Pulling Back 15% This Week, Keli Motor Group's SZSE:002892) Five-year Decline in Earnings May Be Coming Into Investors Focus
Pulling Back 15% This Week, Keli Motor Group's SZSE:002892) Five-year Decline in Earnings May Be Coming Into Investors Focus
Keli Motor Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002892) shareholders might be concerned after seeing the share price drop 15% in the last week. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last five years have been pleasing. After all, the share price is up a market-beating 99% in that time.
科力尔集团有限公司(深交所代码:002892)的股东在看到股票价格在过去一周下跌15%后可能会感到担忧。但这并不改变过去五年回报令人满意的事实。毕竟,在此期间,股价上涨了市场领先的99%。
In light of the stock dropping 15% in the past week, we want to investigate the longer term story, and see if fundamentals have been the driver of the company's positive five-year return.
鉴于股票在过去一周下跌15%,我们希望调查更长时间的情况,并看看基本面是否推动了公司正面的五年回报。
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
虽然市场是一种强大的定价机制,但股价反映的是投资者情绪,而不仅仅是基础业务表现。查看公司股价与每股收益(EPS)之间的互动,可以检视市场情绪是如何随时间而变化的。
During five years of share price growth, Keli Motor Group actually saw its EPS drop 4.9% per year.
在五年的股价增长期间,科力尔集团的每股收益实际上每年下降了4.9%。
So it's hard to argue that the earnings per share are the best metric to judge the company, as it may not be optimized for profits at this point. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.
因此很难争辩说每股收益是评判公司的最佳指标,因为此刻可能并未优化利润。由于EPS的变化似乎与股价的变化没有关联,因此值得关注其他指标。
The modest 0.4% dividend yield is unlikely to be propping up the share price. On the other hand, Keli Motor Group's revenue is growing nicely, at a compound rate of 10.0% over the last five years. It's quite possible that management are prioritizing revenue growth over EPS growth at the moment.
温和的0.4%分红派息收益率不太可能支撑股票价格。 另一方面,科力尔的营业收入在过去五年以10.0%的复合增长率呈良好增长。 管理层目前很可能优先考虑营业收入的增长,而不是每股收益的增长。
You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
您可以在下面的图像中查看收益和营业收入随时间的变化(点击图表查看确切值)。
This free interactive report on Keli Motor Group's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
这份关于科力尔资产负债表强度的免费互动报告是一个很好的开始,如果你想进一步调查这只股票。
What About Dividends?
关于分红派息的问题
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Keli Motor Group's TSR for the last 5 years was 112%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
考虑总股东回报和股票价格回报很重要。 股票价格回报仅反映股票价格的变化,而总股东回报则包括分红的价值(假设这些分红被再投资)以及任何折价融资或分拆的收益。 因此,对于那些支付丰厚分红的公司来说,总股东回报通常远高于股票价格回报。 恰好,科力尔在过去5年的总股东回报为112%,超过了前面提到的股票价格回报。 这在很大程度上得益于它的分红派息!
A Different Perspective
不同的视角
It's nice to see that Keli Motor Group shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 44% over the last year. That's including the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 16% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Keli Motor Group you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit concerning.
很高兴看到科力尔的股东在过去一年中获得了总股东回报44%。这包括分红。由于一年期的总股东回报率优于五年期的回报率(后者为每年16%),因此看起来该股票的表现最近有所改善。持乐观态度的人可能会将最近的总股东回报率的改善视为业务本身随着时间的推移而变得更好的指标。虽然市场条件对股价的不同影响确实值得考虑,但还有其他因素更为重要。比如说:我们发现科力尔有3个警告信号需要您注意,其中1个信号让人有些担忧。
Of course Keli Motor Group may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.
当然,科力尔可能不是最好的买入股票。因此,您可能希望查看这份免费的成长股合集。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。