Shanghai Golden Union Commercial Management Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:603682) On An Uptrend But Financial Prospects Look Pretty Weak: Is The Stock Overpriced?
Shanghai Golden Union Commercial Management Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:603682) On An Uptrend But Financial Prospects Look Pretty Weak: Is The Stock Overpriced?
Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd (SHSE:603682) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 55% over the last three months. However, in this article, we decided to focus on its weak fundamentals, as long-term financial performance of a business is what ultimately dictates market outcomes. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd's ROE today.
上海金联商业管理有限公司 (SHSE:603682) 在股市上表现出色,过去三个月其股票上涨了显著的55%。然而,在这篇文章中,我们决定关注其基本面较弱的问题,因为一家企业的长期财务表现最终决定市场结果。特别是,我们今天将关注上海金联商业管理有限公司的ROE。
ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.
ROE即股东权益回报率,是评估公司如何有效地生成股东投资回报的有用工具。换句话说,它揭示了公司将股东投资转化为利润的成功程度。
How To Calculate Return On Equity?
如何计算股东权益回报率?
The formula for return on equity is:
股东权益回报率的公式是:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
股东权益回报率 = 净利润(来自持续运营)÷ 股东权益
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd is:
因此,根据上述公式,上海金联商业管理有限公司的ROE为:
2.1% = CN¥23m ÷ CN¥1.1b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
2.1% = CN¥2300万 ÷ CN¥11亿(基于截至2024年9月的过去十二个月)。
The 'return' is the yearly profit. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.02 in profit.
'回报'是每年的盈利。可以这样理解,对于每CN¥1的股东资本,该公司赚取了CN¥0.02的利润。
What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?
roe与盈利增长有何关系?
Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.
到目前为止,我们已经了解到ROE衡量的是一家公司产生利润的效率。根据公司选择再投资或“保留”的利润比例,我们能够评估公司未来产生利润的能力。一般来说,在其他条件相同的情况下,具有高股本回报率和利润保留的公司,其增长率高于不具备这些特征的公司。
A Side By Side comparison of Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd's Earnings Growth And 2.1% ROE
上海金联商业管理有限公司的收益增长与2.1% ROE的并列比较
As you can see, Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd's ROE looks pretty weak. Not just that, even compared to the industry average of 3.8%, the company's ROE is entirely unremarkable. Therefore, it might not be wrong to say that the five year net income decline of 21% seen by Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd was possibly a result of it having a lower ROE. We believe that there also might be other aspects that are negatively influencing the company's earnings prospects. For instance, the company has a very high payout ratio, or is faced with competitive pressures.
如您所见,上海金联商业管理有限公司的ROE看起来相当弱。 不仅如此,即使与行业平均的3.8%相比,该公司的ROE也完全不值得一提。 因此,可以说,上海金联商业管理有限公司经历的五年净利润下降21%可能是由于其ROE较低。 我们认为,可能还有其他因素对公司的盈利前景产生负面影响。 例如,该公司有非常高的分红派息比例,或面临竞争压力。
Furthermore, even when compared to the industry, which has been shrinking its earnings at a rate of 11% over the last few years, we found that Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd's performance is pretty disappointing, as it suggests that the company has been shrunk its earnings at a rate faster than the industry.
此外,即使与行业相比,该行业在过去几年以11%的速度缩减收益,我们发现上海金联商业管理有限公司的表现相当令人失望,因为这表明该公司的收益缩减速度快于行业。
Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.
盈利增长是评估股票时一个重要的指标。投资者应该努力确定预计的盈利增长或下滑是否已经被市场定价,无论是哪种情况。这样做将帮助他们判断股票未来的前景是乐观还是悲观。一个好的盈利增长预期指标是市盈率,它决定了市场愿意根据公司的盈利前景为股票支付的价格。因此,您可能想检查上海金联商业管理有限公司相对于其行业是以高市盈率还是低市盈率交易。
Is Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?
上海金联商业管理有限公司是否有效地重新投资其利润?
Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd's high three-year median payout ratio of 178% suggests that the company is depleting its resources to keep up its dividend payments, and this shows in its shrinking earnings. Paying a dividend higher than reported profits is not a sustainable move. Our risks dashboard should have the 4 risks we have identified for Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd.
上海金联商业管理有限公司高达178%的三年中位数分红支付比率表明该公司正在耗尽其资源,以维持分红支付,这在其盈利萎缩中有所体现。支付高于报告利润的分红是一种不可持续的举措。我们的风险仪表盘应包含我们为上海金联商业管理有限公司识别的四个风险。
In addition, Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd has been paying dividends over a period of four years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is preferred by the management even though earnings have been in decline.
此外,上海金联商业管理有限公司在四年的时间里支付了分红,这表明管理层更倾向于维持分红支付,即使盈利已经在下降。
Summary
总结
In total, we would have a hard think before deciding on any investment action concerning Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd. Particularly, its ROE is a huge disappointment, not to mention its lack of proper reinvestment into the business. As a result its earnings growth has also been quite disappointing. So far, we've only made a quick discussion around the company's earnings growth. So it may be worth checking this free detailed graph of Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd's past earnings, as well as revenue and cash flows to get a deeper insight into the company's performance.
总的来说,在决定与上海金联商业管理有限公司相关的任何投资举措之前,我们需要认真思考。特别是它的ROE让人失望,更不用说其对业务缺乏适当的再投资。因此,它的收益增长也相当令人失望。到目前为止,我们只对公司的收益增长进行了简单讨论。因此,查看这个关于上海金联商业管理有限公司过去收益的免费详细图表,以及营业收入和现金流,可能会对公司的表现有更深入的了解。
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