share_log

Blackstone (NYSE:BX) Shareholders Have Earned a 32% CAGR Over the Last Five Years

Blackstone (NYSE:BX) Shareholders Have Earned a 32% CAGR Over the Last Five Years

黑石(纽交所:BX)股东在过去五年中获得了32%的年均复合增长率
Simply Wall St ·  2024/12/16 21:57

The most you can lose on any stock (assuming you don't use leverage) is 100% of your money. But on the bright side, you can make far more than 100% on a really good stock. One great example is Blackstone Inc. (NYSE:BX) which saw its share price drive 241% higher over five years. On top of that, the share price is up 22% in about a quarter. But this move may well have been assisted by the reasonably buoyant market (up 8.7% in 90 days).

在任何股票上,假设你不使用杠杆,你可能损失的最多是你资金的100%。但从好的一面来看,在一个非常好的股票上,你可以赚取远超过100%的收益。一个很好的例子是黑石公司(纽交所:BX),其股价在五年间上涨了241%。此外,股价在大约一个季度内上涨了22%。但这一变动可能在一定程度上得益于市场较为乐观(90天内上涨了8.7%)。

With that in mind, it's worth seeing if the company's underlying fundamentals have been the driver of long term performance, or if there are some discrepancies.

鉴于此,值得看看该公司的基本面是否一直是长期业绩的驱动因素,或者是否存在一些不一致之处。

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

引用巴菲特的话:“船只将环游世界,但平面地球学会将兴旺发达。市场上的价格与价值之间将继续存在广泛的差异……” 一种检查如何 市场情绪 随时间变化的方法是查看公司股票价格与每股收益(EPS)之间的互动。

During five years of share price growth, Blackstone achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 4.7% per year. This EPS growth is slower than the share price growth of 28% per year, over the same period. This suggests that market participants hold the company in higher regard, these days. That's not necessarily surprising considering the five-year track record of earnings growth. This optimism is visible in its fairly high P/E ratio of 65.04.

在五年的股价增长期间,黑石实现了每股收益(EPS)年复合增长4.7%。这一EPS的增长速度慢于同期股价每年28%的增长。这表明市场参与者如今对该公司更加看好。这并不一定令人惊讶,考虑到过去五年的盈利增长记录。这种乐观在其相对较高的市盈率65.04中显而易见。

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

您可以在下面看到EPS如何随时间变化(点击图片可以发现具体数值)。

big
NYSE:BX Earnings Per Share Growth December 16th 2024
纽交所:黑石 每股收益增长 2024年12月16日

We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Blackstone's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

我们喜欢内部人士在过去十二个月里买入股票。尽管如此,未来的营业收入对于当前股东盈利将更为重要。不妨查看一下我们关于黑石的营业收入、营业收入和现金流的免费报告。

What About Dividends?

关于分红派息的问题

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Blackstone, it has a TSR of 306% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

除了衡量股票价格回报外,投资者还应考虑总股东回报(TSR)。股票价格回报仅反映股票价格的变化,而TSR则包括分红的价值(假设它们被再投资)以及任何折价融资或分拆的好处。对于支付丰厚分红的公司来说,TSR通常远高于股票价格回报。以黑石为例,它在过去5年的TSR为306%。这超过了我们之前提到的股票价格回报。公司支付的分红因此提升了总股东回报。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

It's nice to see that Blackstone shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 53% over the last year. And that does include the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 32%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Blackstone (including 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) .

很高兴看到黑石股东在过去一年中获得了53%的总股东回报。这包括分红。这一收益好于过去五年的年度TSR,后者为32%。因此,似乎最近市场对该公司的情绪是积极的。持乐观态度的人可能会认为,最近TSR的改善表明公司的业务随时间在改善。尽管考虑市场条件对股票价格的不同影响是非常重要的,但还有其他因素更为重要。为此,您应该了解我们发现的黑石的3个警告信号(包括一个让我们感到有些不安的信号)。

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: most of them are flying under the radar).

如果你喜欢与管理层一起买入股票,那么你可能会喜欢这份免费的公司名单。(提示:它们中的大多数都在雷达下飞行)。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了当前在美国交易所上市股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有反馈?对内容有疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发