Shareholders in Shandong Weigao Group Medical Polymer (HKG:1066) Are in the Red If They Invested Three Years Ago
Shareholders in Shandong Weigao Group Medical Polymer (HKG:1066) Are in the Red If They Invested Three Years Ago
As an investor its worth striving to ensure your overall portfolio beats the market average. But in any portfolio, there are likely to be some stocks that fall short of that benchmark. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term Shandong Weigao Group Medical Polymer Company Limited (HKG:1066) shareholders, since the share price is down 51% in the last three years, falling well short of the market decline of around 2.8%. And over the last year the share price fell 36%, so we doubt many shareholders are delighted.
作为投资者,值得努力确保您的整体投资组合超越市场平均水平。但是,在任何投资组合中,都可能有一些股票未达到该基准。不幸的是,对于长期的山东威高股份医疗塑料有限公司(HKG:1066)股东来说,这种情况已经持续了一段时间,因为过去三年股价下跌了51%,远低于市场约2.8%的下跌。而在过去一年中,股价下跌了36%,因此我们怀疑许多股东是否感到高兴。
Since shareholders are down over the longer term, lets look at the underlying fundamentals over the that time and see if they've been consistent with returns.
由于股东在长期内处于亏损状态,我们来看看这段时间内的基本面,看看它们是否与回报一致。
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
在他的论文《Graham与Doddsville的超级投资者》中,沃伦·巴菲特描述了股价并不总是理性反映业务价值的原因。通过比较每股收益(每股收益)和股价变化,我们可以感受到投资者对公司的态度如何随着时间而变化。
Shandong Weigao Group Medical Polymer saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 6.5% per year, over the last three years. This reduction in EPS is slower than the 21% annual reduction in the share price. So it's likely that the EPS decline has disappointed the market, leaving investors hesitant to buy. This increased caution is also evident in the rather low P/E ratio, which is sitting at 10.62.
山东威高股份医疗塑料过去三年的每股收益以复合年增长率下降了6.5%。每股收益的下降速度低于股价21%的年下降幅度。因此,每股收益的下降可能让市场感到失望,令投资者对买入持谨慎态度。这种谨慎在较低的市盈率中也显露无遗,目前市盈率为10.62。
The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
下图显示了EPS随时间变化的情况(点击图像以显示确切值)。
Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.
在买入或卖出股票之前,我们总是建议仔细审查历史增长趋势,详情请见这里。
What About Dividends?
关于分红派息的问题
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, Shandong Weigao Group Medical Polymer's TSR for the last 3 years was -47%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
对于任何给定的股票,考虑总股东收益以及股价收益是非常重要的。总股东收益考虑了任何剥离或折扣融资的价值,以及任何分红,前提是假设这些分红被再投资。可以公平地说,总股东收益为那些支付分红的股票提供了更完整的视角。实际上,山东威高股份医疗聚合物在过去3年的总股东收益为-47%,超过了之前提到的股价收益。这在很大程度上是其分红支付的结果!
A Different Perspective
不同的视角
While the broader market gained around 23% in the last year, Shandong Weigao Group Medical Polymer shareholders lost 33% (even including dividends). Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 7% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Shandong Weigao Group Medical Polymer .
尽管整体市场在过去一年中增长了约23%,但山东威高股份医疗聚合物的股东却损失了33%(即便包括分红)。即使是优秀股票的股价有时也会下跌,但我们希望在过于关注之前,先看到业务基本指标的改善。不幸的是,去年的表现终结了一段糟糕的运行,股东在五年内面临每年7%的总损失。一般来说,长期股价疲软可能是一个坏兆头,尽管逆向投资者可能希望通过研究这只股票来寻找转机。我发现长期来看股价作为业务表现的替代理念非常有趣。但要真正获取洞察,我们还需要考虑其他信息。为此,你应该注意到我们发现的山东威高股份医疗聚合物的1个警告信号。
Of course Shandong Weigao Group Medical Polymer may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.
当然,山东威高股份医疗高分子可能不是最值得买入的股票。因此,您可能希望查看这一免费的成长股票合集。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.
请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。