Despite an already strong run, Lattice Semiconductor Corporation (NASDAQ:LSCC) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 25% in the last thirty days. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 8.9% over the last year.
Following the firm bounce in price, Lattice Semiconductor may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 61.1x, since almost half of all companies in the United States have P/E ratios under 19x and even P/E's lower than 11x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
Lattice Semiconductor hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Lattice Semiconductor.
Does Growth Match The High P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Lattice Semiconductor's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 32%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 70% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would probably welcome the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 5.9% per year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. With the market predicted to deliver 11% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.
With this information, we find it concerning that Lattice Semiconductor is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Final Word
The strong share price surge has got Lattice Semiconductor's P/E rushing to great heights as well. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that Lattice Semiconductor currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for Lattice Semiconductor with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.
You might be able to find a better investment than Lattice Semiconductor. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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