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Is Confluent (NASDAQ:CFLT) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

Is Confluent (NASDAQ:CFLT) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

Confluent(纳斯达克:CFLT)是否在以风险较大的方式使用债务?
Simply Wall St ·  12/15 21:44

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Confluent, Inc. (NASDAQ:CFLT) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

由巴菲特的查理·芒格支持的外部基金经理李鲁直言不讳地表示:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受资本的永久损失。” 所以当你考虑任何股票的风险时,考虑债务可能是显而易见的,因为过多的债务可能会使公司沉没。我们注意到,Confluent, Inc.(纳斯达克:CFLT)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但这对于股东来说是个问题吗?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务带来了什么风险?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

一般来说,债务只有在公司无法轻松还款时才成为真正的问题,无论是通过融资还是通过自身现金流。如果情况真的变得很糟,贷款人可以控制业务。虽然这种情况并不常见,但我们常看到负债公司由于贷款人的迫使,永久性地稀释股东,因为贷款人迫使他们以困境价格融资。当然,债务的好处在于,特别是在替代 dilution 的公司有能力以高回报率进行再投资时,它往往代表了廉价资本。在考虑企业使用多少债务时,首要任务是查看其现金与债务的状况。

What Is Confluent's Net Debt?

Confluent的净债务是多少?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Confluent had US$1.09b in debt in September 2024; about the same as the year before. However, its balance sheet shows it holds US$1.86b in cash, so it actually has US$768.3m net cash.

下面的图表可以点击以获取更多详细信息,显示Confluent在2024年9月的债务为10.9亿美金;与前一年大致相同。然而,其资产负债表显示它持有18.6亿美金的现金,因此它实际上拥有76830万美金的净现金。

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NasdaqGS:CFLT Debt to Equity History December 15th 2024
纳斯达克GS:CFLT债务与股本历史 2024年12月15日

A Look At Confluent's Liabilities

深入了解Confluent的负债情况

According to the last reported balance sheet, Confluent had liabilities of US$535.0m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$1.14b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had US$1.86b in cash and US$278.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast US$464.5m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

根据最新的资产负债表,Confluent在12个月内的负债为53500万美元,超过12个月的负债为11.4亿美元。抵消这些负债的是其在现金方面拥有的18.6亿美元和27870万美元的应收账款,这些应收账款在12个月内到期。因此,它可以自豪地说,其流动资产比总负债多46450万美元。

This surplus suggests that Confluent has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Succinctly put, Confluent boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Confluent can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

这一盈余表明,Confluent的资产负债表保守,可能毫不费力地消除其债务。简单来说,Confluent自豪地拥有净现金,因此可以公平地说,它没有沉重的债务负担!分析债务时,资产负债表显然是重点。但归根结底,业务的未来盈利能力将决定Confluent能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果你关注未来,可以查看这份免费的报告,了解分析师的盈利预测。

Over 12 months, Confluent reported revenue of US$916m, which is a gain of 25%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. Shareholders probably have their fingers crossed that it can grow its way to profits.

在过去的12个月里,Confluent报告的营业收入为91600万美元,增长了25%,尽管它并未报告任何利息和税前利润。股东们可能寄希望于它能够通过增长实现盈利。

So How Risky Is Confluent?

那么Confluent有多风险?

We have no doubt that loss making companies are, in general, riskier than profitable ones. And the fact is that over the last twelve months Confluent lost money at the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) line. And over the same period it saw negative free cash outflow of US$13m and booked a US$351m accounting loss. But the saving grace is the US$768.3m on the balance sheet. That means it could keep spending at its current rate for more than two years. With very solid revenue growth in the last year, Confluent may be on a path to profitability. By investing before those profits, shareholders take on more risk in the hope of bigger rewards. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 3 warning signs with Confluent , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

我们毫不怀疑,亏损的公司在一般情况下比盈利的公司风险更大。事实上,在过去的十二个月中,Confluent在利息和税前利润(EBIT)方面亏损。在同一期间,它还经历了负的自由现金流出1300万美元,并记录了35100万美元的会计损失。但值得庆幸的是,其资产负债表上有76830万美元。这意味着它可以在当前的支出速度下维持两年以上。随着去年收入的稳定增长,Confluent可能正走向盈利。通过在盈利之前投资,股东们承担了更大的风险,希望能获得更大的回报。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中了解大部分关于债务的信息。但归根结底,每家公司都可能存在资产负债表之外的风险。我们已识别出Confluent的3个警示信号,理解这些应成为你投资过程的一部分。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果你是那种喜欢购买没有债务负担的股票的投资者,那么不要犹豫,今天就来发现我们独家的净现金成长股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。

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