These 4 Measures Indicate That Hubei DinglongLtd (SZSE:300054) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well
These 4 Measures Indicate That Hubei DinglongLtd (SZSE:300054) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Hubei Dinglong CO.,Ltd. (SZSE:300054) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
大卫·伊本说得好:'波动性不是我们关心的风险。我们关心的是避免资本的永久损失。' 因此,当你考虑任何给定股票的风险时,考虑债务可能是显而易见的,因为过多的债务可能会使公司陷入困境。 与许多其他公司一样,湖北鼎龙股份有限公司(SZSE:300054)也利用债务。 但更重要的问题是:这笔债务创造了多少风险?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
为什么债务带来风险?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
当一家公司无法轻易履行这些义务时,债务和其他负债对其业务就会变得风险重重,无论是通过自由现金流还是以有吸引力的价格融资。 资本主义的一个组成部分是'创造性破坏'的过程,失败的企业会被其银行家无情地清算。 然而,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,一家公司必须在低廉的股价下稀释股东,仅仅是为了控制债务。 然而,通过替代稀释,债务可以成为那些需要资本以高回报率进行增长投资的企业的极好工具。 当我们考虑一家公司使用债务时,我们首先会同时观察现金和债务。
What Is Hubei DinglongLtd's Debt?
湖北鼎龙有限公司的债务是多少?
As you can see below, at the end of September 2024, Hubei DinglongLtd had CN¥1.35b of debt, up from CN¥897.8m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had CN¥1.10b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥253.1m.
正如下方所示,截至2024年9月底,湖北鼎龙有限公司的债务为13.5亿元人民币,较一年前的89780万元有所增加。单击图像以获取更多详细信息。 然而,它还有11亿元人民币的现金,因此其净债务为25310万元人民币。
How Strong Is Hubei DinglongLtd's Balance Sheet?
湖北鼎龙股份的资产负债表有多强?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Hubei DinglongLtd had liabilities of CN¥1.35b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.16b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥1.10b in cash and CN¥1.09b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥324.5m.
从最近的资产负债表来看,湖北鼎龙股份有到期负债为13.5亿元人民币,以及到期负债为11.6亿元人民币。 相抵的是,它在现金方面有11亿元人民币,以及到期应收款项为10.9亿元人民币。因此,它的负债超出了现金和(短期)应收款的总和,差额为32450万元。
This state of affairs indicates that Hubei DinglongLtd's balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So it's very unlikely that the CN¥24.5b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. But either way, Hubei DinglongLtd has virtually no net debt, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
这一状况表明,湖北鼎龙股份的资产负债表看起来相当稳健,因为其总负债几乎等于其流动资产。因此,这家市值245亿人民币的公司很不可能缺现金,但仍然值得关注资产负债表。不过,无论如何,湖北鼎龙股份几乎没有净债务,因此可以公平地说它没有沉重的债务负担!
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
为了评估一家公司的债务相对于其收益的情况,我们计算其净债务与息税折旧摊销前利润(EBITDA)的比率,以及息税利润(EBIT)与利息费用(即利息覆盖)的比率。这种方法的优点在于我们同时考虑到债务的绝对数额(使用净债务与EBITDA的比率)和与该债务相关的实际利息支出(使用利息覆盖率)。
Hubei DinglongLtd's net debt is only 0.35 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 22.7 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. On top of that, Hubei DinglongLtd grew its EBIT by 98% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Hubei DinglongLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
湖北鼎龙股份的净债务仅为其EBITDA的0.35倍。而其EBIT能够覆盖其利息支出22.7倍。因此,对于其非常保守的债务使用,我们感到相当放心。除此之外,湖北鼎龙股份在过去十二个月内EBIT增长了98%,这种增长将使其更容易处理债务。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是一个好的起点。但更重要的是未来的收益将判断湖北鼎龙股份未来是否能够保持健康的资产负债表。因此,如果你关注的是未来,可以查看这份免费的报告,了解分析师的利润预测。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Hubei DinglongLtd burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
但我们最后的考虑也是很重要,因为公司不能用纸面盈利支付债务;它需要真金白银。因此,合乎逻辑的一步是查看EBIT中有多少比例与实际自由现金流相匹配。在过去三年中,湖北鼎龙股份消耗了大量现金。虽然这可能是由于对增长的支出,但这确实使得债务风险大增。
Our View
我们的观点
Happily, Hubei DinglongLtd's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But we must concede we find its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow has the opposite effect. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like Hubei DinglongLtd is pretty sensible with its use of debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of Hubei DinglongLtd's earnings per share history for free.
值得欣慰的是,湖北鼎龙股份的高额利息覆盖率表明它在债务方面占据优势。但我们不得不承认,它将EBIT转换为自由现金流的效果恰恰相反。当我们考虑上述诸多因素时,湖北鼎龙股份在使用债务方面似乎相当明智。这意味着他们承担了一定的风险,希望能够提高股东回报。在所有其他指标中,我们认为跟踪每股收益的增长速度(如果有的话)是非常重要的。如果你也意识到了这一点,那么你很幸运,因为今天你可以免费查看湖北鼎龙股份每股收益历史的互动图表。
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
无论最终结果如何,有时候更容易关注那些根本不需要债务的公司。读者可以立即免费获取一份净债务为零的成长股列表。
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