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Returns On Capital Signal Tricky Times Ahead For Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery (SZSE:002304)

Returns On Capital Signal Tricky Times Ahead For Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery (SZSE:002304)

资本回报信号为江苏洋河酒厂(SZSE:002304)的艰难时期发出警告。
Simply Wall St ·  12/14 08:56

Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. However, after investigating Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery (SZSE:002304), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.

你知道有一些财务指标可以提供潜在多倍收益股的线索吗?一种常见的方法是尝试寻找一种资本回报率(ROCE)逐渐增加、同时投入的资本也在增长的公司。最终,这表明这是一个以越来越高的回报率再投资利润的业务。然而,在调查江苏洋河酒厂(SZSE:002304)后,我们认为目前的趋势不符合多倍收益股的特征。

What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

什么是资本回报率(ROCE)?

If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery is:

如果你之前没有接触过ROCE,它衡量的是公司从投入的资本中产生的“回报”(税前利润)。江苏洋河酒厂的计算公式是:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

资本利用率 = 利息和税前利润(EBIT) ÷ (总资产 - 流动负债)

0.18 = CN¥10.0b ÷ (CN¥64b - CN¥10.0b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

0.18 = CN¥100亿 ÷ (CN¥640亿 - CN¥10.0b)(基于截至2024年9月的过去十二个月数据)。

So, Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery has an ROCE of 18%. That's a pretty standard return and it's in line with the industry average of 18%.

因此,江苏洋河酒厂的ROCE为18%。这是一个相当标准的回报,符合行业平均水平18%。

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SZSE:002304 Return on Capital Employed December 14th 2024
SZSE:002304 资本回报率 2024年12月14日

In the above chart we have measured Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free analyst report for Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery .

在上面的图表中,我们测量了江苏洋河酒厂之前的资本回报率(ROCE)与其过去的表现,但未来显然更为重要。如果您想查看分析师对未来的预测,您可以查看我们对江苏洋河酒厂的免费分析师报告。

How Are Returns Trending?

回报率的趋势如何?

On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery doesn't inspire confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 27%, but since then they've fallen to 18%. And considering revenue has dropped while employing more capital, we'd be cautious. If this were to continue, you might be looking at a company that is trying to reinvest for growth but is actually losing market share since sales haven't increased.

乍一看,江苏洋河酒厂的资本回报率(ROCE)趋势并未令人信服。大约五年前,资本回报率为27%,但此后下降到18%。考虑到营业收入下降而资本投入却在增加,我们应当保持谨慎。如果这种情况继续下去,您可能会看到一家尝试重新投资以实现增长但实际上正在失去市场份额的公司,因为销售并没有增加。

The Bottom Line

总结

In summary, we're somewhat concerned by Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery's diminishing returns on increasing amounts of capital. It should come as no surprise then that the stock has fallen 10% over the last five years, so it looks like investors are recognizing these changes. With underlying trends that aren't great in these areas, we'd consider looking elsewhere.

总之,对于江苏洋河酒厂的资本不断增加而回报下降的情况,我们有些担忧。因此,股票在过去五年中下跌了10%也就不足为奇了,这看起来投资者正在认识到这些变化。在这些领域的基本趋势并不好,我们会考虑另寻他处。

If you want to continue researching Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery, you might be interested to know about the 1 warning sign that our analysis has discovered.

如果您想继续研究江苏洋河酒厂,您可能会对我们的分析发现的1个警告信号感兴趣。

While Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.

虽然江苏洋河酒厂目前可能没有产生最高的回报,但我们编制了一份目前回报超过25%的公司的名单。请在这里查看这份免费的名单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。

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