上市公司为其业务筹集更多资金的最常见方式。通常,一家公司会出售自身的新股以筹集现金并推动增长。我们可以将公司的现金消耗与其市值进行比较,以了解公司需要发行多少新股来资助一年的运营。
ORIC Pharmaceuticals' cash burn of US$110m is about 17% of its US$637m market capitalisation. Given that situation, it's fair to say the company wouldn't have much trouble raising more cash for growth, but shareholders would be somewhat diluted.
ORIC Pharmaceuticals的现金消耗为11000万美元,约占其市值63700万美元的17%。在这种情况下,公平地说,公司的确不会在筹集更多发展资金方面遇到太大困难,但股东的持股比例会有所稀释。
So, Should We Worry About ORIC Pharmaceuticals' Cash Burn?
那么,我们需要担心ORIC Pharmaceuticals的现金消耗吗?
Even though its increasing cash burn makes us a little nervous, we are compelled to mention that we thought ORIC Pharmaceuticals' cash runway was relatively promising. Cash burning companies are always on the riskier side of things, but after considering all of the factors discussed in this short piece, we're not too worried about its rate of cash burn. On another note, ORIC Pharmaceuticals has 4 warning signs (and 2 which are potentially serious) we think you should know about.
尽管其不断增加的现金消耗让我们有些紧张,但我们不得不提到,我们认为ORIC Pharmaceuticals的现金流相对乐观。现金消耗型公司总是面临更高的风险,但在考虑了本文讨论的所有因素后,我们并不太担心其现金消耗率。另一方面,ORIC Pharmaceuticals存在4个警告信号(其中2个可能是严重的),我们认为您应该了解。
Of course ORIC Pharmaceuticals may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
当然,ORIC Pharmaceuticals可能不是最好的买入股票。因此,您可能希望查看这份高股本回报率的公司免费集合,或这份高内部持股的股票列表。
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