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These 4 Measures Indicate That Shenzhen Mason TechnologiesLtd (SZSE:002654) Is Using Debt Extensively

These 4 Measures Indicate That Shenzhen Mason TechnologiesLtd (SZSE:002654) Is Using Debt Extensively

这四项措施表明深圳梅森科技有限公司(深交所:002654)正在广泛使用债务。
Simply Wall St ·  12/16 14:16

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Shenzhen Mason Technologies Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002654) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

受巴菲特旗下查理·芒格(Charlie Munger)支持的外部基金经理李录直接了当地表示:‘最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受资本的永久损失。’因此,看起来聪明的资金知道,债务——通常涉及破产——在评估一家公司风险时是一个非常重要的因素。我们注意到万润科技有限公司(SZSE:002654)在其资产负债表上确实有债务。但这一债务对股东来说是否构成担忧呢?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时会变得危险?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

一般来说,债务只有在公司无法轻松偿还时才会成为真正的问题,要么通过融资,要么用自己的现金流来偿还。资本主义的一个重要组成部分是‘创造性毁灭’的过程,失败的企业会被他们的银行家毫不留情地清算。然而,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司必须在低股价下稀释股东以控制债务。当然,许多公司借助债务来融资增长,没有任何负面后果。当我们审视债务水平时,首先考虑的是现金和债务水平的结合。

How Much Debt Does Shenzhen Mason TechnologiesLtd Carry?

万润科技有限公司的债务有多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Shenzhen Mason TechnologiesLtd had debt of CN¥774.8m at the end of September 2024, a reduction from CN¥876.0m over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥265.5m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥509.3m.

下图可以点击查看更多详细信息,显示到2024年9月底,万润科技有限公司的债务为77480万人民币,比一年前的87600万人民币有所减少。然而,由于其拥有26650万人民币的现金储备,其净债务减少至50930万人民币。

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SZSE:002654 Debt to Equity History December 16th 2024
SZSE:002654 债务与权益历史 2024年12月16日

A Look At Shenzhen Mason TechnologiesLtd's Liabilities

万润科技有限公司的负债分析

The latest balance sheet data shows that Shenzhen Mason TechnologiesLtd had liabilities of CN¥2.14b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥562.6m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥265.5m and CN¥1.88b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥555.5m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

最新的资产负债表数据显示,万润科技有限公司在一年内的负债为21.4亿人民币,且在之后即将到期的负债为56260万人民币。另一方面,它拥有26550万人民币的现金和18.8亿人民币的应收账款。根据计算,其负债总额比现金和短期应收账款的总和多出55550万人民币。

Since publicly traded Shenzhen Mason TechnologiesLtd shares are worth a total of CN¥12.0b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

由于万润科技有限公司的总股份价值为120亿人民币,因此这一负债水平似乎不会构成重大威胁。话虽如此,显然我们应该继续关注其资产负债表,以防其状况变得更糟。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

为了评估一家公司的债务与其收益的关系,我们计算其净债务与息税折旧摊销前利润(EBITDA)的比率,以及息税前利润(EBIT)与利息费用的比率(即利息覆盖率)。通过这种方式,我们考虑了债务的绝对数量和所支付的利率。

While we wouldn't worry about Shenzhen Mason TechnologiesLtd's net debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.7, we think its super-low interest cover of 1.0 times is a sign of high leverage. In large part that's due to the company's significant depreciation and amortisation charges, which arguably mean its EBITDA is a very generous measure of earnings, and its debt may be more of a burden than it first appears. It seems clear that the cost of borrowing money is negatively impacting returns for shareholders, of late. However, the silver lining was that Shenzhen Mason TechnologiesLtd achieved a positive EBIT of CN¥54m in the last twelve months, an improvement on the prior year's loss. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Shenzhen Mason TechnologiesLtd will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

尽管我们不担心万润科技有限公司的净债务与息税折旧摊销前利润(EBITDA)比率为3.7,但我们认为其超低的利息覆盖率为1.0倍是高杠杆的迹象。这在很大程度上是由于公司显著的折旧和摊销费用,意味着其EBITDA可能是一个非常慷慨的收益衡量标准,其债务可能比最初看起来更为沉重。显然,借款成本在最近对股东的回报产生了负面影响。然而,万润科技有限公司在过去12个月中实现了5400万人民币的正EBIT,这是对前一年亏损的改善。分析债务时,资产负债表显然是关注的重点。但是,您无法将债务孤立来看;因为万润科技有限公司需要收益来偿还这些债务。因此,如果您希望了解其收益,查看其长期收益趋势的图表可能是值得的。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. During the last year, Shenzhen Mason TechnologiesLtd burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

最后,企业需要自由现金流来偿还债务;会计利润根本不够。因此,值得检查利息和税前利润(EBIT)中有多少是由自由现金流支持的。在过去一年中,万润科技的现金消耗非常大。虽然这可能是为了增长而支出的结果,但这确实使得债务变得更加风险。

Our View

我们的观点

To be frank both Shenzhen Mason TechnologiesLtd's interest cover and its track record of converting EBIT to free cash flow make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its level of total liabilities is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Shenzhen Mason TechnologiesLtd's debt is making it a bit risky. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but we'd generally feel more comfortable with less leverage. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Shenzhen Mason TechnologiesLtd that you should be aware of before investing here.

坦率地说,万润科技的利息覆盖率和其将EBIT转化为自由现金流的记录让我们对其债务水平感到相当不安。但从积极的方面来看,其总负债水平是个好迹象,使我们更加乐观。一旦我们考虑到上述所有因素,整体上看,万润科技的债务确实使其有些风险。这并不一定是坏事,但我们通常会觉得杠杆越少越好。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中获得了关于债务的大部分信息。但最终,每个公司都可能存在资产负债表以外的风险。例如,我们发现万润科技有两个警示信号,你在投资之前应该注意。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

无论最终结果如何,有时候更容易关注那些根本不需要债务的公司。读者可以立即免费获取一份净债务为零的成长股列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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