Jiahe Foods Industry Co., Ltd. (SHSE:605300) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 26% gain in the last month alone. Notwithstanding the latest gain, the annual share price return of 2.4% isn't as impressive.
Even after such a large jump in price, given about half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 38x, you may still consider Jiahe Foods Industry as an attractive investment with its 32.3x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, Jiahe Foods Industry has been very sluggish. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to improve at all. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping the earnings slide doesn't get any worse if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
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What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Jiahe Foods Industry's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 16%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 14% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to slump, contracting by 1.1% per year during the coming three years according to the dual analysts following the company. With the market predicted to deliver 21% growth per year, that's a disappointing outcome.
In light of this, it's understandable that Jiahe Foods Industry's P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. However, shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.
What We Can Learn From Jiahe Foods Industry's P/E?
Despite Jiahe Foods Industry's shares building up a head of steam, its P/E still lags most other companies. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Jiahe Foods Industry's analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking earnings is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - Jiahe Foods Industry has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
You might be able to find a better investment than Jiahe Foods Industry. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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