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The Five-year Shareholder Returns and Company Earnings Persist Lower as China Overseas Land & Investment (HKG:688) Stock Falls a Further 10% in Past Week

The Five-year Shareholder Returns and Company Earnings Persist Lower as China Overseas Land & Investment (HKG:688) Stock Falls a Further 10% in Past Week

在过去一周,中国海外发展(HKG:688)的股票进一步下跌10%,五年股东回报和公司收益持续走低。
Simply Wall St ·  2024/12/17 10:46

While it may not be enough for some shareholders, we think it is good to see the China Overseas Land & Investment Limited (HKG:688) share price up 17% in a single quarter. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last five years have been less than pleasing. After all, the share price is down 57% in that time, significantly under-performing the market.

虽然这对于一些股东来说可能不够,但我们认为看到中国海外发展(HKG:688)的股价在一个季度内上涨17%还是不错的。然而,这并没有改变过去五年回报不尽如人意的事实。毕竟,这段时间股价下跌了57%,明显低于市场表现。

After losing 10% this past week, it's worth investigating the company's fundamentals to see what we can infer from past performance.

在过去一周损失了10%之后,值得调查公司的基本面,以了解我们可以从过去的表现中推断出什么。

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

不可否认,市场有时是有效的,但价格并不总是反映基础业务的表现。一种有缺陷但合理的评估公司情绪变化的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。

Looking back five years, both China Overseas Land & Investment's share price and EPS declined; the latter at a rate of 10% per year. Readers should note that the share price has fallen faster than the EPS, at a rate of 16% per year, over the period. So it seems the market was too confident about the business, in the past. The less favorable sentiment is reflected in its current P/E ratio of 5.83.

回顾过去五年,中国海外发展的股价和每股收益均有所下降;后者下降的速度为每年10%。读者应该注意到,股价下跌的速度快于每股收益,期间的降幅为每年16%。所以看起来市场过去对这项业务信心过于乐观。较不利的情绪反映在其当前的市盈率为5.83。

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下图显示了EPS随时间变化的情况(点击图像以显示确切值)。

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SEHK:688 Earnings Per Share Growth December 17th 2024
SEHK:688 每股收益增长 2024年12月17日

We know that China Overseas Land & Investment has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? This free report showing analyst revenue forecasts should help you figure out if the EPS growth can be sustained.

我们知道,中国海外发展最近改善了其净利润,但它的营业收入会增长吗?这份免费的报告展示了分析师对营业收入的预测,应能帮助你判断每股收益的增长是否能够持续。

What About Dividends?

关于分红派息的问题

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for China Overseas Land & Investment the TSR over the last 5 years was -44%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

考虑总股东回报以及任何特定股票的股价回报非常重要。总股东回报包括任何分拆或折扣融资的价值,以及任何分红,假设这些分红被再投资。因此,对于那些支付丰厚股息的公司,总股东回报通常远高于股价回报。我们注意到,中国海外发展在过去5年中的总股东回报为-44%,这比上述提到的股价回报要好。而且,毫无疑问,分红支付在很大程度上解释了这种差异!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

China Overseas Land & Investment shareholders gained a total return of 1.2% during the year. But that was short of the market average. On the bright side, that's still a gain, and it is certainly better than the yearly loss of about 8% endured over half a decade. It could well be that the business is stabilizing. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Take risks, for example - China Overseas Land & Investment has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

中国海外发展的股东在这一年内获得了总回报为1.2%。但这低于市场平均水平。好消息是,这仍然是一个收益,确实比过去五年中约8%的年度损失要好。很可能这个业务正在稳定下来。虽然考虑市场状况对股价的不同影响是非常重要的,但还有其他因素更为重要。例如风险——我们认为,中国海外发展有一个警告信号你应该注意。

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of undervalued companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

对于喜欢寻找赢家投资的人来说,这份关于最近有内部人士购买的被低估公司的免费名单,可能正是你所需要的。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有反馈?对内容有疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。

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