Shareholders in Liaoning Cheng Da (SHSE:600739) Are in the Red If They Invested Three Years Ago
Shareholders in Liaoning Cheng Da (SHSE:600739) Are in the Red If They Invested Three Years Ago
Liaoning Cheng Da Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600739) shareholders will doubtless be very grateful to see the share price up 40% in the last quarter. But that cannot eclipse the less-than-impressive returns over the last three years. Truth be told the share price declined 41% in three years and that return, Dear Reader, falls short of what you could have got from passive investing with an index fund.
辽宁成大有限公司(SHSE:600739)的股东无疑会非常感谢看到股价在上个季度上涨了40%。 但这无法掩盖过去三年中不尽如人意的回报。 说实话,股价在三年内下跌了41%,这个回报,亲爱的读者,远不如您通过指数基金进行被动投资所能获得的回报。
With that in mind, it's worth seeing if the company's underlying fundamentals have been the driver of long term performance, or if there are some discrepancies.
鉴于此,值得看看该公司的基本面是否一直是长期业绩的驱动因素,或者是否存在一些不一致之处。
To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
引用巴菲特的话说:'船只将航行世界,但平面地球协会将繁荣发展。市场上价格与价值之间的差异将继续存在...' 一种不完美但简单的方式来考虑市场对一家公司的看法如何变化,就是比较每股收益(每股收益)与股票价格变动的变化。
Liaoning Cheng Da saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 45% per year, over the last three years. In comparison the 16% compound annual share price decline isn't as bad as the EPS drop-off. So, despite the prior disappointment, shareholders must have some confidence the situation will improve, longer term. With a P/E ratio of 49.41, it's fair to say the market sees a brighter future for the business.
辽宁成大的每股收益在过去三年以45%的复合年率下降。 相比之下,16%的复合年股价下跌并没有每股收益下滑那么糟糕。 所以,尽管之前让人失望,股东们必须对长期情况改善抱有一些信心。 以49.41的市盈率来看,可以说市场对这个业务的未来持更加乐观的看法。
The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
公司的每股收益(随时间)如下图所示(点击查看确切数字)。
This free interactive report on Liaoning Cheng Da's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
这个关于辽宁成大的利润、营业收入和现金流的免费互动报告是一个很好的起点,如果您想进一步研究这只股票。
What About Dividends?
关于分红派息的问题
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Liaoning Cheng Da the TSR over the last 3 years was -39%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
考虑总股东回报以及任何股票的股价回报是很重要的。股价回报仅反映股价的变化,而总股东回报包括了分红的价值(假设这些分红被再投资)和任何折扣融资或拆分的收益。因此,对于支付丰厚分红的公司,总股东回报通常远高于股价回报。我们注意到,辽宁成大的总股东回报在过去三年中为-39%,这比上面提到的股价回报要好。公司支付的分红因此提升了总股东回报。
A Different Perspective
不同的视角
Liaoning Cheng Da shareholders are down 6.8% for the year (even including dividends), but the market itself is up 13%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 4% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Liaoning Cheng Da you should be aware of, and 1 of them shouldn't be ignored.
辽宁成大的股东今年下跌了6.8%(即使包括分红),但市场本身上涨了13%。然而,请记住,即使是最好的股票,有时在十二个月的时间段内也会表现不佳。不幸的是,去年的表现可能表明未解决的挑战,因为它低于过去五年年化损失的4%。我们意识到巴伦·罗斯柴尔德曾说过,投资者应该在“街头出现血迹时买入”,但我们提醒投资者首先应确保购买的是高质量的业务。我发现从长远来看观察股价作为商业表现的一个代理指标是非常有趣的。但要真正获得洞察,我们还需要考虑其他信息。例如:我们发现辽宁成大有3个警告信号您应该注意,其中一个不应被忽视。
If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
如果你更倾向于查看其他公司——一个财务状况可能更优的公司——那么不要错过这个免费的公司列表,它们已经证明能够实现盈利增长。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
对本文有反馈?对内容有疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。