Does Uni-President China Holdings (HKG:220) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Does Uni-President China Holdings (HKG:220) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Uni-President China Holdings Ltd (HKG:220) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
传奇基金经理李录(查理·芒格支持的人)曾说过:‘最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受资本的永久性损失。’因此,当你考虑任何给定股票的风险时,考虑债务可能是显而易见的,因为过多的债务可能会使公司陷入困境。我们可以看到统一企业中国控股有限公司(HKG:220)确实在其业务中使用了债务。但这对股东来说是个问题吗?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
债务何时会变得危险?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
当企业无法轻松履行债务和其他负债时,这些负债就会变得风险较高,无论是通过自由现金流还是以有吸引力的价格筹集资本。如果情况真的非常糟糕,贷款人可以控制业务。然而,更常见(但仍然痛苦)的情况是,它必须以低价筹集新股本,从而使股东永久性稀释。当然,债务在企业中可以是一个重要的工具,尤其是在资本密集型企业中。考虑一家公司债务水平的第一步是将其现金和债务共同考虑。
What Is Uni-President China Holdings's Debt?
统一企业中国控股的债务是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Uni-President China Holdings had debt of CN¥1.75b at the end of June 2024, a reduction from CN¥2.60b over a year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥4.17b in cash, leading to a CN¥2.42b net cash position.
下面的图片(您可以点击以获取更多细节)显示了截至2024年6月底,统一企业中国控股的债务为CN¥17.5亿,较去年减少了CN¥26亿。另一方面,它也有CN¥41.7亿的现金,从而导致了CN¥24.2亿的净现金头寸。
How Healthy Is Uni-President China Holdings' Balance Sheet?
统一企业中国控股的资产负债表健康吗?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Uni-President China Holdings had liabilities of CN¥8.31b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥822.7m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥4.17b and CN¥650.9m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥4.31b.
从最近的资产负债表来看,统一企业中国控股的负债为83.1亿人民币,1年内到期,82070万人民币的负债在超过1年的时间到期。另一方面,它有41.7亿人民币的现金和65090万人民币到期的应收账款。所以它的负债比现金和(短期)应收款的总和多出43.1亿人民币。
Of course, Uni-President China Holdings has a market capitalization of CN¥29.9b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Uni-President China Holdings also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
当然,统一企业中国控股的市值为299亿人民币,因此这负债可能是可控的。然而,我们确实认为值得关注其资产负债表的强度,因为它可能会随着时间的推移而变化。尽管它有值得注意的负债,统一企业中国控股的现金仍然超过债务,所以我们非常有信心它能安全地管理自己的债务。
But the other side of the story is that Uni-President China Holdings saw its EBIT decline by 3.8% over the last year. If earnings continue to decline at that rate the company may have increasing difficulty managing its debt load. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Uni-President China Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
但事情的另一面是,统一企业中国控股的EBIT在过去一年中下降了3.8%。如果收益继续以这种速度下降,公司可能会越来越难以管理其债务负担。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是一个起点。但未来的收益,尤其是,将判断统一企业中国控股能够维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果您关注未来,可以查看这份免费的报告,显示分析师的利润预测。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Uni-President China Holdings has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Uni-President China Holdings actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.
但我们的最终考虑也很重要,因为公司不能用纸面利润偿还债务;它需要实际的现金。虽然统一企业中国控股的资产负债表上有净现金,但仍值得关注它将息税前利润(EBIT)转化为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们了解它在多快地建立(或减少)现金余额。在过去三年中,统一企业中国控股实际上产生的自由现金流超过了EBIT。这样的强现金转化让我们像达夫朋克音乐会节奏来临时的人群一样兴奋。
Summing Up
总结
Although Uni-President China Holdings's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of CN¥2.42b. The cherry on top was that in converted 118% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN¥2.8b. So we don't think Uni-President China Holdings's use of debt is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Uni-President China Holdings you should be aware of.
尽管统一企业中国控股的资产负债表并不是特别强劲,但由于总负债,明显的好消息是它拥有净现金24.2亿人民币。 令人欣慰的是,它将其中的118%的EBIT转化为自由现金流,带来了28亿人民币。因此,我们认为统一企业中国控股的负债使用并不冒险。 毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到了大部分关于负债的知识。 然而,并非所有投资风险都存在于资产负债表中——远非如此。 举个例子:我们发现了统一企业中国控股的2个警告信号,您应该注意。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果您有兴趣投资那些能够在没有债务负担的情况下增长利润的业务,请查看这个自由名单,其中列出了在资产负债表上有净现金的成长型企业。
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