NanJi E-Commerce Co., LTD's (SZSE:002127) Has Been On A Rise But Financial Prospects Look Weak: Is The Stock Overpriced?
NanJi E-Commerce Co., LTD's (SZSE:002127) Has Been On A Rise But Financial Prospects Look Weak: Is The Stock Overpriced?
NanJi E-Commerce's (SZSE:002127) stock is up by a considerable 98% over the past three months. However, we decided to pay close attention to its weak financials as we are doubtful that the current momentum will keep up, given the scenario. In this article, we decided to focus on NanJi E-Commerce's ROE.
南极电商(深交所代码:002127)的股票在过去三个月上涨了显著的98%。然而,考虑到当前的情况,我们决定密切关注其疲弱的财务状况,因为我们怀疑当前的势头是否能够持续。因此,在本文中,我们决定重点关注南极电商的ROE。
ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.
ROE即股东权益回报率,是评估公司如何有效地生成股东投资回报的有用工具。换句话说,它揭示了公司将股东投资转化为利润的成功程度。
How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?
如何计算股本回报率?
Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:
净资产收益率可以通过以下公式计算:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
股东权益回报率 = 净利润(来自持续运营)÷ 股东权益
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for NanJi E-Commerce is:
因此,根据上述公式,南极电商的ROE为:
1.7% = CN¥77m ÷ CN¥4.5b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
1.7% = CN¥7700万 ÷ CN¥45亿(基于截至2024年9月的过去十二个月)。
The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.02.
“回报”是过去十二个月的利润。这意味着对于每CN¥1的股东投资,公司产生了CN¥0.02的利润。
Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?
ROE为什么对净利润增长很重要?
We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.
我们已经确认ROE作为公司未来收益的有效利润生成指标。现在我们需要评估公司再投资或"保留"多少利润以支持未来增长,这样我们才能了解到公司的增长潜力。一般来说,在其他条件相同的情况下,拥有高股本回报率和利润保留的公司,其增长率往往高于没有这些特征的公司。
NanJi E-Commerce's Earnings Growth And 1.7% ROE
南极电商的盈利增长和1.7%的ROE
It is hard to argue that NanJi E-Commerce's ROE is much good in and of itself. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 6.5%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 51% seen by NanJi E-Commerce over the last five years is not surprising. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. For example, the business has allocated capital poorly, or that the company has a very high payout ratio.
很难说南极电商的ROE本身有多好。即便与行业平均ROE 6.5%相比,该公司的ROE也相当糟糕。在这种情况下,南极电商在过去五年中净利润下降51%并不令人惊讶。我们认为这里可能还有其他因素在起作用。例如,业务的资本配置不当,或者公司的分红派息比例非常高。
So, as a next step, we compared NanJi E-Commerce's performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 3.3% over the last few years.
因此,作为下一步,我们将南极电商的表现与行业进行了比较,令人失望的是,虽然该公司在缩减其盈利,但行业在过去几年中盈利增长率为3.3%。
The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if NanJi E-Commerce is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.
将公司附加价值的基础在很大程度上与其盈利增长相关。 对于投资者来说,了解市场是否已考虑公司的预期盈利增长(或下降)是重要的。 通过这样做,他们将对股票是进入清澈的水域还是面临沼泽水域有一个了解。 预期盈利增长的一个良好指标是市盈率,它决定了市场愿意为基于盈利前景的股票支付的价格。 因此,您可能想查看南极电商在其行业中是高市盈率还是低市盈率。
Is NanJi E-Commerce Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?
南极电商是否有效地再投资其利润?
NanJi E-Commerce's declining earnings is not surprising given how the company is spending most of its profits in paying dividends, judging by its three-year median payout ratio of 58% (or a retention ratio of 42%). With only a little being reinvested into the business, earnings growth would obviously be low or non-existent. You can see the 4 risks we have identified for NanJi E-Commerce by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.
鉴于南极电商将大部分利润用于支付分红,考虑到其三年中位数派息比率为58%(或留存比率为42%),其盈利下降并不令人惊讶。 由于只有少量资金被再投资于业务中,盈利增长显然会很低或根本不存在。 您可以通过访问我们的风险仪表板,免费查看我们为南极电商识别的四个风险。
Moreover, NanJi E-Commerce has been paying dividends for seven years, which is a considerable amount of time, suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer consistent dividends even though earnings have been shrinking.
此外,南极电商已经连续支付分红七年,这是一段相当长的时间,这表明管理层认为股东更倾向于稳定的分红,即使盈利一直在缩减。
Conclusion
结论
On the whole, NanJi E-Commerce's performance is quite a big let-down. As a result of its low ROE and lack of much reinvestment into the business, the company has seen a disappointing earnings growth rate. Until now, we have only just grazed the surface of the company's past performance by looking at the company's fundamentals. To gain further insights into NanJi E-Commerce's past profit growth, check out this visualization of past earnings, revenue and cash flows.
总体来说,南极电商的表现令人失望。由于其低ROE和对业务缺乏再投资,公司收益增长率令人失望。到目前为止,我们仅仅通过查看公司的基本面,略微了解了公司的过去表现。要进一步了解南极电商的过去利润增长情况,请查看这张过去收益、营业收入和现金流的可视化图。
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