US$196 - That's What Analysts Think Oracle Corporation (NYSE:ORCL) Is Worth After These Results
US$196 - That's What Analysts Think Oracle Corporation (NYSE:ORCL) Is Worth After These Results
Last week, you might have seen that Oracle Corporation (NYSE:ORCL) released its quarterly result to the market. The early response was not positive, with shares down 5.1% to US$179 in the past week. Oracle reported US$14b in revenue, roughly in line with analyst forecasts, although statutory earnings per share (EPS) of US$1.10 beat expectations, being 2.9% higher than what the analysts expected. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.
上周,你可能已经看到甲骨文公司(纽约证券交易所代码:ORCL)向市场发布了季度业绩。早期的反应并不乐观,过去一周股价下跌5.1%,至179美元。甲骨文公布的收入为140亿美元,与分析师的预测大致一致,尽管1.10美元的法定每股收益(EPS)超出预期,比分析师的预期高出2.9%。对于投资者来说,盈利是一个重要时刻,因为他们可以追踪公司的业绩,查看分析师对明年的预测,看看对公司的情绪是否发生了变化。根据这些结果,我们收集了最新的法定预测,以了解分析师是否改变了盈利模式。
After the latest results, the 34 analysts covering Oracle are now predicting revenues of US$57.7b in 2025. If met, this would reflect an okay 5.0% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to accumulate 9.9% to US$4.57. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of US$58.1b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$4.61 in 2025. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.
根据最新业绩,涵盖甲骨文的34位分析师现在预测2025年的收入为577亿美元。如果得到满足,这将反映出收入与过去12个月相比增长了5.0%。每股收益预计将累积9.9%,至4.57美元。然而,在最新财报公布之前,分析师曾预计2025年收入为581亿美元,每股收益(EPS)为4.61美元。因此,很明显,尽管分析师已经更新了估计,但在最新业绩公布后,对该业务的预期没有重大变化。
The consensus price target rose 6.7% to US$196despite there being no meaningful change to earnings estimates. It could be that the analystsare reflecting the predictability of Oracle's earnings by assigning a price premium. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. There are some variant perceptions on Oracle, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at US$220 and the most bearish at US$140 per share. There are definitely some different views on the stock, but the range of estimates is not wide enough as to imply that the situation is unforecastable, in our view.
尽管收益预期没有有意义的变化,但共识目标股价上涨了6.7%,至196美元。可能是分析师通过分配价格溢价来反映甲骨文收益的可预测性。但是,这并不是我们可以从这些数据中得出的唯一结论,因为一些投资者在评估分析师目标股价时也喜欢考虑估计值的差异。对甲骨文的看法有所不同,最看涨的分析师认为甲骨文为220美元,最看跌的为每股140美元。对该股肯定有一些不同的看法,但在我们看来,估计范围还不够广,不足以暗示情况不可预测。
Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. The analysts are definitely expecting Oracle's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 10% annualised growth to the end of 2025 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 7.9% per annum over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to see revenue growth of 13% annually. It seems obvious that, while the future growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, Oracle is expected to grow slower than the wider industry.
我们可以从大局的角度看待这些估计值的另一种方式,例如预测如何与过去的表现相提并论,以及预测相对于业内其他公司是否或多或少看涨。分析师肯定预计甲骨文的增长将加速,预计到2025年底的年化增长率为10%,而过去五年的历史年增长率为7.9%。相比之下,同行业的其他公司预计年收入将增长13%。显而易见,尽管未来的增长前景比最近更光明,但甲骨文的增长预计将慢于整个行业。
The Bottom Line
底线
The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Fortunately, the analysts also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Although our data does suggest that Oracle's revenue is expected to perform worse than the wider industry. There was also a nice increase in the price target, with the analysts clearly feeling that the intrinsic value of the business is improving.
要了解的最重要的一点是,市场情绪没有重大变化,分析师再次确认该业务的表现符合他们先前的每股收益预期。幸运的是,分析师还重申了他们的收入预期,表明收入符合预期。尽管我们的数据确实表明,甲骨文的收入预计将比整个行业差。目标股价也大幅提高,分析师显然认为该业务的内在价值正在提高。
With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Oracle going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here..
话虽如此,公司收益的长期轨迹比明年重要得多。在Simply Wall St,我们有分析师对甲骨文到2027年的全方位估计,你可以在我们的平台上免费看到这些估计。
However, before you get too enthused, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Oracle that you should be aware of.
但是,在你变得过于热情之前,我们已经发现了两个你应该注意的 Oracle 警告信号。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并非旨在提供财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。华尔街只是没有持有上述任何股票的头寸。