Is Huawen Media Group (SZSE:000793) A Risky Investment?
Is Huawen Media Group (SZSE:000793) A Risky Investment?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Huawen Media Group (SZSE:000793) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
有人说波动性,而不是债务,是投资者思考风险的最佳方式,但沃伦·巴菲特曾明确表示,“波动性远非与风险同义”。所以,当你考虑任何特定股票的风险时,考虑债务可能很明显,因为过多的债务可能使公司陷入困境。重要的是,华闻集团(SZSE:000793)确实负有债务。但是,股东应该担心它的债务使用吗?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
债务带来了什么风险?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
债务是帮助企业成长的工具,但如果企业无法偿还贷款人,那么它就处于他们的掌控之中。在最坏的情况下,如果公司无法偿还债权人,它可能会破产。然而,较为常见(但仍然痛苦)的情况是,它必须以低价筹集新的股本,从而永久性稀释股东权益。当然,债务在企业中可以是一个重要的工具,特别是在资本密集型企业中。在考虑企业使用的债务量时,首先要做的是将其现金和债务一起看待。
What Is Huawen Media Group's Net Debt?
华闻集团的净债务是多少?
As you can see below, Huawen Media Group had CN¥1.49b of debt at September 2024, down from CN¥2.04b a year prior. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥233.5m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥1.25b.
正如您在下面看到的,华闻集团在2024年9月的债务为14.9亿人民币,低于一年前的20.4亿人民币。然而,由于它有23350万人民币的现金储备,其净债务则更低,约为12.5亿人民币。
How Strong Is Huawen Media Group's Balance Sheet?
华闻集团的资产负债表有多强?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Huawen Media Group had liabilities of CN¥1.08b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥913.2m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥233.5m in cash and CN¥641.1m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥1.12b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
最新的资产负债表数据显示,华闻集团在一年内有CN¥10.8亿的负债,以及CN¥91320万的负债到期。与此相抵,华闻集团有CN¥23350万的现金和CN¥64110万的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,它的负债总额超过CN¥11.2亿,超过其现金和近期应收款项的总和。
Since publicly traded Huawen Media Group shares are worth a total of CN¥7.55b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Huawen Media Group's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
由于上市的华闻集团股票总值为CN¥75.5亿,这一负债水平似乎不会构成重大威胁。然而,我们确实认为值得关注其资产负债表的强度,因为它可能会随着时间而变化。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是一个明显的起点。但影响华闻集团未来资产负债表表现的将是其营业收入。因此,如果你想了解更多关于其收入的信息,查看其长期收入趋势的图表可能会有帮助。
In the last year Huawen Media Group had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 14%, to CN¥387m. That's not what we would hope to see.
在过去一年中,华闻集团的利息和税前亏损,营业收入实际缩减了14%,降至CN¥38700万。这不是我们希望看到的情况。
Caveat Emptor
买者自负盈亏
Not only did Huawen Media Group's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). To be specific the EBIT loss came in at CN¥67m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. However, it doesn't help that it burned through CN¥2.9m of cash over the last year. So suffice it to say we do consider the stock to be risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 1 warning sign with Huawen Media Group , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
不仅华闻集团的营业收入在过去12个月中滑落,而且它还出现了利息和税前的负盈余(EBIT)。具体来说,EBIT损失为CN¥6700万。考虑到上述负债,确实让我们对该公司使用如此多的债务感到不太有信心。因此,我们认为其资产负债表有点紧张,但并非不可修复。然而,过去一年中,华闻集团消耗了CN¥290万的现金,这并没有帮助。所以可以说,我们确实认为这只股票存在风险。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到最多关于债务的信息。然而,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。我们已经确定了华闻集团的一个警告信号,理解这些信号应成为您投资过程的一部分。
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
最终,通常更好的是关注没有净负债的公司。你可以访问我们特别列出这些公司的名单(所有公司都有盈利增长的记录)。这是免费的。
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