0.2% Earnings Growth Over 3 Years Has Not Materialized Into Gains for Charles River Laboratories International (NYSE:CRL) Shareholders Over That Period
0.2% Earnings Growth Over 3 Years Has Not Materialized Into Gains for Charles River Laboratories International (NYSE:CRL) Shareholders Over That Period
For many investors, the main point of stock picking is to generate higher returns than the overall market. But in any portfolio, there are likely to be some stocks that fall short of that benchmark. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term Charles River Laboratories International, Inc. (NYSE:CRL) shareholders, since the share price is down 47% in the last three years, falling well short of the market return of around 29%.
对于许多投资者来说,选股的要点是产生比整个市场更高的回报。但是在任何投资组合中,都可能有一些股票未达到该基准。不幸的是,查尔斯河实验室国际公司(纽约证券交易所代码:CRL)的长期股东就是这种情况,因为股价在过去三年中下跌了47%,远低于29%左右的市场回报率。
If the past week is anything to go by, investor sentiment for Charles River Laboratories International isn't positive, so let's see if there's a mismatch between fundamentals and the share price.
如果过去一周有意义的话,那么投资者对查尔斯河实验室国际的情绪并不乐观,所以让我们看看基本面与股价之间是否存在不匹配的情况。
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
尽管一些人继续教导高效市场假说,但事实证明,市场是反应过度的动态系统,投资者并不总是理性的。考虑市场对公司的看法如何变化的一种不完美但简单的方法是将每股收益(EPS)的变化与股价变动进行比较。
Although the share price is down over three years, Charles River Laboratories International actually managed to grow EPS by 0.7% per year in that time. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.
尽管股价在三年内下跌,但查尔斯河实验室国际实际上在那段时间内每年设法将每股收益增长0.7%。鉴于股价的反应,人们可能会怀疑每股收益并不能很好地指导该期间的业务表现(可能是由于一次性的亏损或收益)。或者,过去的增长预期可能不合理。
After considering the numbers, we'd posit that the the market had higher expectations of EPS growth, three years back. Looking to other metrics might better explain the share price change.
在考虑了这些数字之后,我们认为三年前市场对每股收益增长的预期更高。研究其他指标可能会更好地解释股价的变化。
We note that, in three years, revenue has actually grown at a 6.1% annual rate, so that doesn't seem to be a reason to sell shares. It's probably worth investigating Charles River Laboratories International further; while we may be missing something on this analysis, there might also be an opportunity.
我们注意到,在三年内,收入实际上以6.1%的年增长率增长,因此这似乎不是出售股票的理由。可能值得进一步调查查尔斯·里弗国际实验室;尽管我们在分析中可能遗漏了一些东西,但也可能有机会。
The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
下图描绘了收入和收入随着时间的推移而发生的变化(点击图片显示确切的数值)。
Charles River Laboratories International is well known by investors, and plenty of clever analysts have tried to predict the future profit levels. So it makes a lot of sense to check out what analysts think Charles River Laboratories International will earn in the future (free analyst consensus estimates)
查尔斯河国际实验室为投资者所熟知,许多聪明的分析师都试图预测未来的利润水平。因此,看看分析师认为查尔斯河实验室国际未来将获得多少收入很有意义(免费的分析师共识估计)
A Different Perspective
不同的视角
While the broader market gained around 30% in the last year, Charles River Laboratories International shareholders lost 16%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 5%, each year, over five years. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Charles River Laboratories International .
尽管去年整个市场上涨了约30%,但查尔斯河实验室国际的股东却下跌了16%。但是,请记住,即使是最好的股票有时也会在十二个月内表现不如市场。长期投资者不会那么沮丧,因为他们本可以在五年内每年赚5%。最近的抛售可能是一个机会,因此可能值得查看基本面数据以寻找长期增长趋势的迹象。我发现将长期股价视为业务绩效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正获得见解,我们还需要考虑其他信息。为此,你应该注意我们在查尔斯里弗国际实验室发现的两个警告标志。
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
当然,通过寻找其他地方,你可能会找到一项不错的投资。因此,看看这份我们预计收益将增长的免费公司名单。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报率。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
对这篇文章有反馈吗?担心内容吗?直接联系我们。或者,发送电子邮件给编辑组(网址为)simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并非旨在提供财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。华尔街只是没有持有上述任何股票的头寸。