When close to half the companies in the Infrastructure industry in China have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.2x, you may consider Shanghai International Airport Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600009) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 7.3x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
How Has Shanghai International Airport Performed Recently?
With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Shanghai International Airport has been doing relatively well. It seems the market expects this form will continue into the future, hence the elevated P/S ratio. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Shanghai International Airport.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Shanghai International Airport would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 33% gain to the company's top line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 77% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 15% per year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be similar to the 13% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this information, we find it interesting that Shanghai International Airport is trading at a high P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Key Takeaway
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Seeing as its revenues are forecast to grow in line with the wider industry, it would appear that Shanghai International Airport currently trades on a higher than expected P/S. The fact that the revenue figures aren't setting the world alight has us doubtful that the company's elevated P/S can be sustainable for the long term. Unless the company can jump ahead of the rest of the industry in the short-term, it'll be a challenge to maintain the share price at current levels.
Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with Shanghai International Airport.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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