Are Strong Financial Prospects The Force That Is Driving The Momentum In Changbai Mountain Tourism Co., Ltd.'s SHSE:603099) Stock?
Are Strong Financial Prospects The Force That Is Driving The Momentum In Changbai Mountain Tourism Co., Ltd.'s SHSE:603099) Stock?
Most readers would already be aware that Changbai Mountain Tourism's (SHSE:603099) stock increased significantly by 132% over the past three months. Since the market usually pay for a company's long-term fundamentals, we decided to study the company's key performance indicators to see if they could be influencing the market. Specifically, we decided to study Changbai Mountain Tourism's ROE in this article.
大多数读者可能已经知道,长白山(SHSE:603099)的股票在过去三个月中显著上涨了132%。由于市场通常关注公司的长期基本面,我们决定研究公司的关键绩效因子,以便了解是否会影响市场。具体而言,我们决定在本文中研究长白山的ROE。
Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.
股本回报率或ROE是股东需要考虑的重要因素,因为它告诉他们自己的资本是如何有效地被再投资的。简单来说,它衡量的是公司相对于股东权益的盈利能力。
How Is ROE Calculated?
净资产收益率怎么计算?
The formula for return on equity is:
股东权益回报率的公式是:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
股东权益回报率 = 净利润(来自持续运营)÷ 股东权益
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Changbai Mountain Tourism is:
因此,根据上述公式,长白山的ROE是:
11% = CN¥134m ÷ CN¥1.2b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
11% = CN¥13400万 ÷ CN¥12亿(基于截至2024年9月的过去十二个月)。
The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.11.
“回报”是过去十二个月的利润。这意味着对于每一元股东的投资,公司产生了0.11元的利润。
Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?
ROE为什么对净利润增长很重要?
Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.
到目前为止,我们已经了解了roe衡量公司利润产生效率的程度。现在我们需要评估公司为未来增长而重新投资或“保留”的利润数量,然后了解公司的增长潜力。假设其他一切不变,roe和利润保留率越高,公司的增长率就越高,而与不一定具备这些特征的公司相比,这种增长率的相对性就越高。
Changbai Mountain Tourism's Earnings Growth And 11% ROE
长白山的盈利增长和11%的ROE
At first glance, Changbai Mountain Tourism seems to have a decent ROE. Further, the company's ROE compares quite favorably to the industry average of 8.0%. Probably as a result of this, Changbai Mountain Tourism was able to see an impressive net income growth of 29% over the last five years. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. Such as - high earnings retention or an efficient management in place.
乍一看,长白山似乎拥有不错的ROE。此外,公司的ROE与行业平均水平的8.0%相比十分可观。也许正因为如此,长白山在过去五年中实现了29%的净利润增长。我们认为这里还有其他因素在起作用,例如高收益留存或高效的管理。
As a next step, we compared Changbai Mountain Tourism's net income growth with the industry, and pleasingly, we found that the growth seen by the company is higher than the average industry growth of 11%.
作为下一步,我们将长白山的净利润增长与行业进行了比较,令人高兴的是,我们发现该公司的增长高于行业平均水平的11%。

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is Changbai Mountain Tourism fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.
盈利增长是股票估值中的一个重要因素。投资者应该试图确定预期的盈利增长或下降,无论是哪种情况,是否已经被市场定价。这样,他们将能了解该股票是否驶入了清澈的沃特世水域,还是等待着沼泽般的水域。长白山的估值与其他公司相比是否合理?这三个估值指标可能会帮助您做出决定。
Is Changbai Mountain Tourism Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?
长白山是否有效地再投资其利润?
Changbai Mountain Tourism has a really low three-year median payout ratio of 15%, meaning that it has the remaining 85% left over to reinvest into its business. So it looks like Changbai Mountain Tourism is reinvesting profits heavily to grow its business, which shows in its earnings growth.
长白山的三年期中位支付比率非常低,仅为15%,这意味着他们有剩余的85%来再投资于其业务。因此,长白山似乎在大量再投资利润以增长其业务,这在其盈利增长中得到了体现。
Moreover, Changbai Mountain Tourism is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company's future payout ratio is expected to rise to 30% over the next three years. Regardless, the future ROE for Changbai Mountain Tourism is speculated to rise to 16% despite the anticipated increase in the payout ratio. There could probably be other factors that could be driving the future growth in the ROE.
此外,长白山决心继续与股东分享其利润,这可以从其至少十年的分红历史中推断出来。在研究最新的分析师共识数据后,我们发现该公司的未来支付比率预计将在未来三年内上升至30%。无论如何,长白山未来的ROE预计将在支付比率上升的情况下仍能达到16%。可能还有其他因素推动ROE的未来增长。
Conclusion
结论
On the whole, we feel that Changbai Mountain Tourism's performance has been quite good. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business, and at a high rate of return. Unsurprisingly, this has led to an impressive earnings growth. On studying current analyst estimates, we found that analysts expect the company to continue its recent growth streak. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.
总体来说,我们认为长白山的业绩相当不错。特别是,我们喜欢公司在其业务上进行大量再投资,并且回报率很高。不出所料,这导致了可观的盈利增长。在研究当前分析师的估计时,我们发现分析师预计公司将继续保持近期的增长势头。要了解更多关于公司未来盈利增长的预测,请查看这份关于公司分析师预测的免费报告以获取更多信息。
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