Health Check: How Prudently Does ASR Microelectronics (SHSE:688220) Use Debt?
Health Check: How Prudently Does ASR Microelectronics (SHSE:688220) Use Debt?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that ASR Microelectronics Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688220) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
传奇基金经理李璐(得到查理·芒格支持)曾说:'最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久性资本损失。'因此,聪明的钱知道,通常与破产相关的债务是评估公司风险的重要因素。我们注意到,ASR微电子有限公司(SHSE:688220)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但真正的问题是,这些债务是否使公司变得风险很大。
When Is Debt Dangerous?
债务何时会变得危险?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
一般来说,债务只有在公司无法轻易偿还时才会成为真正的问题,无论是通过筹集资金还是通过自身现金流。资本主义的一部分就是'创造性破坏'的过程,失败的企业被他们的银行无情地清算。然而,更常见(但仍然痛苦)的情景是,它必须以低价筹集新的股本,从而永久性地稀释股东。话虽如此,最常见的情况是公司合理管理其债务,并为自己谋取利益。当我们检查债务水平时,首先会同时考虑现金和债务水平。
What Is ASR Microelectronics's Debt?
ASR微电子的债务是多少?
As you can see below, at the end of September 2024, ASR Microelectronics had CN¥100.7m of debt, up from none a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥3.54b in cash, so it actually has CN¥3.44b net cash.
如您所见,在2024年9月底,ASR微电子的债务达到了CN¥10070万,较一年前的没有有所增加。点击图片以获取更多详细信息。然而,其资产负债表显示它持有CN¥35.4亿的现金,因此实际上它有CN¥34.4亿的净现金。
How Healthy Is ASR Microelectronics' Balance Sheet?
ASR微电子的资产负债表有多健康?
According to the last reported balance sheet, ASR Microelectronics had liabilities of CN¥769.9m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥125.9m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥3.54b as well as receivables valued at CN¥462.8m due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥3.11b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
根据最后报告的资产负债表,ASR微电子的负债为76990万人民币,12个月内到期的负债为12590万人民币。抵消这些义务,它的现金为35.4亿人民币,12个月内到期的应收款项价值为46280万人民币。因此,它实际上拥有的流动资产比总负债多出31.1亿人民币。
It's good to see that ASR Microelectronics has plenty of liquidity on its balance sheet, suggesting conservative management of liabilities. Given it has easily adequate short term liquidity, we don't think it will have any issues with its lenders. Simply put, the fact that ASR Microelectronics has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine ASR Microelectronics's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
很高兴看到ASR微电子在其资产负债表上拥有充足的流动性,这表明其对负债的管理比较保守。鉴于其短期流动性充足,我们认为它与贷款方之间不会出现任何问题。简而言之,ASR微电子拥有的现金超过其负债,这无疑是一个良好的指标,表明它能够安全地管理其债务。在分析债务时,资产负债表显然是重点关注的领域。但未来的盈利,胜过一切,将判断ASR微电子能否继续维持健康的资产负债表。因此,如果你想看到专业人士的看法,可能会发现这份免费的分析师盈利预测报告很有趣。
Over 12 months, ASR Microelectronics reported revenue of CN¥3.3b, which is a gain of 37%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. With any luck the company will be able to grow its way to profitability.
在过去的12个月里,ASR微电子报告的营业收入为33亿人民币,增长了37%,尽管没有报告利息和税前利润。希望这家公司能够通过增长实现盈利。
So How Risky Is ASR Microelectronics?
那么ASR微电子有多风险?
Statistically speaking companies that lose money are riskier than those that make money. And we do note that ASR Microelectronics had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss, over the last year. And over the same period it saw negative free cash outflow of CN¥679m and booked a CN¥492m accounting loss. But the saving grace is the CN¥3.44b on the balance sheet. That means it could keep spending at its current rate for more than two years. With very solid revenue growth in the last year, ASR Microelectronics may be on a path to profitability. By investing before those profits, shareholders take on more risk in the hope of bigger rewards. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for ASR Microelectronics you should know about.
从统计上讲,亏损的公司比盈利的公司风险更大。我们确实注意到ASR微电子在过去一年中出现了息税前利润(EBIT)亏损。在同一时期,它还出现了67900万人民币的负自由现金流出,并记录了49200万人民币的会计亏损。但值得庆幸的是,其资产负债表上有34.4亿人民币。这意味着它可以以当前的支出水平再维持超过两年。由于去年的营收增长相当可观,ASR微电子可能正走在实现盈利的道路上。在利润出现之前投资,股东承受了更大的风险以期望获得更大的回报。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是一个很好的起点。然而,并非所有的投资风险都在资产负债表内——远不是这样。这些风险可能很难被发现。每家公司都有这些风险,我们发现ASR微电子有一个警示信号,你应该了解。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果您有兴趣投资那些能够在没有债务负担的情况下增长利润的业务,请查看这个自由名单,其中列出了在资产负债表上有净现金的成长型企业。
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