Here's What's Concerning About Shenyang Jinbei Automotive's (SHSE:600609) Returns On Capital
Here's What's Concerning About Shenyang Jinbei Automotive's (SHSE:600609) Returns On Capital
Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key financial metrics. One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. Having said that, from a first glance at Shenyang Jinbei Automotive (SHSE:600609) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.
寻找一个有潜力大幅增长的业务并不容易,但如果我们关注几个关键的财务指标,这也是可能的。一种常见的方法是寻找那些资本回报率(ROCE)呈上升趋势,同时使用的资本也在增长的公司。最终,这表明这是一家以日益增加的回报率再投资收益的业务。尽管如此,初看金杯汽车(SHSE:600609)的表现,我们并没有对其回报的趋势感到兴奋,但我们再深入看看。
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
资本回报率(ROCE):它是什么?
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. To calculate this metric for Shenyang Jinbei Automotive, this is the formula:
为了澄清,如果你不确定,ROCE是评估一个公司在其投资的资本上赚取多少税前收入(以百分比形式)的指标。要计算金杯汽车的这一指标,公式如下:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
资本利用率 = 利息和税前利润(EBIT) ÷ (总资产 - 流动负债)
0.18 = CN¥320m ÷ (CN¥4.3b - CN¥2.5b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
0.18 = CN¥32000万 ÷ (CN¥43亿 - CN¥2.5b) (截至2024年9月的过去十二个月数据)。
Therefore, Shenyang Jinbei Automotive has an ROCE of 18%. On its own, that's a standard return, however it's much better than the 7.0% generated by the Auto Components industry.
因此,金杯汽车的ROCE为18%。单独来看,这是一个标准的回报,然而它远超汽车元件行业的7.0%。
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you're interested in investigating Shenyang Jinbei Automotive's past further, check out this free graph covering Shenyang Jinbei Automotive's past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
尽管过去并不能代表未来,但了解一家公司历史上的表现是有帮助的,这就是我们上面有这个图表的原因。如果您有兴趣进一步调查金杯汽车的过去,可以查看这张免费图表,涵盖金杯汽车过去的收益、营业收入和现金流。
How Are Returns Trending?
回报率的趋势如何?
When we looked at the ROCE trend at Shenyang Jinbei Automotive, we didn't gain much confidence. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 18% from 29% five years ago. Given the business is employing more capital while revenue has slipped, this is a bit concerning. If this were to continue, you might be looking at a company that is trying to reinvest for growth but is actually losing market share since sales haven't increased.
在我们查看金杯汽车的资本回报率(ROCE)趋势时,并没有获得太多信心。在过去的五年里,资本回报率从五年前的29%下降到了18%。考虑到该业务正在使用更多的资本,而营业收入却有所下滑,这让人感到有些担忧。如果这种情况持续下去,您可能会面临一家试图进行再投资以实现增长的公司,但实际上市场份额在下降,因为销售没有增加。
On a side note, Shenyang Jinbei Automotive has done well to pay down its current liabilities to 58% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. What's more, this can reduce some aspects of risk to the business because now the company's suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of its operations. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it's own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE. Keep in mind 58% is still pretty high, so those risks are still somewhat prevalent.
顺便提一下,金杯汽车在将当前负债降低到总资产的58%方面做得不错。这在一定程度上可能解释了为什么资本回报率下降。更重要的是,这可以减少公司在某些方面的风险,因为现在公司的供应商或短期债权人对其运营的资金支持减少了。由于该业务基本上更多地用自己的资金来筹措运营,您可以说这使得该业务在产生资本回报率方面的效率降低了。请记住,58%仍然相当高,因此这些风险仍然在某种程度上存在。
The Bottom Line
总结
In summary, we're somewhat concerned by Shenyang Jinbei Automotive's diminishing returns on increasing amounts of capital. Yet despite these poor fundamentals, the stock has gained a huge 108% over the last five years, so investors appear very optimistic. In any case, the current underlying trends don't bode well for long term performance so unless they reverse, we'd start looking elsewhere.
总而言之,我们对金杯汽车在增加资本时获得的回报递减感到有些担忧。尽管这些基本面表现不佳,但在过去五年里,股票却上涨了108%,因此投资者似乎非常乐观。无论如何,目前的基本趋势对于长期表现并不乐观,因此除非它们逆转,否则我们将开始寻找其他投资机会。
Shenyang Jinbei Automotive does have some risks though, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Shenyang Jinbei Automotive that you might be interested in.
金杯汽车确实存在一些风险,我们发现了1个警告信号,您可能会对此感兴趣。
While Shenyang Jinbei Automotive isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
虽然金杯汽车的回报不是最高的,但请查看这个关于获得高股本回报和稳健资产负债表的公司免费名单。
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