Is Three Squirrels (SZSE:300783) Using Too Much Debt?
Is Three Squirrels (SZSE:300783) Using Too Much Debt?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Three Squirrels Inc. (SZSE:300783) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
大卫·伊本说得好:'波动性并不是我们关心的风险。我们关心的是避免资本的永久损失。' 所以,当你考虑任何给定股票的风险时,显然需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务可能会使公司陷入困境。重要的是,三只松鼠(深证:300783)确实带有债务。但真正的问题是,这种债务是否使公司变得有风险。
When Is Debt A Problem?
何时债务成为问题?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
一般来说,债务只有在公司无法轻易偿还时才会成为真正的问题,或者是通过筹集资金或靠自身的自由现金流。资本主义的一个重要组成部分是'创造性毁灭'的过程,在这个过程中,失败的企业被其银行家无情地清算。虽然这并不常见,但我们常常看到负债的公司因为贷款方迫使他们以低价筹集资金而永久性地稀释股东权益。不过,通过替代稀释,债务可以成为需要资本投资于高回报增长的企业的极好工具。当我们考虑一家公司对债务的使用时,我们首先会将现金和债务结合在一起。
What Is Three Squirrels's Debt?
三只松鼠的债务是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Three Squirrels had debt of CN¥312.1m at the end of September 2024, a reduction from CN¥512.2m over a year. But it also has CN¥414.1m in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥102.1m net cash.
下图可点击以获取更详细信息,显示三只松鼠在2024年9月底的债务为31210万人民币,比一年前的51220万人民币减少。但它还有41410万人民币的现金来抵消这些债务,这意味着它拥有10210万人民币的净现金。
How Strong Is Three Squirrels' Balance Sheet?
三只松鼠的资产负债表有多强?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Three Squirrels had liabilities of CN¥1.53b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥257.5m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥414.1m as well as receivables valued at CN¥469.5m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥901.8m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
从最近的资产负债表来看,三只松鼠有15.3亿人民币的负债在一年内到期,25750万人民币的负债在一年后到期。为了抵消这些负债,它持有41410万人民币的现金,以及46950万人民币的应收款,均在12个月内到期。因此,它的负债总额比现金和短期应收款的总和多出90180万人民币。
Of course, Three Squirrels has a market capitalization of CN¥13.9b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Three Squirrels also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
当然,三只松鼠的市场资本为139亿人民币,因此这些负债可能是可以管理的。然而,我们确实认为值得关注其资产负债表的强度,因为这可能会随时间而变化。虽然它确实有值得注意的负债,但三只松鼠的现金仍然多于债务,因此我们相当有信心它能够安全管理其债务。
Better yet, Three Squirrels grew its EBIT by 110% last year, which is an impressive improvement. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Three Squirrels can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
更重要的是,三只松鼠去年的EBIT增长了110%,这是一个令人印象深刻的改进。这样的增长将使其更容易偿还未来的债务。资产负债表无疑是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但最终,企业的未来盈利能力将决定三只松鼠能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的看法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师盈利预测的免费报告很有趣。
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While Three Squirrels has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Considering the last two years, Three Squirrels actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.
最后,虽然税务机关可能喜欢会计利润,但放贷人只接受现金。虽然三只松鼠在其资产负债表上具有净现金,但仍然值得关注其将息税前利润(EBIT)转化为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们理解其现金余额的增长(或减少)速度。考虑到过去两年,三只松鼠实际上总体上记录了现金流出。负债通常更昂贵,且几乎总是在负自由现金流的公司的手中更加风险。股东们应该希望能有所改善。
Summing Up
总结
While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that Three Squirrels has CN¥102.1m in net cash. And we liked the look of last year's 110% year-on-year EBIT growth. So we don't have any problem with Three Squirrels's use of debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Three Squirrels is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...
虽然始终关注公司的总负债是明智的,但三只松鼠拥有10210万元的净现金,这让人感到很放心。我们喜欢去年的110%同比EBIT增长。因此,我们对三只松鼠使用债务没有任何问题。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是开始的地方。但最终,每个公司可能存在资产负债表外的风险。请注意,三只松鼠在我们的投资分析中显示出3个警告信号,你应该了解...
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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