Jiangsu Liba Enterprise (SHSE:603519) Shareholders Notch a 11% CAGR Over 5 Years, yet Earnings Have Been Shrinking
Jiangsu Liba Enterprise (SHSE:603519) Shareholders Notch a 11% CAGR Over 5 Years, yet Earnings Have Been Shrinking
Generally speaking the aim of active stock picking is to find companies that provide returns that are superior to the market average. Buying under-rated businesses is one path to excess returns. For example, the Jiangsu Liba Enterprise Joint-Stock Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603519) share price is up 32% in the last 5 years, clearly besting the market return of around 17% (ignoring dividends). On the other hand, the more recent gains haven't been so impressive, with shareholders gaining just 32%, including dividends.
一般来说,主动选股的目标是找到提供高于市场平均回报的公司。 买入被低估的企业是实现超额回报的一种途径。例如,江苏立霸股份有限公司(SHSE:603519)的股价在过去五年上涨了32%,显然超过了大约17%的市场回报(不考虑分红)。另一方面,最近的涨幅并不那么令人印象深刻,股东仅获得了32%的收益,包括分红。
Since the stock has added CN¥504m to its market cap in the past week alone, let's see if underlying performance has been driving long-term returns.
由于该股票在过去一周增加了50400万元的市值,我们来看看基本面表现是否推动了长期回报。
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
虽然有效市场假说仍然会被一些人教授,但已经证明市场是过度反应的动态系统,投资者并不总是理性的。考察市场情绪随时间变化的一种方法是查看公司股价与每股收益(EPS)之间的互动。
During five years of share price growth, Jiangsu Liba Enterprise actually saw its EPS drop 1.2% per year.
在五年的股价增长中,江苏立霸股份实际每股收益下降了1.2%。
By glancing at these numbers, we'd posit that the decline in earnings per share is not representative of how the business has changed over the years. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.
从这些数字来看,我们可以推测每股收益的下降并不能代表公司多年来的变化。由于每股收益的变化似乎与股价变化不相关,因此值得查看其他指标。
In contrast revenue growth of 4.9% per year is probably viewed as evidence that Jiangsu Liba Enterprise is growing, a real positive. In that case, the company may be sacrificing current earnings per share to drive growth.
相比之下,4.9% 的年度营业收入增长可能被视为江苏立霸企业正在增长的证据,这是一个真正的积极因素。在这种情况下,该公司可能正在牺牲当前的每股收益以推动增长。
The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
以下图像显示了公司的营业收入和盈利(随时间变化)(单击以查看准确的数字)。
You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.
您可以通过这个免费的互动图形查看其资产负债表随时间的增强(或减弱)。
What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?
那么,股东总回报(TSR)呢?
Investors should note that there's a difference between Jiangsu Liba Enterprise's total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price change, which we've covered above. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Dividends have been really beneficial for Jiangsu Liba Enterprise shareholders, and that cash payout contributed to why its TSR of 72%, over the last 5 years, is better than the share price return.
投资者应注意,江苏立霸企业的股东总回报(TSR)与其股价变化之间存在差异,我们在上文中已经讨论过。TSR 是一种回报计算,考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何分红都被再投资)以及任何折扣资本筹集和拆分的计算价值。分红派息对江苏立霸企业的股东非常有利,这一现金支付也为其过去五年72%的 TSR 优于股价回报做出了贡献。
A Different Perspective
不同的视角
It's good to see that Jiangsu Liba Enterprise has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 32% in the last twelve months. That's better than the annualised return of 11% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Jiangsu Liba Enterprise (1 is a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
看到江苏立霸股份在过去十二个月内为股东提供了32%的总股东回报,我感到很高兴。这比过去五年年化回报11%更好,这意味着公司最近表现得更好。在最佳情况下,这可能暗示出一些真正的业务动能,这意味着现在可能是深入研究的好时机。我发现从长远来看,观察股价作为业务表现的代理指标非常有趣。但要真正获得洞察,我们还需要考虑其他信息。例如,我们发现江苏立霸股份存在2个警示信号(其中1个稍显令人担忧!)您在这里投资前应该了解。
But note: Jiangsu Liba Enterprise may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).
但请注意:江苏立霸股份可能不是最佳购买股票。所以请查看这份免费的有趣公司名单,里面有过去的盈利增长(以及进一步的增长预测)。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。