Grandjoy Holdings Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000031) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 26% gain in the last month alone. Looking further back, the 23% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.
Even after such a large jump in price, Grandjoy Holdings Group may still look like a strong buying opportunity at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.5x, considering almost half of all companies in the Real Estate industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 2.6x and even P/S higher than 7x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.
What Does Grandjoy Holdings Group's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Grandjoy Holdings Group has been doing a decent job lately as it's been growing revenue at a reasonable pace. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this good revenue growth might actually underperform the broader industry in the near future. Those who are bullish on Grandjoy Holdings Group will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Grandjoy Holdings Group, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Is Grandjoy Holdings Group's Revenue Growth Trending?
Grandjoy Holdings Group's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 3.2% last year. Ultimately though, it couldn't turn around the poor performance of the prior period, with revenue shrinking 15% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 11% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this information, we are not surprised that Grandjoy Holdings Group is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
The Key Takeaway
Shares in Grandjoy Holdings Group have risen appreciably however, its P/S is still subdued. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of Grandjoy Holdings Group confirms that the company's shrinking revenue over the past medium-term is a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, given the industry is projected to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - Grandjoy Holdings Group has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Grandjoy Holdings Group's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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