Is Yadea Group Holdings (HKG:1585) A Risky Investment?
Is Yadea Group Holdings (HKG:1585) A Risky Investment?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Yadea Group Holdings Ltd. (HKG:1585) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
传奇基金经理李录(查理·芒格支持的)曾说过: “最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受资本的永久损失。” 在审视一家公司的风险时,考虑公司的资产负债表是很自然的,因为当业务崩溃时,债务往往是一个因素。与许多其他公司一样,雅迪控股有限公司(HKG:1585)也在利用债务。但是,真正的问题是这种债务是否让公司变得风险很大。
When Is Debt A Problem?
何时债务成为问题?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
当一家公司无法轻松履行债务和其他负债的义务时,债务和其他负债就会对其业务变得风险很大,要么是通过自由现金流,要么是通过以吸引人的价格筹集资金。最终,如果公司无法履行其偿还债务的法定义务,股东可能会一无所获。然而,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司必须以便宜的股价稀释股东权益,仅仅是为了控制债务。话虽如此,最常见的情况是公司合理管理其债务,以其自身的利益为主。当我们考虑一家公司对债务的使用时,我们首先将现金和债务放在一起进行观察。
How Much Debt Does Yadea Group Holdings Carry?
雅迪控股的债务有多少?
As you can see below, at the end of June 2024, Yadea Group Holdings had CN¥1.81b of debt, up from CN¥872.4m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. But on the other hand it also has CN¥10.7b in cash, leading to a CN¥8.88b net cash position.
正如您在下面看到的,截至2024年6月底,雅迪控股的债务为18.1亿人民币,较一年前的87240万有所增加。点击图片查看更多细节。但是另一方面,它还拥有107亿人民币的现金,导致其净现金头寸为88.8亿人民币。
A Look At Yadea Group Holdings' Liabilities
雅迪控股的负债分析
The latest balance sheet data shows that Yadea Group Holdings had liabilities of CN¥16.8b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥799.1m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥10.7b as well as receivables valued at CN¥798.6m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥6.09b.
最新的资产负债表数据显示,雅迪控股的负债为168亿人民币,需在一年内偿还,79910万人民币的负债将在此之后到期。抵消这些义务的是107亿人民币的现金,以及价值79860万人民币的应收账款,需在12个月内到期。因此,其负债超过现金和(短期)应收账款总和的60.9亿人民币。
Of course, Yadea Group Holdings has a market capitalization of CN¥38.7b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Yadea Group Holdings also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
当然,雅迪控股的市值为387亿人民币,因此这些负债可能是可控的。然而,我们确实认为值得关注其资产负债表的强度,因为随时间可能会发生变化。虽然它的负债值得注意,但雅迪控股的现金超过债务,因此我们对其安全管理债务的能力相当有信心。
On the other hand, Yadea Group Holdings saw its EBIT drop by 2.9% in the last twelve months. If earnings continue to decline at that rate the company may have increasing difficulty managing its debt load. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Yadea Group Holdings can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
另一方面,雅迪控股在过去12个月内的EBIT下降了2.9%。如果收益继续以这种速度下降,公司可能会越来越难以管理其债务负担。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是开始的地方。但最终,业务的未来盈利能力将决定雅迪控股能否随时间加强其资产负债表。因此,如果您关注未来,可以查看这份显示分析师盈利预测的免费报告。
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. Yadea Group Holdings may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Yadea Group Holdings produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 53% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
最后,一个业务需要自由现金流来偿还债务;会计利润根本不够用。雅迪控股可能在资产负债表上有净现金,但了解该业务如何将息税前利润(EBIT)转换为自由现金流仍然很有趣,因为这将影响其对债务的需求和管理能力。在过去三年中,雅迪控股产生了坚实的自由现金流,占其EBIT的53%,这差不多是我们所期望的。这笔冷硬现金意味着它可以在需要时减少债务。
Summing Up
总结
Although Yadea Group Holdings's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of CN¥8.88b. So we are not troubled with Yadea Group Holdings's debt use. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Yadea Group Holdings has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
尽管雅迪控股的资产负债表并不是特别强劲,主要是由于总负债,但看到它拥有净现金88.8亿人民币显然是积极的。因此,我们并不担心雅迪控股的债务使用。分析债务时,显然资产负债表是需要关注的领域。然而,并非所有的投资风险都来自于资产负债表-远非如此。例如,雅迪控股有1个警告信号,我们认为你应该注意。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
当然,如果你是那种喜欢购买没有债务负担的股票的投资者,那么不要犹豫,今天就来发现我们独家的净现金成长股票列表。
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