We Think Illumina (NASDAQ:ILMN) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
We Think Illumina (NASDAQ:ILMN) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Illumina, Inc. (NASDAQ:ILMN) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
传奇基金经理李录(查理·芒格支持的)曾说过:'最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受资本的永久损失。' 所以,当你考虑任何给定股票风险时,考虑债务可能是显而易见的,因为过多的债务可能会拖垮公司。我们可以看到,Illumina公司(纳斯达克:ILMN)确实在其业务中使用债务。但是,这对股东来说是个问题吗?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
债务何时会变得危险?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
债务支持一项业务,直到业务在用新资本或自由现金流偿还债务时出现问题。最终,如果公司无法履行法律义务偿还债务,股东可能会一无所获。虽然这并不常见,但我们确实经常看到负债累累的公司永久稀释股东,因为贷款方迫使他们以困境价格筹集资金。话虽如此,最常见的情况是公司合理管理其债务并从中获益。当我们考察债务水平时,我们首先考虑现金和债务水平的综合情况。
How Much Debt Does Illumina Carry?
Illumina的债务有多少?
As you can see below, at the end of September 2024, Illumina had US$1.99b of debt, up from US$1.49b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$939.0m, its net debt is less, at about US$1.05b.
正如您下面所见,截至2024年9月底,Illumina的债务为19.9亿美元,高于去年的14.9亿美元。点击图片查看更多细节。 然而,由于其现金储备为93900万美元,净债务则较少,约为10.5亿美元。
How Healthy Is Illumina's Balance Sheet?
Illumina的资产负债表有多健康?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Illumina had liabilities of US$975.0m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$2.91b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$939.0m in cash and US$715.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$2.24b.
仔细查看最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到Illumina的负债为97500万美元,12个月内到期,超过12个月到期的负债为29.1亿美元。 抵消这些,Illumina有93900万美元的现金和71500万美元的应收账款在12个月内到期。 所以其负债超出了现金和(短期)应收账款的总和22.4亿美元。
Given Illumina has a humongous market capitalization of US$22.8b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.
考虑到Illumina的市值高达228亿美元,很难相信这些负债构成了太大威胁。 话虽如此,很明显我们应该继续监控其资产负债表,以免情况变坏。
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
我们使用两个主要指标来告知我们债务水平与盈利的关系。第一个是净债务与息税折旧摊销前利润(EBITDA)的比率,而第二个是其息税前利润(EBIT)覆盖其利息费用(或其利息覆盖,简称)。这种方法的优点在于我们考虑了债务的绝对数量(通过净债务与EBITDA比率)和与该债务相关的实际利息费用(通过其利息覆盖比率)。
Illumina has net debt of just 1.4 times EBITDA, indicating that it is certainly not a reckless borrower. And it boasts interest cover of 7.3 times, which is more than adequate. Although Illumina made a loss at the EBIT level, last year, it was also good to see that it generated US$338m in EBIT over the last twelve months. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Illumina's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Illumina的净负债仅为EBITDA的1.4倍,这表明它绝对不是个鲁莽的借款人。 而且它的利息保障倍数为7.3倍,这足够充足。 尽管Illumina去年在EBIT层面出现了亏损,但我们也很高兴看到它在过去十二个月内生成了33800万美元的EBIT。当分析负债时,资产负债表显然是关键领域。 但决定Illumina未来维持健康资产负债表的,将是其未来的收益,而非其他。 所以如果你想看看专业人士的看法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Illumina actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last year. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.
最后,公司只能用真金白银偿还债务,而不是会计利润。 因此,检查其息税前利润(EBIT)有多少转化为实际的自由现金流是很重要的。 对于所有股东来说,Illumina实际上在过去一年中产生了比EBIT更多的自由现金流。 这种强大的现金转化让我们和人群在Daft Punk音乐会高潮来临时一样兴奋。
Our View
我们的观点
The good news is that Illumina's demonstrated ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. And we also thought its interest cover was a positive. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Illumina takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. We'd be motivated to research the stock further if we found out that Illumina insiders have bought shares recently. If you would too, then you're in luck, since today we're sharing our list of reported insider transactions for free.
好消息是,Illumina展现了将EBIT转换为自由现金流的能力,让我们感到像毛茸茸的小狗逗乐幼儿一样开心。我们还认为,它的利息覆盖率也是一个积极的信号。综合考虑所有这些数据,我们认为Illumina对待债务的态度相当理智。这意味着他们承担了一些额外的风险,以期提高股东收益。如果我们发现Illumina的内部人士最近购买了股票,我们会被激励进一步研究这只股票。如果你也感兴趣,那么你真幸运,因为今天我们将免费分享我们的内部交易报告清单。
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
最终,通常更好的是关注没有净负债的公司。你可以访问我们特别列出这些公司的名单(所有公司都有盈利增长的记录)。这是免费的。
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