The Total Return for ChengDu Hi-Tech Development (SZSE:000628) Investors Has Risen Faster Than Earnings Growth Over the Last Five Years
The Total Return for ChengDu Hi-Tech Development (SZSE:000628) Investors Has Risen Faster Than Earnings Growth Over the Last Five Years
We think all investors should try to buy and hold high quality multi-year winners. While not every stock performs well, when investors win, they can win big. For example, the ChengDu Hi-Tech Development Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000628) share price is up a whopping 507% in the last half decade, a handsome return for long term holders. This just goes to show the value creation that some businesses can achieve. On top of that, the share price is up 48% in about a quarter. But this could be related to the strong market, which is up 34% in the last three months. We love happy stories like this one. The company should be really proud of that performance!
我们认为所有投资者都应该尝试买入并持有高质量的多年赢家。虽然并不是每只股票表现良好,但当投资者获胜时,他们可能赢得巨额利润。例如,成都高新发展有限公司(深交所代码:000628)的股价在过去五年里上涨了惊人的507%,对于长期持有者来说,这是一个丰厚的回报。这正好显示了一些企业能够实现的价值创造。此外,股价在大约一个季度内上涨了48%。但这可能与强劲的市场有关,过去三个月市场上涨了34%。我们喜欢这样的快乐故事。该公司应该为这一业绩感到非常自豪!
While the stock has fallen 4.1% this week, it's worth focusing on the longer term and seeing if the stocks historical returns have been driven by the underlying fundamentals.
尽管本周股票下跌了4.1%,但值得关注长期走势,以查看股票的历史回报是否受到基本面的推动。
To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
引用巴菲特的话,‘船只将环绕世界航行,但平面地球学会将蓬勃发展。市场上价格和价值之间将继续存在巨大差异……’通过比较每股收益(EPS)和股票价格变化,我们可以了解投资者对公司的态度是如何随着时间变化的。
During five years of share price growth, ChengDu Hi-Tech Development achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 19% per year. This EPS growth is slower than the share price growth of 43% per year, over the same period. So it's fair to assume the market has a higher opinion of the business than it did five years ago. And that's hardly shocking given the track record of growth. This optimism is visible in its fairly high P/E ratio of 89.36.
在五年的股价增长中,成都高新发展实现了每股收益(EPS)年增长率为19%的复合增长。这一EPS增长速度低于同期股价年增长43%的速度。因此,可以合理地假设市场对该业务的看法比五年前更高。考虑到其增长记录,这一点并不让人感到惊讶。这种乐观情绪在其相对较高的市盈率89.36中可见一斑。
The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
下面的图像显示了EPS随时间的变化(如果你点击图像,可以看到更详细的信息)。
We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. This free interactive report on ChengDu Hi-Tech Development's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
我们高兴地报告,CEO的薪酬比大多数同类公司资本化水平的CEO更为适中。但尽管CEO的薪酬始终值得关注,真正重要的问题是公司能否在未来实现盈利增长。如果您想进一步调查该股票,这份关于高新发展的营收、营业收入和现金流的免费互动报告是个不错的开始。
What About Dividends?
关于分红派息的问题
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, ChengDu Hi-Tech Development's TSR for the last 5 years was 520%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
在评估任何股票时,考虑股东总回报和股价回报非常重要。总股东回报是一个回报计算,考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何分红都被再投资)以及任何折扣融资和分拆的计算值。可以说,总股东回报提供了股票产生的回报的更全面的视图。实际上,高新发展的总股东回报在过去五年中达到了520%,超过了前面提到的股价回报。并且,毫无疑问,分红支付在很大程度上解释了这种差异!
A Different Perspective
不同的视角
ChengDu Hi-Tech Development shareholders gained a total return of 10% during the year. But that was short of the market average. If we look back over five years, the returns are even better, coming in at 44% per year for five years. Maybe the share price is just taking a breather while the business executes on its growth strategy. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for ChengDu Hi-Tech Development (of which 1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) you should know about.
高新发展的股东在这一年中获得了10%的总回报,但这低于市场平均水平。如果回顾过去五年,回报情况甚至更好,每年达到44%。也许股价只是在稍作休整,而业务正执行其增长策略。我发现,长期观察股价作为业务表现的代理非常有趣。但要真正获取洞察力,我们还需要考虑其他信息。例如风险。每家公司都有风险,我们发现高新发展有2个警告信号(其中1个让我们有点不安!)您需要了解。
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).
如果你喜欢与管理层一起买入股票,那么你可能会喜欢这个免费的公司名单。(提示:很多公司鲜为人知,而且估值吸引。)
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。