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Alaska Air's 2027 EPS Target May Exceed Expectations Amid Growth Drivers: Analyst Highlights Single Loyalty Program

Alaska Air's 2027 EPS Target May Exceed Expectations Amid Growth Drivers: Analyst Highlights Single Loyalty Program

阿拉斯加航空2027年每股收益目标可能超出预期,增长动力分析师强调单一忠诚度计划
Benzinga ·  2024/12/13 03:15

Alaska Air Group, Inc. (NYSE:ALK) shares are trading higher on Thursday.

阿拉斯加航空集团(纽交所:ALK)股份在周四交易中上涨。

Goldman Sachs analyst Catherine O'Brien indicates that there could be potential upside to the company's 2027 EPS target, taking into account factors such as the recently announced $1 billion share repurchase authorization, improvements in the industry environment, the full recovery of Hawaiian's revenue, the economic benefits from a new joint co-brand credit card deal, and potential solutions to mitigate the current volatility in West Coast jet fuel crack spreads.

高盛分析师凯瑟琳·奥布赖恩指出,考虑到最近宣布的10亿美元股份回购授权、行业环境的改善、夏威夷营业收入的全面恢复、新的联合品牌信用卡协议带来的经济利益,以及减轻当前西海岸航空燃料裂解价差波动的潜在解决方案,公司的2027每股收益目标有潜在的上行空间。

The analyst notes that the company plans to transition to a single loyalty program in the second half of 2025.

分析师指出,公司计划在2025年下半年过渡到单一忠诚度计划。

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Per O'Brien, a new agreement is expected to follow this transition, likely before the current contracts expire, based on industry practices of renegotiating ahead of expiration.

根据奥布赖恩的说法,预计新的协议将在此次过渡之后达成,可能在当前合同到期之前,这是基于行业在到期前重新谈判的惯例。

The analyst writes that the company's $70 price forecast is based on a normalized EBITDAR valuation methodology, applying a 3.1x EV/EBITDAR multiple to a normalized EBITDAR estimate of $3.7 billion.

分析师写道,公司70美元的价格预期是基于归一化EBITDAR估值方法,应用3.1倍的企业价值与EBITDAR的比率,对37亿美元的归一化EBITDAR估算。

The analyst highlights key risks, including potential integration challenges from the recent merger with Hawaiian, higher-than-expected costs from open labor agreements, and possible future delivery disruptions from Boeing Company.

分析师强调了关键风险,包括与夏威夷的近期合并所带来的潜在整合挑战、来自开放劳工协议的成本高于预期,以及波音公司的未来交付中可能出现的干扰。

The analyst estimates the company's FY24 revenues of $11.711 billion. The analyst projects FY25 revenues of $14.734 billion.

分析师估计公司2024财年的营业收入为117.11亿美元。分析师预测2025财年的营业收入为147.34亿美元。

Price Action: ALK shares are trading lower by 0.05% to $64.06 at last check Thursday.

价格走势:ALk股票最新交易价格为64.06美元,较前期下跌0.05%。

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