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Is Yongjin Technology Group (SHSE:603995) Using Too Much Debt?

Is Yongjin Technology Group (SHSE:603995) Using Too Much Debt?

甬金股份(SHSE:603995)是否使用了过多的债务?
Simply Wall St ·  12/12 17:22

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Yongjin Technology Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603995) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

由伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金经理李露对此毫不掩饰,他说:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。”当我们思考一家公司的风险有多大时,我们总是喜欢考虑其债务的用途,因为债务过载可能导致破产。我们可以看到,永进科技集团有限公司(SHSE: 603995)确实在其业务中使用了债务。但真正的问题是这笔债务是否使公司面临风险。

When Is Debt A Problem?

债务何时成为问题?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

债务是帮助企业增长的工具,但是如果企业无法还清贷款人的债务,那么债务就任其摆布。最终,如果公司无法履行偿还债务的法律义务,股东可能会一无所获。但是,更常见(但仍然令人痛苦)的情况是,它必须以低廉的价格筹集新的股本,从而永久稀释股东。当然,债务的好处在于它通常代表廉价资本,尤其是当它以高回报率进行再投资的能力取代公司的稀释时。当我们考虑公司使用债务时,我们首先将现金和债务放在一起考虑。

What Is Yongjin Technology Group's Net Debt?

永进科技集团的净负债是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 Yongjin Technology Group had debt of CN¥4.01b, up from CN¥2.66b in one year. However, it also had CN¥1.43b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥2.58b.

您可以点击下图查看更多详情,该图片显示,截至2024年9月,永进科技集团的债务为40.1元人民币,高于一年内的26.6元人民币。但是,它也有14.3元人民币的现金,因此其净负债为25.8元人民币。

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SHSE:603995 Debt to Equity History December 12th 2024
SHSE: 603995 2024 年 12 月 12 日债务与股权比率历史记录

How Strong Is Yongjin Technology Group's Balance Sheet?

永进科技集团的资产负债表有多强?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Yongjin Technology Group had liabilities of CN¥6.58b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥2.11b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.43b as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.47b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥5.79b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看出,永进科技集团的负债为65.8元人民币,12个月内到期,负债为21.1元人民币。除了这些债务外,它还有14.3元人民币的现金以及价值14.7元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,其负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的总额高出57.9元人民币。

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of CN¥7.41b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Yongjin Technology Group's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

相对于其74.1元人民币的市值,这一赤字相当可观,因此这确实表明股东应密切关注永进科技集团的债务使用情况。如果其贷款人要求其支撑资产负债表,股东可能会面临严重的稀释。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

为了扩大公司相对于收益的负债规模,我们计算其净负债除以其扣除利息、税项、折旧和摊销前的收益(EBITDA)和其利息和税前收益(EBIT)除以其利息支出(利息保障)。这样,我们既要考虑债务的绝对数量,也要考虑为其支付的利率。

Yongjin Technology Group's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 1.6 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its commanding EBIT of 10.2 times its interest expense, implies the debt load is as light as a peacock feather. In addition to that, we're happy to report that Yongjin Technology Group has boosted its EBIT by 52%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Yongjin Technology Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

永进科技集团的净负债与息税折旧摊销前利润的比率约为1.6,这表明债务的使用量不大。其惊人的息税前利润是其利息支出的10.2倍,这意味着债务负担像孔雀羽毛一样轻。除此之外,我们很高兴地报告,永进科技集团已将其息税前利润提高了52%,从而减少了对未来债务偿还的担忧。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但最终,该业务的未来盈利能力将决定永进科技集团能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果您专注于未来,可以查看这份显示分析师利润预测的免费报告。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Yongjin Technology Group burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

最后,尽管税务人员可能喜欢会计利润,但贷款人只接受冷硬现金。因此,我们总是检查该息税前利润中有多少转化为自由现金流。在过去的三年中,永进科技集团烧毁了大量现金。尽管投资者无疑预计这种情况将在适当的时候逆转,但这显然意味着其使用债务的风险更大。

Our View

我们的观点

Neither Yongjin Technology Group's ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow nor its level of total liabilities gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But the good news is it seems to be able to grow its EBIT with ease. We think that Yongjin Technology Group's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Yongjin Technology Group that you should be aware of before investing here.

永进科技集团将息税前利润转换为自由现金流的能力及其总负债水平都没有使我们对其承担更多债务的能力充满信心。但好消息是,它似乎能够轻松增长其息税前利润。综合考虑上述数据点后,我们认为永进科技集团的债务确实使其有点风险。这不一定是一件坏事,因为杠杆可以提高股本回报率,但这是需要注意的事情。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。例如,我们发现了永进科技集团的一个警告信号,在投资这里之前,你应该注意这个信号。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有兴趣投资能够在没有债务负担的情况下增加利润的企业,那么请查看这份资产负债表上有净现金的成长型企业的免费清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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