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Is Compañía De Minas BuenaventuraA (NYSE:BVN) A Risky Investment?

Is Compañía De Minas BuenaventuraA (NYSE:BVN) A Risky Investment?

Buenaventura矿业公司(纽交所:BVN)是一个风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  12/12 07:13

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A.A. (NYSE:BVN) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

受伯克希尔·哈撒韦的查理·芒格支持的外部基金经理Li Lu坦言:‘最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久性的资本损失。’因此,聪明的钱知道债务通常涉及破产,这是评估公司风险的重要因素。值得注意的是,Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A.A. (纽交所:BVN)确实有债务。但股东应该担心其债务的使用吗?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务带来风险?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

一般来说,债务只有在公司无法轻松偿还时才会成为真正的问题,无论是通过筹集资本还是通过自身的现金流。最终,如果公司无法履行偿还债务的法律义务,股东可能会一无所获。虽然这种情况并不常见,但我们确实经常看到负债公司的股东被迫稀释,因为贷款方迫使他们以低价筹集资本。通过替代稀释,债务实际上可以成为需要资本以高回报率投资增长的公司的极佳工具。当我们审视债务水平时,首先会考虑现金和债务水平的结合。

What Is Compañía de Minas BuenaventuraA's Net Debt?

Compañía de Minas BuenaventuraA的净债务是多少?

As you can see below, Compañía de Minas BuenaventuraA had US$600.3m of debt, at September 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have US$457.9m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$142.4m.

正如下方所示,Compañía de Minas BuenaventuraA在2024年9月的债务为60030万美元,与前一年大致相同。您可以点击图表获取更详细的信息。然而,它有45790万美元的现金抵消这笔债务,使得净债务约为14240万美元。

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NYSE:BVN Debt to Equity History December 12th 2024
纽交所:BVN债务与股本历史 2024年12月12日

How Strong Is Compañía de Minas BuenaventuraA's Balance Sheet?

Compañía de Minas BuenaventuraA的资产负债表有多强?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Compañía de Minas BuenaventuraA had liabilities of US$444.0m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$978.8m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$457.9m in cash and US$255.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$709.8m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

仔细查看最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到Compañía de Minas BuenaventuraA的负债为44400万美元,12个月内到期,超出这个期限的负债为97880万美元。对此,它有45790万美元的现金和25500万美元的应收账款在12个月内到期。因此,其负债总额比现金和近期应收账款的总和高出70980万美元。

This deficit isn't so bad because Compañía de Minas BuenaventuraA is worth US$3.25b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

这个赤字并不算太糟,因为Compañía de Minas BuenaventuraA的估值为32.5亿美元,因而如果有需要,它可能筹集到足够的资本来支撑其资产负债表。但很明显,我们应该仔细检查它是否能够在不稀释的情况下管理其债务。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

我们使用两个主要比率来了解相对于收益的债务水平。第一个是净债务除以息税折旧摊销前利润(EBITDA),而第二个是它的息税前利润(EBIT)覆盖其利息支出的次数(或者简称为利息覆盖率)。这样,我们同时考虑债务的绝对数量以及所支付的利率。

Given net debt is only 0.41 times EBITDA, it is initially surprising to see that Compañía de Minas BuenaventuraA's EBIT has low interest coverage of 2.2 times. So while we're not necessarily alarmed we think that its debt is far from trivial. Notably, Compañía de Minas BuenaventuraA made a loss at the EBIT level, last year, but improved that to positive EBIT of US$196m in the last twelve months. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Compañía de Minas BuenaventuraA's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

考虑到净债务仅为EBITDA的0.41倍,初看Compañía de Minas BuenaventuraA的EBIT利息覆盖率仅为2.2倍令人惊讶。所以,虽然我们并不一定感到警觉,但我们认为其债务绝非微不足道。值得注意的是,Compañía de Minas BuenaventuraA在去年EBIT层面亏损,但在过去十二个月内改善为正EBIT,达到19600万美元。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表上学到的关于债务的知识最多。但决定Compañía de Minas BuenaventuraA未来保持健康资产负债表能力的,更多的是未来的收益。所以如果你关注未来,可以查看这份免费的报告,展示分析师的利润预测。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. Looking at the most recent year, Compañía de Minas BuenaventuraA recorded free cash flow of 25% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

最后,尽管税务机关可能非常喜欢会计利润,但放贷者只接受现金。因此,检查息税前利润(EBIT)有多少由自由现金流支持是值得的。查看最新的一年,Compañía de Minas BuenaventuraA记录的自由现金流为其EBIT的25%,这低于我们的预期。对于偿还债务来说,这并不好。

Our View

我们的观点

Neither Compañía de Minas BuenaventuraA's ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT nor its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But its net debt to EBITDA tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Compañía de Minas BuenaventuraA is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Compañía de Minas BuenaventuraA that you should be aware of before investing here.

恩内公司对美洲矿业的能力以EBIT覆盖其利息支出,或者EBIT转化为自由现金流让我们对其承担更多债务的能力缺乏信心。但其净债务与EBITDA的比例却讲述了一个截然不同的故事,并表明一定的韧性。综观上述所有角度,我们认为恩内公司对美洲矿业因债务而成为一种有一定风险的投资。并非所有风险都是坏的,如果得以回报可以提升股价回报,但这份债务风险值得关注。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是起点。但最终,每家公司都可能存在资产负债表外的风险。例如,我们发现美洲矿业存在1个警示信号,在此投资前你应该注意。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果你是那种喜欢购买没有债务负担的股票的投资者,那么不要犹豫,今天就来发现我们独家的净现金成长股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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