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Amdocs Limited (NASDAQ:DOX) Stock's Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Decent: Will The Market Correct The Share Price In The Future?

Amdocs Limited (NASDAQ:DOX) Stock's Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Decent: Will The Market Correct The Share Price In The Future?

Amdocs有限公司(纳斯达克:DOX)股票一直在下跌,但基本面看起来不错:市场会在未来纠正股价吗?
Simply Wall St ·  12/13 05:08

It is hard to get excited after looking at Amdocs' (NASDAQ:DOX) recent performance, when its stock has declined 4.6% over the past month. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financials over the long term, which in this case look pretty respectable. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Amdocs' ROE today.

在看到Amdocs(纳斯达克:DOX)最近的表现后,很难感到兴奋,因为其股票在过去一个月下跌了4.6%。然而,股票价格通常是由公司的财务状况在长期内驱动,而在这种情况下,看起来相当可观。特别是,我们今天将关注Amdocs的ROE。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

股东权益回报率(ROE)是衡量公司价值增长和管理投资者资金有效性的一项指标。简而言之,ROE展示了每一美元相对于股东投资所带来的利润。

How Is ROE Calculated?

净资产收益率怎么计算?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

净资产收益率可以通过以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股东权益回报率 = 净利润(来自持续运营)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Amdocs is:

所以,根据上述公式,Amdocs的roe为:

14% = US$496m ÷ US$3.5b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

14% = 49600万美金 ÷ 35亿美金(基于截至2024年9月的过去12个月)。

The 'return' is the yearly profit. That means that for every $1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated $0.14 in profit.

“回报”是年度利润。这意味着每1美元的股东权益,公司产生了0.14美元的利润。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

roe与盈利增长有何关系?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

我们已经确定,ROE作为公司未来收益的有效利润产生指标。根据公司再投资或“保留”这些利润的程度,以及其效率,我们能够评估公司的收益增长潜力。一般来说,在其他条件相同的情况下,具备高股东权益回报率和利润留存的公司,其增长率通常高于不具备这些特征的公司。

Amdocs' Earnings Growth And 14% ROE

Amdocs的盈利增长和14%的ROE

To start with, Amdocs' ROE looks acceptable. Further, the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 13%. Despite this, Amdocs' five year net income growth was quite flat over the past five years. We reckon that there could be some other factors at play here that's limiting the company's growth. Such as, the company pays out a huge portion of its earnings as dividends, or is faced with competitive pressures.

首先,Amdocs的ROE看起来是可以接受的。进一步来说,该公司的ROE与行业平均水平13%相似。尽管如此,Amdocs过去五年的净利润增长却相当平稳。我们认为,这可能有一些其他因素在影响公司的增长。例如,公司将其收益的很大一部分作为分红派息支付,或者面临竞争压力。

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that the industry grew its earnings by 6.4% over the last few years.

接下来,在与行业净利润增长比较时,我们发现行业在过去几年中增长了6.4%的收益。

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NasdaqGS:DOX Past Earnings Growth December 13th 2024
纳斯达克GS:DOX过去的盈利增长 2024年12月13日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. What is DOX worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether DOX is currently mispriced by the market.

为公司赋值的基础在很大程度上与其盈利增长相关。投资者了解市场是否已考虑到公司的预期盈利增长(或下降)是非常重要的。这有助于他们判断股票在未来是光明还是黯淡。目前DOX的价值是多少?我们免费研究报告中的内在价值信息图帮助可视化DOX当前是否被市场错定价。

Is Amdocs Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Amdocs是否有效利用其盈利?

Despite having a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 35% (meaning the company retains65% of profits) in the last three-year period, Amdocs' earnings growth was more or les flat. Therefore, there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

尽管在过去三年间,其中位派息比率为35%(这意味着公司保留了65%的盈利),但Amdocs的盈利增长几乎没有变化。因此,可能还有其他原因解释这一点。例如,业务可能在下降。

Additionally, Amdocs has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth. Existing analyst estimates suggest that the company's future payout ratio is expected to drop to 24% over the next three years. The fact that the company's ROE is expected to rise to 21% over the same period is explained by the drop in the payout ratio.

此外,Amdocs在至少十年的时间里支付了分红,这意味着公司的管理层决心支付分红,即使这意味着几乎没有盈利增长。现有分析师的估计建议,该公司的未来派息比率预计将在未来三年内降至24%。而且,该公司ROE预计在同一时期内将上升至21%,这可以通过派息比率的下降来解释。

Conclusion

结论

In total, it does look like Amdocs has some positive aspects to its business. Yet, the low earnings growth is a bit concerning, especially given that the company has a high rate of return and is reinvesting ma huge portion of its profits. By the looks of it, there could be some other factors, not necessarily in control of the business, that's preventing growth. Having said that, looking at current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings growth rate is expected to see a huge improvement. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

总体来看,Amdocs的业务确实有一些积极的方面。然而,收益增长缓慢令人担忧,特别是考虑到该公司的回报率较高,并且正在将大部分利润再投资。看起来可能还有一些其他因素,并不完全在公司的控制之内,阻碍了增长。尽管如此,根据目前分析师的估计,我们发现公司的收益增长率预计将会有大幅改善。要了解有关该公司的最新分析师预测,请查看此公司分析师预测的可视化图表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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