At US$97.12, Is It Time To Put AGCO Corporation (NYSE:AGCO) On Your Watch List?
At US$97.12, Is It Time To Put AGCO Corporation (NYSE:AGCO) On Your Watch List?
While AGCO Corporation (NYSE:AGCO) might not have the largest market cap around , it received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the NYSE over the last few months, increasing to US$102 at one point, and dropping to the lows of US$88.78. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether AGCO's current trading price of US$97.12 reflective of the actual value of the mid-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let's take a look at AGCO's outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.
虽然AGCO公司(纽交所代码:AGCO)可能不是市值最大的公司,但在过去几个月,随着纽交所的价格波动,它吸引了很多关注,一度上涨到102美元,随后又跌到88.78美元的低点。一些股票价格的波动可以为投资者提供更好的机会进入股票,可能以更低的价格买入。需要回答的问题是AGCO当前的交易价格97.12美元是否反映了该中型公司的实际价值?或者说它当前是否被低估,这为我们提供了买入的机会?让我们看看根据最新的财务数据,AGCO的前景和价值是否有任何价格变化的催化剂。
What's The Opportunity In AGCO?
AGCO的机会是什么?
AGCO appears to be expensive according to our price multiple model, which makes a comparison between the company's price-to-earnings ratio and the industry average. In this instance, we've used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock's cash flows. We find that AGCO's ratio of 42.67x is above its peer average of 24.04x, which suggests the stock is trading at a higher price compared to the Machinery industry. But, is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Given that AGCO's share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.
根据我们的价格倍数模型,AGCO似乎被高估了,该模型比较了公司市盈率与行业平均水平。在这种情况下,我们使用了市盈率(PE),因为没有足够的信息可靠地预测股票的现金流。我们发现AGCO的市盈率为42.67倍,超过了同行的平均水平24.04倍,这表明该股票的交易价格高于机械行业。但将来是否还有以低价买入的机会?考虑到AGCO的股票相对波动性较大(即其价格波动相对于市场其他部分被放大),这可能意味着价格会进一步下跌,这给我们在未来提供了再次买入的机会。这是基于其高贝塔系数,这对于股票价格波动是一个很好的指标。
What does the future of AGCO look like?
AGCO的未来会是什么样的?
Future outlook is an important aspect when you're looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it's the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With profit expected to more than double over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for AGCO. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.
未来的前景是在你考虑买入股票时一个重要的方面,特别是对于那些希望在投资组合中寻求增长的投资者。尽管价值投资者会争辩说,最重要的是相对于价格的内在价值,但更有说服力的投资论点是以较低价格的高增长潜力。预计未来几年利润将增长一倍以上,AGCO的未来看起来光明。该股票似乎将带来更高的现金流,这将促进更高的股价估值。
What This Means For You
这对你意味着什么
Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in AGCO's positive outlook, with shares trading above industry price multiples. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe AGCO should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards the industry PE ratio can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.
您是股东吗?似乎市场已经充分反映了AGCO的积极前景,股票交易价格高于行业市盈率。然而,这引出了另一个问题——现在是否是卖出的正确时机?如果您认为AGCO的交易价格应低于当前价格,在高价卖出并在价格下跌至行业市盈率时再买回来可能会有利可图。但在您做此决定之前,先看看其基本面是否发生了变化。
Are you a potential investor? If you've been keeping an eye on AGCO for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its industry peers, which means it is likely that there is no more upside from mispricing. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for AGCO, which means it's worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
您是潜在投资者吗?如果您一直在关注AGCO,现在可能不是进入该股票的最佳时机。价格已超过行业同行,这意味着不存在更多由于定价错误带来的上涨空间。然而,乐观的前景对AGCO而言是个好消息,这意味着值得深入研究其他因素,以便在下一次价格下跌时抓住机会。
With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. To help with this, we've discovered 4 warning signs (1 can't be ignored!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in AGCO.
考虑到这一点,除非我们对风险有透彻的理解,否则我们不会考虑投资于某只股票。为此,我们发现了4个警告信号(其中1个不能忽视!),在购买任何AGCO股票之前,您应该注意这些信号。
If you are no longer interested in AGCO, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
如果您不再对AGCO感兴趣,您可以使用我们的免费平台查看我们提供的50多只具有高增长潜力的其他股票列表。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
对本文有反馈?对内容有疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。