Prada S.p.A.'s (HKG:1913) Stock Is Going Strong: Is the Market Following Fundamentals?
Prada S.p.A.'s (HKG:1913) Stock Is Going Strong: Is the Market Following Fundamentals?
Prada's (HKG:1913) stock is up by a considerable 26% over the past three months. Given the company's impressive performance, we decided to study its financial indicators more closely as a company's financial health over the long-term usually dictates market outcomes. In this article, we decided to focus on Prada's ROE.
普拉达(HKG:1913)的股票在过去三个月上涨了26%。鉴于公司表现优异,我们决定更加深入地研究其财务指标,因为公司的财务健康状况通常主导市场结果。本文我们决定重点关注普拉达的ROE。
Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.
股本回报率或ROE是股东需要考虑的重要因素,因为它告诉他们自己的资本是如何有效地被再投资的。简单来说,它衡量的是公司相对于股东权益的盈利能力。
How To Calculate Return On Equity?
如何计算股东权益回报率?
The formula for return on equity is:
股东权益回报率的公式是:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
股东权益回报率 = 净利润(来自持续运营)÷ 股东权益
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Prada is:
因此,根据上述公式,普拉达的ROE为:
19% = €752m ÷ €3.9b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).
19% = €75200万 ÷ €39亿(基于截至2024年6月的过去十二个月)。
The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every HK$1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of HK$0.19.
“回报”是指在过去十二个月中税后获得的金额。因此,这意味着每HK$1的股东投资,公司产生的利润为HK$0.19。
What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?
What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?
Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.
到目前为止,我们已经了解到roe衡量公司生成利润的效率。根据公司再投资或“保留”的利润比例及其有效性,我们能够评估公司的收益增长潜力。在其他一切保持不变的情况下,roe和利润保留率越高,公司的增长率就越高,相比于那些不一定拥有这些特性的公司。
A Side By Side comparison of Prada's Earnings Growth And 19% ROE
普拉达的收益增长与19% ROE的并排比较
To start with, Prada's ROE looks acceptable. Especially when compared to the industry average of 11% the company's ROE looks pretty impressive. This certainly adds some context to Prada's exceptional 39% net income growth seen over the past five years. However, there could also be other causes behind this growth. For example, it is possible that the company's management has made some good strategic decisions, or that the company has a low payout ratio.
首先,普拉达的ROE看起来是可以接受的。尤其是与行业平均水平11%相比,该公司的ROE显得非常出色。这确实为普拉达在过去五年中观察到的39%的净利润增长提供了一些背景。然而,这一增长背后可能还有其他原因。例如,该公司管理层可能做出了一些良好的战略决策,或者公司有较低的分红派息比率。
As a next step, we compared Prada's net income growth with the industry, and pleasingly, we found that the growth seen by the company is higher than the average industry growth of 15%.
作为下一步,我们将普拉达的净利润增长与行业进行了比较,让人欣慰的是,我们发现该公司的增长高于行业平均15%的增长。
The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Prada is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.
对公司的估值基础在很大程度上与其盈利增长相关。投资者应尝试确定预期的盈利增长或下降,无论哪种情况是否已计入价格。这样有助于他们判断股票未来的前景是光明还是黯淡。一个良好的预期盈利增长指标是市盈率,它决定了市场愿意为股票支付的价格,基于其盈利前景。因此,您可能希望检查普拉达的市盈率是相对行业而言的高市盈率还是低市盈率。
Is Prada Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?
普拉达是否有效利用其利润?
Prada has a three-year median payout ratio of 48% (where it is retaining 52% of its income) which is not too low or not too high. By the looks of it, the dividend is well covered and Prada is reinvesting its profits efficiently as evidenced by its exceptional growth which we discussed above.
普拉达的三年中位派息比率为48%(其中保留了52%的收入),这既不低也不高。从外观上看,分红得到了很好的覆盖,普拉达有效地再投资其利润,正如我们上述讨论的其卓越增长所证明的那样。
Besides, Prada has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 53% of its profits over the next three years. Accordingly, forecasts suggest that Prada's future ROE will be 20% which is again, similar to the current ROE.
此外,普拉达至少已经支付了十年的分红。这表明公司致力于与其股东分享利润。通过研究最新的分析师共识数据,我们发现公司预计在未来三年内将继续支付约53%的利润。因此,预测显示,普拉达未来的ROE将为20%,这与当前的ROE相似。
Conclusion
结论
In total, we are pretty happy with Prada's performance. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business, and at a high rate of return. Unsurprisingly, this has led to an impressive earnings growth. That being so, a study of the latest analyst forecasts show that the company is expected to see a slowdown in its future earnings growth. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.
总的来说,我们对普拉达的表现很满意。特别是,我们喜欢该公司正在大力 reinvest 其业务,并且回报率很高。可以想见,这导致了令人印象深刻的盈利增长。尽管如此,最新的分析师预测研究显示,该公司未来的盈利增长预计将放缓。要了解更多关于该公司未来的盈利增长预测,请查看此份免费的分析师预测报告以获取更多信息。
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